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Looks like after the first week Summer is back on the AIFS ensembles too. And also Stein continues. But definitely a step down as we head for 6 months of Autumn.

BAM Weather: Cold front train likely to continue through mid September

We'll probably see more heat but with lower sun angle?shorter days it never feels as bad as June/July heat...we've lost close to 2 hrs of daylight since 6/21

Maybe you don’t understand the difference between climate normals and rankings. Normals keep getting warmer with each 10 year update. So it takes a smaller warm departure for a top ten warmest month or season using the warmest 1991-2020 climate normals.

MDT was -1.6 for August thru yesterday. Should end up decently BN in light of the current pattern.

Low was 48.6 here, currently 48.8/48.1, wonderful!

names?

59 this morning! Time to break out the solar cover for the pool. Enjoy the cooldown everyone!

Not here. And who says I can't go by climate normals? People who push an agenda maybe?

LMAOOOO IT MOVED OVER ACCORDING TO CYCLONEEYE 3. South of Southern Mexico: An area of low pressure could form this weekend offshore of the coast of Central America and southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system early next week while it moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

It didn’t even begin for Gabrielle then

Can’t really go be departures anymore since the 1991-2020 climate normals are so much warmer. This has been a top 5 and top 10 warmest summer for the Northeast. Place like Long Island have seen one of their warmest summers like all the 2020s summers. Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Top 10 warmest summers Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2025 74.8 6 2 2010 74.7 0 3 2022 74.6 0 - 2020 74.6 0 4 1999 74.5 0 5 2016 74.4 0 6 2024 74.2 0 7 2011 73.9 0 8 2019 73.8 0 9 2021 73.7 0 10 2018 73.5 0 - 2005 73.5 0

Coc-a-doodle-goodbye-dews

I looked and was surprised to see June was just +0.6 and July +1.4 (DCA). Check out this stretch in 2012 end of June beginning of July. And weren't a lot of people out of power for days after that derecho in late June?

58 degree's on another beautiful drive in to work.

Odd. Harrisburg (MDT) is already -1.6 for August thru yesterday and will end the month much lower. June was only +1.3 and July +2.5. The 3 summer months could easily end averaging barely AN.

Solar is accelerating rapidly in Africa. This is mainly due to economics, lower cost of solar panels and batteries.

49 for me.

Glorious morning.

Low of 51

This summer continued the theme of warm to record warm conditions during the 2020s with strong -EPO +PNA patterns. Very warm summers in the Northeast used to be more -PNA +EPO. This is also the strongest Southeast Ridge with this pattern. Warmer Northeast summer composite prior to 2015-2016 Super El Nino

I posted a few weeks ago when this cold snap started showing up on the ensembles that I believe late summer/early fall cold snaps are indicative of a better chance of colder winters. I think I said it wasn't a guarantee, but that colder winters often feature them. Time will obviously tell what happens, but it's at least a reason to remain optimistic at this point if you prefer cold/snowy. September's updated monthly forecasts "should" start to hone in one way or the other.

August 15 - September 15…. Best month of the year?

Chilly low of 45.9. Beautiful sunrise.