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QPF 6z euro and 6z EPS standard version

Let’s keep pulling this thing west and expand the precip. Another big lean west on the SREF

https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com

I'm doing maps now, will have out shortly, lets just say it won't be conservative. Too close in and want it to be a final, if possible.

All is well, @bluewave Thank you for asking. I hope all is well with you. I missed/look forward to reading your weather posts

Thing is tucked in

Lol tequila sunrise

So soon! It’s amazing the trend this took.

Haven’t looked at SREFs in years.

SREFS going wild

@eyewall the MA forum is now talking about the possibility of being “Raleigh’d” regarding catching the dry slot with the storm this weekend. We are officially an AMWX term, we’ve made it

I’m very comfortable with a 4-8in swath for the Lehigh Valley

Sunset for many

And the typical results for us.

Yeah I’m glad 6z came back west as well. I saw an h5 of 6z UK, looked extremely amped but never saw a surface map.

What’s a general start time for this? Tomorrow evening?

Bar IMBY is 3”, and IVT might have a lot to say about that. I do think the gfs is likely most accurate with early stage qpf that might get 1-2” down early on then root for the IVT. In that zone, someone is going to get dumped.

If i were a betting man I'd think the euro is going to shift back west some at 12z the 0z was a total disconnect from everything else. That said im guessing Berryville to Round Hill will be in the cross hairs on the 12z euro...total guess though

This is great info, thank you. I was going to just click the Thanks emoji as I did and leave it that since I had nothing meaningful to contribute, except to say that I noticed this morning that as of the latest update the High End was kept in the update, but the Low End was dropped entirely. I'm guessing that's out of concern that whatever it might have currently shown, people will see that and not t take this seriously, in an update where 'take this seriously' is rightly the whole point.

Anyone have the 6z EURO liquid total map? It was 0.7 for NYC at 00z.

NBM is 28.1" of snow for here. Would be biggest storm since Boxing Day. Going with 18" for here.

How have you been doing? Everyone has been asking about you. Really glad you are back.

Nah we’re good. It’s pretty much locked.