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  1. Past hour
  2. stormtracker
    Home...not even drunk. NAM look shaper with the northern stream so far
  3. Blizzard of 93
    0z NBM & NBM Para both show Warning level snow potential in the LSV.
  4. Typhoon Tip
    Bump
  5. LP08
    Sharper Trof and a little more stream interaction on the NAM through 39
  6. NorEastermass128
    Pulling for you all. I’ll be stuck in Ohio all week, so I’ll miss this one. I think we know one way or the other by 12z tomorrow.
  7. dryslot
    Looked a bit colder down your way too, 4mb stronger with the slp then 18z sliding under SNE.
  8. NeonPeon
    Surely the fact that we are all a bunch of hysterical loons isn't part of any good policy analysis. More information is more information. We might not be able to resist the allure of overreaction, but surely a professional just waits and looks at a few runs, and the information is more current, and the effect is the same. I mean, I've seen people on here saying why hasn't box done x y or z, when their information doesn't match, and they are clearly just waiting for more info to confirm, rather than oversteering.
  9. IronTy
    Reflection off the moon. Unless it's a New Moon, then we're in business.
  10. ravensrule
    Blinding.
  11. TSSN+
    The sun is pretty strong at night
  12. golfer67
    How do you know it's out of step? Did the event happen already?
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like the GFS.
  14. caviman2201
    latest AFD even talks about sun angle... we're cooked for sure
  15. Weather Will
    I understand the HRRR is not reliable at HR 48, if ever, but seems to be showing an amped solution.
  16. clueless
    9pm the new HH? JB Black.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    NAM came back south a bit for SNE.
  18. TSSN+
    Why are you comparing hrrr at 48 to those? May as well compare hrrr at 48 to gfs at 384
  19. BristowWx
    Is it good? I’m pickled.
  20. nycsnow
    And like Upton said we should have more data in these runs
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I hope this doesn't end up a cape event.
  22. mriceyman
    Just wana get nammed one more time before it dissolves .
  23. Terpeast
    As you probably know, hrrr isn’t comparable with the globals because it isn’t a global model. But same goes for the nam, which we do pbp on anyway
  24. dryslot
    0z 12K Nam ramping up the qpf again
  25. MJO812
    Huge positive difference with the northern stream compared to past runs and confluence moving out faster.
  26. Kevin Reilly
    Don’t forget warm grounds, recently warmer temperatures, and the increased sun angle will cut these snow totals in half.
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