All Activity

Low of 27. Had full sun thru 8 AM, now (9:45) more cloud than blue.

38 this morning. Probably the last really chilly morning. Looks like summer arrives this weekend.

I thought it interesting ( albeit likely esoteric ) that the CMC bursts into the mid 80s on Sunday. It has 85 at 18z BDL-to Lawrence MA. I was looking that 850s on all three and thinking that given lower ceiling RH/sigma level values ( meaning more sun), WNW wind and now solar max power lasing the countryside, those 73-75's looked a little cool in the Euro and GFS. Rarely are we faced with a circumstance where a D5 looks more reasonable in a CMC model run. heh. I don't know about 85s but I could see the Eur/GFS 2-ms being a bit light there. The difference is the CMC is warmer at 850 ...seems to be trying to commit to the early week continental delivery scenario, earlier. So yeah, the others may be couple warmer, and if the CMC ends up right ...the former will end more substantially so.

I literally slept with the bedroom window open last night and a fan on.. you people are soft lol

We got everything we want within 10 miles or less..

Frozen balls

Normies (and JB) insisting it’s been a cold May and cold spring because of recency bias plus frog in the slowly heating pot syndrome (and psychosis). Second half probably ends up AN and more than wipes out the BN anomaly to date for the month to give us 3 AN to MAN spring months. But brrrr!! It was chilly a couple times!!! So much for global warming amirite!?!

Oh I’m very aware lol

I was just coming in here to wax the virtue of that synoptic look on Saturday, ...opened the app, this was the first sentence I saw ^ Yeah... sensory overload. Top 3 day... perhaps taking first place - though it's early in the race. It feels like a trophy though; hard to top 74, light wind, lilac aroma sun-gasm weather. That's on the backside of the weak nor'easter/closed but still progressive circulation thing later Thur into Fri ( I know you're aware of all that... just sayn' ). It's a sign of the times, signifying having finally escaped the cold breeze hangover pattern. It seems the oscillation behavior that comes with will be mild to warm to mild to warm as opposed to cool to mild... with one or two CC exaggerated days mixed in.

The low was a bit cooler than expected here, got down to 35, up to 51 now.

Low of 48. Chilly walk this morning with the pup.

Yeah, not good the next week or so. May be entering a wetter period after that as the ridge breaks down

Agreed. Something delicious about short sleeves in the 40s this time of year

We might need a +5c El Nino to get that North Pacific High area - low pressure strong and persistent anomaly like 82-83 and 97-98. Right now I think the North pacific 500mb pattern may match 23-24 going forward more than other Stronger Nino's

Records: Highs: EWR: 92 (1959) NYC: 93 (1881) LGA: 88 (1991) JFK: 89 (1991) Lows: EWR: 40 (1938) NYC: 40 (1907) LGA: 43 (1940) JFK: 43 (2020) Historical: 1760: Ben Franklin was the first person to identify nor'easters. In a letter on this date, Franklin described an experience that happened to him in November 1743 when storm clouds in Philadelphia blocked his view of an eclipse. Franklin assumed that the storm had blown in from the northeast because the surface winds at his location were from that direction. He was puzzled to find out later that his brother had viewed the eclipse with no problems and that the storm had arrived in Boston four hours later. The information caused Franklin to correctly surmise that the storm had moved from southwest to northeast. 1834: Unusual snows occurred across the Northeast. 6 inches fell at Erie, PA and 12 inches at Rutland, VT from this date through the 15th. 1876: The first American newspaper weather map was published in the New York Herald. Weather maps would first appear on a regular basis beginning on May 9, 1879 in the New York Daily Graphic. 1886: A tornado, which peaked at F4 intensity, touched down in Vermilion County near Armstrong, and passed between Alvin and Rossville before moving into Indiana. At least 5 houses were destroyed, two of which were totally swept away. Three people were killed. Five other strong tornadoes occurred across Illinois that day: two near Mt. Carroll, one near Odell, one near Jacksonville, and one in Iroquois County. A tornado killed 57 people as it passed through Greene and Huron Counties of Ohio leaving 43 dead in Xenia. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1914: Record maximum temperature for Washington, DC for the date is 93 °F. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) 1929: One of Virginia's worst tornado on record occurred on this date. 6 tornadoes touched down, including two west of the Blue Ridge Mountains, killing 22 people and destroying 4 schools. 13 of the victims were killed at Rye Cove in Scott County. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1934 - A dust storm darkened skies from Oklahoma to the Atlantic coast. (David Ludlum) 1971 - Duststorms suddenly reduced visibilities to near zero on Interstate Highway 10 near Casa Grande AZ. Chain reaction accidents involving cars and trucks resulted, killing seven persons. (The Weather Channel) 1972 - In Texas, A cloudburst dumped sixteen inches of rain north of New Braunfels sending a thirty foot wall of water down Blueders Creek into the Comal and Guadalupe Rivers washing away people, houses and automobiles. The flood claimed 18 lives and caused more than twenty million dollars damage. (The Weather Channel) 1980: Cheyenne, WY received 3.8 inches of snow. It turned out to be the last snow of the 1979-80 season which produced a record 121.5 inches of snowfall. On the same day Scottsbluff, NE received just under an inch of snow (0.8 inches) which brought their snow season to an end with a record 78.5 inches. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1982 - A late season snowstorm struck the Front Range of the Colorado Rockies. The storm produced 46 inches of snow at Coal Creek Canyon, located near Boulder. (David Ludlum) 1983: Heavy wet snow fell on this date through the 12th across parts of Montana. Snowfall totals included: Pryor: 22 inches, Melstone: 19 inches, Hysham: 18 inches, Broadus: 17 inches, Red Lodge: 16 inches, Plevna: 15 inches, Columbus: 14 inches, Nye: 13 inches, Baker: 13 inches, Billings: 12 inches, Forsyth: 12 inches and Miles City: 12 inches. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1987 - A heat wave persisted in central California. Afternoon highs of 100 degrees at Fresno CA and 102 degrees at Sacramento CA were records for the date. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Unseasonably warm weather prevailed in the western U.S. Eight cities reported record high temperatures for the date, including Pendleton OR with a high of 92 degrees and Phoenix AZ with a reading of 106 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system stalled over New York State drenched Portland ME with 4.50 inches of rain in 24 hours. Rains of 5 to 7 inches soaked the state of Maine over a four day period causing 1.3 million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from eastern Texas and the Central Gulf Coast States into Missouri and Illinois. Thunderstorms spawned six tornadoes, including one which injured four persons at Doloroso MS. Thunderstorms also produced hail three inches in diameter west of Vicksburg MS, and wind gusts to 83 mph in southern Illinois, north of Vevay Park and at the Coles County Airport. High winds and heavy rain caused 1.6 million dollars crop damage in Calhoun County IL, and in southeastern Louisiana, Saint Joseph was deluged with eight inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1997: A towering tornado ripped its way through the middle of Miami, Biscayne Bay and Miami Beach right after lunch Monday, smashing cars and windows, tossing trees skyward and scaring the dickens out of thousands of people. (Ref. Miami, Biscayne Bay Tornado Story with the Tornado Image) 2000: Severe thunderstorms produced hail up to 2.5 inches in diameter from Eureka to Roanoke, causing $300,000 damage to 100 cars. This was part of a cluster of severe thunderstorms, producing hail in a large area from the Illinois River to the Indiana border. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

55 / 31 sunny. Nicest day of the next 3 still a bit below normal but a pleasant mid - upper 60s. Clouds showers back Wed - Thu and rain looks in the 0.5 - 1.0 range in the wettest scenario. Clearing out as the closed upper trough rolls through. Much warmer by Sat and into next week with above to much above normal >80 and some 90s potentially. Beyond there overall warmer perhaps some onshore influence especially at the coast/beaches. But overall ridging into the east 5/17 - beyond.

That would be bad... That is the Stars and Strikes tournament in Elkridge

Chilly morning out this way… but beautiful blue skies.

Let’s see what the westerlies/WWBs, +IOD and TC’s do over the next few months….how far east do they push that warm pool?

I still dislike Mayo

We’re getting some rain this morning from the N edge of the precip. area. The possibility of rain for today wasn’t even mentioned in the forecast for this far N until late last night as the N edge of rain chances had been forecasted S of here. Temps are in the middle 60s.

Got down to 32° on the dot this morning.

Widespread lows were in the 30’s overnight with some valley locations near or below freezing this morning. The lowest reading was the 31.5 at Warwick Township. That is tied for the 2nd coldest reading for today’s date across Chester County behind only the 31-degree low recorded at Coatesville in 1907 and Morgantown in 1963, That may well be our last freezing observation across the county until October. We continue with below normal temperatures through the rest of the work week before we warm up to well above normal temperatures starting Saturday and into next week. Rain chances increase by tomorrow night into Thursday morning.

Widespread lows were in the 30’s overnight with some valley locations near or below freezing this morning. The lowest reading was the 31.5 at Warwick Township. That is tied for the 2nd coldest reading for today’s date across Chester County behind only the 31-degree low recorded at Coatesville in 1907 and Morgantown in 1963, That may well be our last freezing observation across the county until October. We continue with below normal temperatures through the rest of the work week before we warm up to well above normal temperatures starting Saturday and into next week. Rain chances increase by tomorrow night into Thursday morning.

I drove through the East Quabbin hill towns yesterday. Wilderness with scattered houses. It’s so rural. Good sandwiches at Petersham Country Store though.