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  2. I’m up in nova for break right now so I’ll be on the north side of Shenandoah. I need to take a better look this evening but I’ll @ you. Though honestly i plan to nowcast using https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-W_Virginia-truecolor-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined and for you the Charlottesville airport has ceiling height (though not ceiling top).
  3. as long as it's not hot and humid. Currently 43 and rainy here in Midtown
  4. It has actually cut back a bit... but destroys us
  5. Yeah… on spring break so I woke up less than an hour ago. Thought the cams looked better for tomorrow
  6. Great let's throw another 1.5" precipitation into a ripening snowpack that has 2.5 to 5 inches of water. Then throw some crazy 60s over 40s to melt it all at once. Guaranteed to be flooding
  7. Yea, I said last night I could see like 4-8", but went 3-6" for now because it's safer.
  8. Another tough forecast for my area. I don't envy the mets.
  9. Gut says like 3-5’’ of total cement but there’s definitely an argument for a higher end wet snow event. Might get shotgun blasts with GFS or HRRR solution.
  10. I get that. I'm just ready for a string of 50's. Even I don't really want 70's and 80's. That makes things bloom, then when the inevitable cold snap comes, all those blooms are toast when we dip down to 20 or below.
  11. Who said this winter was trash? Good winter, yes. B+, which is good, very good. But an A+? (Which is perfect, this winter has not been) That's weenie crazy, a whole different level of craziness.Wood Chipper!
  12. Sunny and 72 down here in Waynesboro..
  13. ECMWF made the 6z/18z runs open access early last year I believe.
  14. It would have worked this morning. Just the very tops.
  15. GFS was a tick warmer in CT with less icing. I'd feel better in the Northern Hills, especially NW.
  16. Remember where I am located and what surrounds me lol if it's sunny no wind then highly possible
  17. The 2015 storm I'm talking about was in November, before Thanksgiving. The one you highlight was the last widespread "big dog" across all of Chicagoland. The 2018 fun was a couple separate storms as I recall. I just know I was miserable in Mexico and my husband getting pissed at me over it b/c I kept looking at models and radars and complaining I wasn't there. Sad, I know.
  18. That's a great idea... I might do that too. You think the Afton Mtn overlook on 64 has enough elevation? Or need to be up in the park?
  19. Yeah, I didn't mention it because the city really got screwed on that one. It was the rare recent storm where the NW won out. That was a heartbreak for the city - models literally changed drastically as the storm was ongoing and it cut further north.
  20. Yea, winter is coming to an end. But who knows, we just might have a major winter storm to contend with before things settle down. Looking forward to a good thunderstorm to kick off the Spring season. Maybe the cold er air already in place will diminish our chances here in eastern Pennsylvania.
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