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  2. qg_omega
    Record warm AUGUST across CONUS, who forecasted that?
  3. Torch Tiger
    next Tuesday could be fun, esp. SW NE?
  4. FPizz
    Congrats to the rest of the country. Don S post yesterday: Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 53% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.0° (0.1° below normal).
  5. NorthHillsWx
    Pretty wild the NHC had to include this in its discussion this morning: The timing of the use of the name Dolly for this storm is purely coincidental. Tropical storm and hurricane names for the North Atlantic Basin originate from six pre-determined rotating lists established by the World Meteorological Organization Region IV Hurricane Committee. The name Dolly replaced Diana after the 1990 hurricane season and was first used in 1996.
  6. SouthCoastMA
    September is the new August
  7. Snowlover11
    Holy thunder & Lightning
  8. GaWx
    Hello, Dolly!
  9. BobbyHolikWillFindYou
    Lights flickering on the Oakland/Wayne border. No wind though. Very unusual.
  10. forkyfork
  11. KakashiHatake2000
    SPC has marginal risk out for east tn for 5% damaging winds and 5% hail .
  12. GaWx
    I didn’t see the radar loop yesterday (8/26) for my area. However, based on radar based rainfall estimates shown by local TV websites and considering Hunter’s 1.27”, I’m roughly estimating my home got a 2nd day in a row of a good hit yesterday with 0.75” (for 8/26). I’m not there to see a measurement. I already very roughly estimated 1.5” the day before (for 8/25). That puts my place at ~~7.25” MTD, a very beneficial wetter than normal being there’s still a moderate drought there lingering per the latest Drought Monitor.
  13. NorthHillsWx
    The relief from the heat was nice, as were the low DPs. Back up into the 70's with current DP. Looks like another extended period AN just as football season kicks off, joy
  14. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
    This guide explains it well: Stromectol tips to avoid side effects.
  15. George BM
    Advisories on Tropical Storm Dolly being initiated at 11 o'clock ante meridiem.
  16. weatherwiz
    Agreed. Models too continuing to show enlarging of the hodographs through the day as well with decent instability.
  17. Typhoon Tip
    A little more encouraged re convection today as the orientation of the fields has a better change for residuals chugging E of the ignition region
  18. NorthHillsWx
    Funny, getting classified as the shear leaves it a naked swirl, whereas it was likely a TS most of the night and looked much, much better
  19. EC609
    Maybe ORD will snag another 1 or 2. I think they are sitting at 12 for the year. That's gotta be below average I would think.
  20. MJO812
    https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/winter-2026-2027-first-forecast-super-el-nino-polar-vortex-snow-cold-united-states-canada-europe-fa/?fbclid=IwdGRjcAT9JoxjbGNrBP0l63Bkb2YFZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAc3J0YwZhcHBfaWQMMzUwNjg1NTMxNzI4AAEezbLprzeZm_l4j6uPr56iE-akeZ4XeTHsxqlAWZXPbVtqB7lAYJMCHZffT68_aem_PgtonIDoor2992y5PIongQ
  21. MJO812
    Good read https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/winter-2026-2027-first-forecast-super-el-nino-polar-vortex-snow-cold-united-states-canada-europe-fa/?fbclid=IwdGRjcAT9JoxjbGNrBP0l63Bkb2YFZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAc3J0YwZhcHBfaWQMMzUwNjg1NTMxNzI4AAEezbLprzeZm_l4j6uPr56iE-akeZ4XeTHsxqlAWZXPbVtqB7lAYJMCHZffT68_aem_PgtonIDoor2992y5PIongQ
  22. AnEndlessMaze
    Coincidentally, the next tropical storm will be named Dolly... we really do live in a simulation.
  23. smokeybandit
    The advisory says it's expected to be short lived. So, Dolly is going to be a 9 To 5 storm?
  24. WxUSAF
    Nice 9-10”+ rain bullseye for old Ellicott city on the 12z NAM nest
  25. WxWatcher007
    First advisory on Dolly coming at 11am.
  26. tamarack
    The 2 most recent events that promised widespread rain (a couple days prior to each) totaled 0.15" here, so I'm not very optimistic for today/tomorrow. Probably just enough clouds to block our view of the lunar eclipse. We're about 1-for-10 on lunars, usually due to clouds but sometimes because we don't care to get up at 2 AM to watch. This one peaks here shortly after midnight.
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