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Not modeled and likely won’t happen.

Paste Greta’s face on that woman

Hopefully this guy

No.....I think I'm like .2. But even light qpf will have nice fluff taking place.

Out celebrating…if you put Greta on that face..might have to bring the fangs lol. All good and funny.

This is close

Had a high of 51 after a low of 24 for the last day of 2025. My monthly stats: Highest temp: 77 Lowest temp: 18 Highest dew point: 65 Lowest Dew point: 3 Rainfall: 4.65" Snowfall: only flurries My end of year stats: Highest temp: 99 Lowest temp: 17 Highest dew point: 87 Lowest Dew point: 3 Rainfall: 53.6" Snowfall: 5"

Euro is actually pretty good lol

Where would we be without it?

Ah yes! I have found the jet charts! Sadly it does not look like it has been updated since early November Here is the link for someone if they can see something I didn't on the website for more recent info. https://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/awinters/realtime/D1_Deterministic_NPJPD.php

Here’s the GIF, ya it’s close .. it’s still 72-84 out .. would like to see ensembles at 00z jump onboard with some hits

Is that you in the blue?

i don't know how much we can really move this closer given the lead time, but it's getting a bit precarious

And the boys are ROLLING over Dicky Pitino Jr. Happy New Year. Just poured an ice cold New Park IPA.

Who do we trust more here? Love those Brits.

No actual squalls within 10 miles of NYC anyway. Maybe Susses County if they hold?

Yes, and sharper, plus partial phasing. GFS is flatter and weaker with the surface low and doesnt draw in enough cold air because of the lack of interaction/sharpness with the shortwave.

IMO, the second half of January will have a lot more potential than the first half. Indeed, there could even be a transitional mild period that develops on or around January 7th.

Nice way to ring in the year.

Do we not want tropical convection in the western Pac at this point? If Webb had #PolarVortex the above he would have had 2.1 million views! The maps Jax posted earlier seem to show the tropical convection potentially being enhanced in the region from Webb's image above. Jax, I know you know what I have circled, but I put the circle and arrow on there for people who may not. Not a good sign for the upcoming pattern though if we have brought out the GLAAM charts. (joking...)(ish) We may have to find the sacred jet vector charts soon so we can see if it is poleward or equatorward!

60.5”

There’s too much worry about rain. I don’t need that stress

…..

Keep it going. Little more phase will blossom the qpf shield