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It's been one of the most beautiful Octobers that I can remember. Arctic blue sky, perfect temps, no rain. It's not that dry. The trails i hike in the woods are moist like they usually are from November to May. The shorter days and low sun angle doesn't dry things out.
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Hopefully this one does not vaporize as well.
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Do we actually have Euro/GFS agreement for the end of next week
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
There was literally a generational blizzard ongoing last February, and he was posting images illustrating how the magnitude of the anomaly paled in comparison to the warmth in the southwest....love-ya-mean-it, Chris...but wow- -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I love a lot of his data, but the instinct to compulsively extinguish any potential hope for winter is uncanny....it's like Robo Cop or Terminator...whereas you don't even have to explicitly express optimism, but if his sensors flag data he perceives as something that could theoretically engender even a modicum of hope, he pounces. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
MJO812 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Winter cancel ? -
Woke up to a thunderstorm in Henderson, NV. Why did I have to come here for weather? I'm in a state of disbelief at the stretch of weather back east. Has it rained there the past 2 weeks?
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If a cold November is correlated with a cold winter, then there's no reason why snow in November should be correlated with a warm winter. Probably coincidental in my view.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Jesus, Chris....we get it. There's no hope. "My beach umbrella is longer than your snow shovel" -
Steve's a good dude.
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SWS for Wildfire today because I don't think it's rained here in a month. The point and click also removed all mentions of rain for the next week. The next precipitation I see here may be snow.
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Looks like HGR will end up with a top 20 warmest Oct (58.4 Mean as of yesterday) but they had one day with what I remember to be severe related qpf so not near any monthly records at 2.33" total.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Based on your graph, the 0Z 10/30 Euro is calling for the avg of Nov 1-15 to be ~-1 m/s. That’s ~16 lower than the next lowest for any Nino since 1950 (2009), which was near +15, and ~26 lower than the avg for El Niño since 1950: 26: projected -1 09: +15 04: +16 58: +17 06: +18 Avg Nino +25 -
Falls Lake is reaching the summer low point today and will certainly fall a bit more.
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I think that those were the exceptions.
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Stein ends in a week or so. Enjoy it now because it will be…
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
EasternLI replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Huh? Why does something need to be more impressive than something else? It's all impressive. I'm just not all that surprised by that. That's what super el nino does. - Today
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41 degrees this morning. Weather has been beautiful, but we could use some rain. My water I fish is getting pretty skinny. TGIF
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That bodes well imby too. I'd take that in a heartbeat.
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10 to 40"...well that narrows it down
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DCA clocking in with a dry October, with almost an inch and a half deficit. Approaching -7.5” on the year.
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