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Holy wind
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From several showers and a severe thunderstorm yesterday, I received ~1.75” yesterday. That puts me at ~3.80” MTD. I received more rain overnight of varying intensities and it’s still falling very lightly. I’ll post the total for this later. It will be >0.5”.
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.39 here, but better than nothing. It is a beautiful day out there today! Glad that you guys cashed in.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Grain of salt....this guy is kind of a weenie IMHO. https://www.severe-weather.eu/ -
Excellent summer so far. Here is my local CSA haul for this week. Going to sit on the deck and shell those 3 bags of English peas.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Parents are here this weekend. They’ve been here during the Halloween blizzard, Sandy, Irene and several 100 degree, humid as Houston days. Nice they get a taste of what true PA summer should be. -
I managed .65 as things were mostly south or north of me.
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Got some great rainfall with highs today and tomorrow in the 70s with lows in the 50s. More rain coming Monday.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The El Niño standing wave/forcing around the dateline has become extremely well pronounced with organized and strong, persistent convection in that area. Negative OLR and negative CHI200 anomalies are really showing up now, indicating the strengthening of organized deep convection and upper tropospheric divergence…. @GaWx Given that the MEI is a measurement of SSTs, sea level pressure (which includes SOI in part of that measurement), surface winds and OLR, my guess is that it continues to rise at the current record-breaking pace on the next update -
Yes sir! Had just a hair under you at 1.67 but that really beats any forecast that was put out which im happy about. Got some really beneficial rainfall and it was even raining at around 6 this morning.
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The risk turned out to be a very windy sunny warm day. This was nothing for days storm wise.
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Down in Morehead City, NC. Impressive line coming through the county and a good spin right over Havelock.
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Countdown to less sunlight begins
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Countdown to less sunlight begins
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
2026 warmed to +1.2 relative OISST on June 17th, which is 0.1 warmer than the warmest week on record (back to 1982) centered nearest to June 17th, 1997’s +1.1: 2026: +1.2 1997: +1.1 1987: +1.0 2015: +0.9 1982: +0.8 1994: +0.7 1991: +0.6 2002: +0.5 2009: +0.4 2023: +0.4 Data source: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/rel_wksst9120.txt -
Will this system “reconfigure” the atmosphere now so it will start raining on the regular? Or will it go back to being dry?
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Got the decent rains over night and this morning. yay!!! .85" for the day today. 1.03" for Arthur and company. You can hear the sighs of the lawns and plants outside this morning.
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2026 Spring/Summer Mountain Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
I just emptied 1.79 inches out of the gage this morning. Not bad at all for yesterday's beneficial rain! -
Feels like one of those deals that could have a narrow area of intense rain.
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Just like the Commanders, things always look good for winter in June, but I agree, at least we have some hope!
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yeah, the other overlapping marine heatwaves are adding warmer La Niña-like influences to the mix. Especially when the forcing extends closer to the Maritime Continent which pumps the Southeast ridge. This is why the pattern has been so much warmer in the East this spring into June than we have typically have seen during past developing super El Niños. But the next 10 days look more Nino-like with a trough centered near the Great Lakes and less warmth in the East. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=24&which=cd&csector=conus&var=high&w=rank&p=day&year=2026&month=5&sdate=2026%2F06%2F01&edate=2026%2F06%2F19&cmap=RdYlBu&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png -
Some of the models are starting to favor I-90. This is a SWFE type system but in June and we all know how those normally turn out.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The Bjerknes feedback started last month. And those typhoons are only going to amplify the WWBs/westerlies behind them, in their wake. We are witnessing a historic event that will be remembered for many, many years to come -
Looks good to me. It’s looking colder than what models had for 23-24 Nino
