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I haven't seen all my windows fogged up like this since last season. That's always a good sign on a thunderstorm day. Last evenings classic summer thunderstorm was great. I sat outside for the entire thing. I even got to experience a couple close strikes that rocked the ground. Today looks like storm chances hold off until later in the evening. Getting another storm today would be beneficial.
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Starting to look that way.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
And if we wanted go back one more year, I'm sure Feb 2015 had a +10 departure somewhere in the West. I feel like 2011-12 was the tipping point. I just checked the departures, and there were places in North Dakota that maintained the +10 departure for 4 months straight, from December 2011 to March 2012. -
I can't imagine IMBY getting a ripping bow echo at 8am like what southern IA is experiencing currently.
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Wish winds would take down all the invasive trees myself
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Any chance we might see SPC bump us up to Enhanced risk for Friday?
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Yeah, just poking around the NWS non-standard sites and everyone was 68 to 72 for a low. Some in fact are 80 by 80... that's a bit above climo too. We'll see where we are at 10am. I don't frankly see any limitations on high temperature as the nocturnal weakly bounded low on the arm of the warm front has escaped seaward and clearing has enveloped; we're pretty much unobstructed solar, dumping raw radiant power into a very prepped situation/high-ish launch scenario. I'm noticing an AWT moment as NWS has indeed extended the headlines throughout - that weak BD idea in the models was another example of their going from poor detection in previous generations, to being oversensitive and over creating them if you ask me ...
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93.2 for the high yesterday. Big uptick in humidity today
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The MCV track looks south of what models have been predicting.
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at least all the weak sauce silver maples came down yesterday
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As long as it rains in Templeton fine by me.
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The strait of dews will be open in a few days. We have a very very good deal with the gulf on the table.
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60s straight through July to Feb?
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Dews will be back. 2 more weeks
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Ridge centers in the plains 11-15 day. I’m also hearing July may be cancelled.
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Cancelled like a Trump ceasefire
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It’s cancelled. 75-83 is Fall.
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Yup. With that mayor there the city is going to literally burn . You couldn’t pay me enough to be anywhere near there this weekend -
Very surprised that there's still not a moderate risk area. Today definitely looks to have widespread severe. Already many 70-80mph wind reports out west with the incoming MCS.
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Low clouds here but it already has the “feel” of a hot one today.
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At least we get to watch cars flipped and fires in NYC this week. That will be entertaining. Maybe it will even get wilder than the pumpkin rioters in Keene.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
0.15" from last evening's storms. -
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Lots 79-86 type days and near 60 at night . And of course Stein -
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Whenever he is weather frustrated with boredom he takes it out on the board lol
