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Bahhhboom

Records: Highs: EWR: 85 (1975) NYC: 84 (1920) LGA: 82 (1975) JFK: 82 (1990) Lows: EWR: 32 (1932) NYC: 37 (1988) LGA: 40 (1993) JFK: 37 (1993) Historical: 1909: An F3 tornado struck Pittsburg Landing and Stantonville, TN killing 23 people and injuring 80 others. 1933: An F3 tornado destroyed farms near Sayre, Oklahoma; three people died, one was hurt. One family was found two hundred yards from the foundation of their destroyed home. A seven-year-old girl was found alive in the arms of her dead 74 year old great-grandmother. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2012 Accord Pub. 2011, USA) 1941: America's first television weather forecast was broadcast on New York's WNBT (later WNBC). There weren’t many televisions at that time, so viewers were limited to perhaps a few hundred people. The weathercast consisted of a sponsor's message followed by a text screen containing the next day's forecast. 1957 - Floodwaters roared through a migrant labor camp near the town of Picacho AZ flooding fifty cabins and a dozen nearby homes. 250 migrant workers lost their shelters. The month was one of the wettest Octobers in Arizona weather history. (The Weather Channel) 1965 - Heavy rains hit the coastal areas of southeastern Florida. In a 24 hour period rains of twenty inches were reported from Deerfield Beach to Fort Lauderdale, with 25.28 inches on the Fort Lauderdale Bahia-Mar Yacht Basin. Flooding that resulted caused considerable damage to roads and streets. The rains inundated numerous newly planted vegetable fields, and some residences. Ten miles away just 4.51 inches of rain was reported. (14th- 15th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1966: Late season severe thunderstorms brought softball size hail to parts of Brown, Dodge, Freeborn, Pipestone, Ramsey, Rock, and Steele Counties in MN. An enormous hailstone crashed through the windshield of a truck near Claremont in Dodge County, MN. It was reported to be 16 inches in circumference. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA) (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) Iowa struck by devastating late season tornado outbreak. A total of 12 tornadoes touched down, including an F4 that devastated a large part of Belmond Iowa. It was the day of the homecoming parade in the town, but fortunately the threatening skies had caused the crowds to break up before the twister's arrival. 6 people died in this tornado. 75 of the 112 businesses in the town were destroyed. Damage totaled $12 million. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1969: Portland, OR recorded its earliest freeze ever as of 1969. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1981 - Four days of heavy rain across northern Texas and southern Oklahoma came to an end. The heaviest rains fell in a band from southwest of Abilene TX to McAlester OK, with up to 26 inches reported north of Gainesville, in north central Texas. The heavy rains were the result of decaying Hurricane Norma, which also spawned thirteen tornadoes across the region. Seven deaths were attributed to the flooding. (Storm Data) 1984 - Dense fog contributed to a 118 vehicle accident on I-94, just south of Milwaukee WI. It was the seventh day of an eight day stretch of dense fog. At the time of the accident the visibility was reportedly close to zero. (Storm Data) 1987 - Sixteen cities, mostly in the Appalachain Region, reported record low temperatures for the date. Record lows included 43 degrees at Lake Charles LA, 35 degrees at Augusta GA, and 27 degrees at Asheville NC. Gale force winds buffeted the Carolina coast. Light snow fell across parts of Wyoming, Colorado, and western South Dakota. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Forty cities in the eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Elkins WV was the cold spot in the nation with a record low of 18 degrees above zero. Thunderstorms in Arizona drenched Phoenix with nine inches of rain in nine hours, the fifth highest total for any given day in ninety-two years of records. Carefree AZ was soaked with two inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather over Michigan during the morning, and over New York State and Connecticut during the afternoon and evening hours. Thunderstorms spawned two tornadoes, and there were ninety reports of large hail or damaging winds, including seventy reports of damaging winds in New York State. A tornado at McDonough NY killed one person and injured three other people. Strong thunderstorm winds gusted to 105 mph at Somerset. Temperatures warmed into the 80s and lower 90s over much of the nation east of the Rockies, with eleven cities reporting record high temperatures for the date. Afternoon highs of 81 degrees at Beckley WV and Bluefield WV equalled October records. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

70 / 64 and likely the warmest day of the next 10 days to 2 weeks and perhaps till next year with mid 70s to low 80s in the warmest spots. Clouds and scattered showers the caveat to maxes todat. Cooler period Fri - Sun, with lowest temps since late april and frost / freeze possible inland but weekend looks dry. Ridge builds east center of ridge looks west so while overall warm, some onshore componenet to deal with but still suspect a few warm to very warm days as flow comes around to the sw. 10/19 - 10/29 : overall warmer , warmest west

Main October ridge axis continues to remain much further south into the CONUS for an El Niño as we have seen since May. But starting to get some indication that the more typical SW trough will emerge in the means as we move further into mid-October. So the final monthly composite will probably have a split NP low between the Bering Sea and the SW CONUS.

We haven’t closed ours yet haha

Of note 141 years ago today back in 1885 Chester County was on the last day of a 3 day storm that left as much as 2.48" of rain at West Chester 2NW. This was the remnants of an unnamed tropical storm which tracked within about 100 miles of the county. Today we should see highs in the upper 70's to low 80's which is about 15 degrees above normal with lows tonight in the low to mid 50's. Temperatures will run 5 to 10 degrees above normal through Friday but by Saturday we drop to 4 to 8 degrees below normal, before we return to near normal by Tuesday. By Sunday morning lows will be in the low to mid 30's with a freeze possible in the colder valleys! Our best chance of rain is Friday with around 0.31" according to the ChescoWx model.

Of note 141 years ago today back in 1885 Chester County was on the last day of a 3 day storm that left as much as 2.48" of rain at West Chester 2NW. This was the remnants of an unnamed tropical storm which tracked within about 100 miles of the county. Today we should see highs in the upper 70's to low 80's which is about 15 degrees above normal with lows tonight in the low to mid 50's. Temperatures will run 5 to 10 degrees above normal through Friday but by Saturday we drop to 4 to 8 degrees below normal, before we return to near normal by Tuesday. By Sunday morning lows will be in the low to mid 30's with a freeze possible in the colder valleys! Our best chance of rain is Friday with around 0.31" according to the ChescoWx model.

2006 had a huge October NAO block, and then the winter sucked rectal-cheese.

I just checked on Pool hours and was very disappointed! \

Describe the sound made when a sheep explodes.

About 1" of rain from the last system. Foliage is at peak here. A super peak! It will all be over by the weekend.

Must say, you have done an exemplary job with your diagnosis of this El Nino. Kudos, and genuinely glad to have you back.

This WWB is record-breaking, much, much stronger and much further east than the massive one we had back in October, 1997. It’s going to spawn another DWKW and cause a big warming burst again in regions 1+2, 3 and 3.4

I’m a little late, but I finally got the chance to check out the CPA Weather Lab site you put together and wanted to say thanks. Really nice interface with a lot of useful info one place for our neck of the woods. Appreciate your efforts! .

Tool bag....always beware of the "forecasting" entities that use gaudy AI visuals...it's a compensation.

Decent QBO analogs.

Another record event was set this week: 13 tornadoes have been confirmed in NC alone making this the single largest tornado outbreak from a tropical system In the states history. Also the Fayetteville tornado was upgraded to EF2 which isn’t surprising given the damage pics. Very fortunate there weren’t more injuries across the state. Isaias will not be forgotten here. One of the tornadoes In louisburg touched down less than 200 yards from my farm and the survey team was out there Monday

Raw raw sis boom bah