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0z EURO snows in central NC again.

I'm not sure. I remember Frank, metsfan and some guy named Tom.

Thanks to some of our recent snows, the conditions I encountered on yesterday’s ski tour at Bolton Valley were certainly decent above 2,000’ and getting quite good above 2,500’. With some additional snow overnight, and temperatures expected to reach up into the 20s F today, it was enough to get me thinking about heading out again. My wife also had some time to ski, so the two of us headed up to Bolton for a morning session. With all lifts running, we were able to park down at Timberline, but based on the elevation dependence I’d seen in the snow accumulations and quality, we headed right up to the main mountain for most of our skiing. The additional of some new overnight snow helped all around, but there were still dramatic differences with respect to the quality of conditions at various elevations. I hadn’t gotten up above 3,000’ yesterday, but I did today, and the depths of the surface snow were impressive. I was finding 12-15” of powder in undisturbed areas at the top of Wilderness, so there really are some impressive areas of good skiing once you get up at to those elevations. We didn’t do much skiing in the lower elevation terrain of Timberline until we were heading back to the car, but skiing off piste down near the 1,500’ elevations range made it clear that it wasn’t worth spending a lot of time down there. Even in untouched areas on the lower slopes of Spell Binder there were just a couple inches of powder above the hard subsurface, so there’s no real chance of getting any sort of bottomless turns, even on lower angle terrain.

Precip "free"? I'm assuming that was a typo, lol

Snow starting in central PA, a bit ahead of schedule. Expecting around 2” from this in Allentown…hopefully the evening stuff comes west for a little more.

Pretty solid area of snow has blossomed up from WV over western and central PA the last couple hours. Something that the HRRR hasn’t really seen at all in recent runs where it doesn’t blossom precip til later over the Sus Valley. 0z 3k NAM looks to have seen that better as have the RGEM and globals. So I guess in other words, the HRRR is about the only thing that didn’t see that. Snow falling here isn’t doing much currently, but it is accumulating up in the Laurels per 511 cams.

Ecmwf almost gets the entire country precip free on friday.

Not only is it damn hard for Mid Atlantic to get snow, but we can't even get that damn reaper to get up off of the damn couch, get that jelly donut out of his demonic face, and put on that murder garment and come reap us up because it hasnt even snowed in YEARS here in the Mid Atlantic! And we are ALL on the LEDGE!

pax i long time no speak, i think you're going to be in the bullseyes, you could get 7 inches tomorrow

3.25"

AmWx needs to have a get together in the Snow Belts and let Ji personally experience 6 inch an hour snow, watch that wind blow those huge dendrites around like dust! Sit on a beach chair and watch that snow pile up real fast! Bring a truckload of IPA's too!

I am frackin' JEALOUS!

If the blocking and 50/50 being advertised actually develop over suppression may be our biggest potential fail mode. Hopefully one of those big cutoffs can slide under the ridge out west and time up well.

Brother it just fuckin snowed in the last 24 hours.

Here is a spreadsheet I have tracked in my backyard since 2001

0z GFS. lol

3 5080 rtx

One thing to watch for later today: The NAM and RGEM end the event by mid or late morning for everyone west of the Bay, while the GFS and some HRRR cycles have precip ending by late morning but then bring another round of snow for DC and points east later in the afternoon.

Seriously. I'm baffled by he expectation that we should lock in a solution at 240 hours and have every consecutive deterministic cycle not waiver in the slightest.

@weathafellais still posting here. Check the SNE forum. https://www.americanwx.com/bb/profile/79-weathafella/ So is Randy: https://www.americanwx.com/bb/profile/9-stormtracker/

of course prior to this i knew that ensembles were better than ops at d5+. but half the time people don't give a shit about what i say, so if i introduce a red tagger maybe they'll listen? idk man,

Prior to this you were not aware that ensembles were dramatically more valuable than OP runs 8-10 days out? Bruh. WAY too many posters in this thread - many of whom SHOULD know better - acting shocked and despairing about variable OP outcomes over a week away. Come on, folks.

Another good place is the Lake Effect Snow Belts. Watertown's getting Janu-Buried in 4 feet of fresh snow!

Dude it’s a holiday weekend please go out to WV and hike in the snow