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Have to get something to dig and amplify, everything is either cutting north and missing SNE even or squashed and weak, passing off VA. Not gonna work for my area through SNE and everywhere in-between. Flow needs to calm down a tad.

As I'm fond of noting, today is the earliest sunset. It's another month or so for the latest sunrise. The discrepancy is the difference between true solar time and the chronological time we use.

METAR KORD 071051Z 02006KT 3/4SM R10L/P6000FT -SN BR VV009 M02/M02 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP160 SNINCR 1/8 P0008 T10171022

Rather lame. But splitting hairs between a few tenths vs forecasted 1-2”.

Friday looks like a clipper. It’s a start. 34 degrees this morning.

Quality

METAR KORD 070951Z 01006KT 1/4SM R10L/3500VP6000FT +SN FZFG VV005 M02/M02 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP160 SNINCR 1/7 P0007 T10171022

I finished with 5.6 inches. I have almost reached last winter's snow total on December 7th.

METAR KORD 070751Z 12004KT 1 1/4SM -SN BR BKN006 OVC015 M01/M02 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP155 SNINCR 1/5 P0003 T10111022

Northampton County is categorized in severe drought

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 137 AM EST Sun Dec 7 2025 NCZ049-050-071445- /O.NEW.KGSP.WW.Y.0013.251208T0600Z-251209T0600Z/ Yancey-Mitchell- 137 AM EST Sun Dec 7 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected above 3500 feet. Total snow accumulations up to 3 inches. * WHERE...Mitchell and Yancey Counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM Monday to 1 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...The snowfall will create slippery and snow covered roadways. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Up to an inch of snow is possible in the valley locations of Mitchell and Yancey counties, mainly Monday morning. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

Dumping large flakes on the north side. Radar across E IA/W IL looks real good for now.

I'll have to check that one out. I picked up a great book about it about five years ago: "Action Park: Fast Times, Wild Rides, and the Untold Story of America's Most Dangerous Amusement Park"

Freezing Fog Advisory. This is the first time I have ever seen this.

I thought the same…all you need to know.

Tonight’s Euro is probably the worst case scenario in terms of cashing in on our December cold. There’s the mid-week clipper well to the north and then just a whole lot of nothing before a warm up leading into Christmas.

Freezing rain is now mixing in here as well. 1-3" call for QC was money.

Could crank the lake effect machine in these parts big time

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/12/significant-snows-likely-on-horizon-mid.html

I have no doubt it will be a good December. Already off to a great start in WNE. Before NYE I'm expecting at least one or two 1"-3" events and at least one warning event for you and me.

Significant Snows Likely On Horizon Mid-Month Multi-ensemble, Teleconnection & Analog Consensus Guidance Flagging Mid-Month For Winter Storm Threat Although much of Eastern Mass largely missed out on last week's snowfall, there is an emergent signal out around mid-month, or more specifically, Saturday the 13th. While specifics are still several days from coming into focus, all three major ensemble suites are signaling some sort of potential. The general layout of the pattern is consistent amongst all three camps, with an amplifying trough along the east coast, some sort of a ridge over the western CONUS, cold rolling over a stout -WPO ridge. and a -NAO acting to slow the flow down slightly and lock the antecedent cold into place. Obviously this does not guarantee a major winter storm, never mind one that will focus its' wrath on the forecast area, but this threat period does have support on a larger hemispheric, and seasonal scale. Telconnector Convergence & Analogs Affirm Modeled Threat Period There exists a major misconceptualization among laymen, and even weather circles alike, that it is specific index modes that favor heightened risks of storminess, ie -WPO, EPO or AO, but it is actually the modularity, or movement, of these atmospheric teleconnections that trigger storminess, rather than any specific mode itself. This is due to the fact that the shifting of major teleconnections represents mass flux within the hemisphere, which engenders an elevated risk of storminess owed to colliding air masses and shifting pressure patterns. This is what is signaled to at least some degree in the upper latitudes late next week. Note that the East Pacific, West Pacific and Arctic oscillations are all in descent, with each reaching a nadir in the vicinity of December 13th, which represents a fairly significant storm signal. This also coincides with the time frame during the second week of December that was identified in the Winter Outlook as the favored window of time for the first significant snowfall of the season for much of the forecast area. The mid-December timeframe is also consistent with the majority of the December analogs, as 4/7 seasons (2017, 2008, 2007, 1970) featured the first widespread significant snowfall for Eastern Mass during either the second of third week of December. Stay tuned for updates throughout the week-

I won't event look at an OP until like Tuesday.

13th still on the Euro. Models will waffle for a while. Main takeaway is that the pattern is ripe for something. No need to live and die on each run.