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Humid here, 75 with partly sunny skies now

Yeah that’s the consensus I guess. Probably one of those deals where if you’re in the area pick a couple of packs up, but not worth making special trips for. I’m not a big beer/IPA guy anyway, but I do like an occasional stout in the fall.

I love their Octoberfest. I just tried their pumpkin the other day for the 1st time and liked it. I usually go with other brands for that, but it came in a variety pack I got.

I’ve been to the one near you. Was solid but not a must stop for IPA’s

Gonna see Muir woods then over to Yosemite. Cool little cabin we have in Mill Valley

Kettlehead is pretty good. They started in Tilton, but they opened another place in Meredith in the past few years. (Looks like the 4 packs may only be in Tilton)

I’d be curious to know if he has grafted varieties or regular seedlings. The wild seedlings can be a lot seedier and have a bit of an aftertaste.

knew I was going to be in for an early morning when the flashes of lightning shot through our dark curtains before the the booms of thunder

Muggy here. 73

83F at 1030 AM on September 18th. And with NW breeze. Unreal.

I'm shocked.

As usual, all the rain is in PA.

Endless relentless Septorcher !

99L looks like a storm already. This is going to break the streak. This one snuck up on me

relentless torch? LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL

Guidance today is moving to the quicker transition and breakdown of the heat ridge. Ensembles and deterministic models generally have a pretty big change coming. Even the Apple app has me in the 70s next week for highs. The real feels will be almost 25 degrees cooler than this weeks.

The SOI has been negative for 37 days in a row.

Well this one is dead and buried

It has been dry here. The irrigation ponds at the golf course have dropped considerably over the last few weeks.

Yeah, I'm just not sure how much I buy it. We've seen plenty of times, especially early in the season where guidance gets way too coastal happy. I'll say though, I am not looking forward to Fall or Winter weather forecasting. I don't think this has gotten the proper attention this deserves but the reduction in balloon launches I think is going to have severe negative impacts on models and forecasting. In fact, we've even seen it this summer. There have been multiple instances where local NWS offices in the central Plains/Midwest and I think even from SPC where they noted the reduction in launches having a significant impact on even short-term severe forecasting. I know we have better equipment and technology from satellites but balloon launches are still a critical part in the modeling process.

We are on the schedule next week for our long-awaited patio install. It's gonna pour folks!

Same people bitching about the two weeks of rain would be panicking about how we aren't seeing coastals start to show in the lead up to winter.

A good signal for coastal systems the next two weeks.

If the northern interior and elevations can squeak out all winter months < 5 F above normal (might be tough to pull off in December) they should do just fine with all the ample moisture. Coast I think is more hit or miss. We'd likely need a period with good blocking to get close to seasonal.