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Yeah, this one may have Legs for us providing the Jet doesn't shift north any. Incidentally, our first major Snowfall of '95-96 was on the 10th. I measured 7" in Pennington gap.

The 18z GFS apparently popped a weak coastal and backed the flow. Definitely want to look at ensemble members regarding that. For a progressive model to form a weak coastal....that might be something to watch. It would normally be the first OTS.

Yeah this is only a few days out. That said some minor tweaks could get our region in on the northern edge(again). Probably gotta root for more amplification earlier.

Already growing tired of this

1.1” snow today imby/Columbia Hi 28 Lo 26 thru 5pm.

The 13th is Wreaths Across America. Would be an amazing event in the snow.

You know, the 12z AIFS had a similar solution to the 18z GFS. I just didn't look that closely. It just wasn't as much snow, but still 1-3" of it.

I know a guy in Canada who can handle the energy in the maritimes. Gonna make some calls and we’ll check in again at 00z.

You want anything frozen. Build up the igloo.

One more great one !

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They added 09-10 today.

Yeah I don't know if we can get that north enough for us. That's a big ol' shredder to our north.

Models starting to get a handle on Monday-Tuesday. It has my interest as well for sure. Could be 24 straight hours of snow. Looks like we have a weekend of model watching ahead!

There's a Couple of Duds in there('16-17, 22-23) as well as a couple of near Normal One's('96-97, 12-13, 08-09) along with a Couple great Winter's ('95-96, 10-11) '21-22 was a good Winter along the Cumberlands and western locations but not area wide . I bet they just did the last 30 Year's with these.

It feels colder than the 27 degrees is

12/5: 1.2"

It has just started to snow again here in East Nantmeal for the 1st time since earlier this morning. Temp is 24.7 degrees

This could easily trend north- probably too far north lol. Pretty nice h5 look in general. That vorticity lobe over the Canadian Maritimes is a bit problematic.

18z GFS has it too, but further south...

Best I can tell is that we caught the same jet streak from the 12z run, but it backed flow just a bit. That is an extreme outlier, but interesting. Doubt it will be there in the future, but something to keep an eye on w/ low expectations.

Maybe I’m just feeling a little saucy since we did well today but part of me really wants to try and will this one back. Need to try and decipher the h500 to see what it would take but it can’t be impossible thanks @CAPE

Light sleet has started. I don't want sleet.

Was just about to say...a Baltimore screwjob part 2. Ohhh they hurt me so bad... ICON too

18z ICON would be another light solid event for VA on Monday. 18z RGEM has it to but lighter. And the 18z GFS has it as well.