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  2. Is it better to run an attic fan (with gables) and HVAC during the heatwave or just HVAC
  3. I suspect the climate models aren’t good enough yet to detect all of the circulation changes that are resulting from warming the climate. So we get these repeated 500mb ridges which keep getting stuck in places for long durations leading to these increasing record heat extremes. It’s quite possible that the repeating omega block itself which is driving the record heat pattern in Europe is also related to the warming climate.
  4. Dry ground doing the dirty work....
  5. This year was basically fine. Just need to keep it to a low simmer and slowly reconstitute the warm pool over time. Maybe throw in a cooler NATL spell that can reinforce trades and pop an actual CP Nino or two. We're at least very very likely to see some very strong Arctic warming into early winter '27-28 (response up there tends to lag lower latitudes quite a bit).
  6. If i sit outside long enough thur-sat, will my fat melt away?
  7. Yesterday was supposed to be 83 and it got to 88
  8. If you mean Central Park highly doubt it. My guess at airport high for this event is EWR hits 105 on Friday. Central Park probably tops out at 98-99.
  9. Yep, this winter I had go back over a year and delete tons of screenshots and pics so I could post any new ones.
  10. well... "heat" is typical in summer - or supposed to be... heh. We've had some summers that were little torpid in that regard - certainly with respect and comparison to CC and the world. I mean it's been warmer than normal? it has.. no question. But we ware lagging ( or been so - ) over the rest of the world for bigger heat event frequency. As others et al have noted and we've discussed, we've accrued much of our CC through nocturnal/low temperatures. Otherwise, as Scott and Brian and I have explained, there's too many ways to discretely interfere with temp rising. Subtle. I mean discrete when using that word, because it is not always very obvious ... We can look identical in the entry to Des Moines IA, yet they're 104 while we're 95...etc.. For that, which is fairly objective ... a result like what this looks like ( currently ) it's capable of achieving, would have to be considered atypically hot. But there's also a couple of facets simultaneously true. Those numbers I described, by scalar AND their implication when combined, are both above normal, but also above "normal heat waves". Any heat wave here is an anomaly... but f we were to say a 90/90/90 three days is 1 standard deviation, this is well above a single Standard Deviation if it goes on that way
  11. The Knicks win a championship, a top 5 blizzard and the first 100° temp since 2012 lol NYC winning
  12. The inner harbor site is in a microscopic 2m wide triangle surrounded by cement pavers and 30 ft from the water. It is somewhat representative of street level conditions downtown but really, official measurements should be taken at riverside park if you want accuracy
  13. +QBO Nino Decembers: 1982 (warm temps), 1987 (warm), 1994 (warm), 2006 (warm), 2015 (warm), and 2018 (normal). I count 1997’s 0.78 as neutral QBO 2004’s +2.45 and falling is pretty neutral So, I agree on 6 Nino Dec +QBOs. And all but one were warm. 2018 was NN. Favors warmth in Dec for sure! And 1997/2004 (neutral QBO) weren’t warm. Edit: Dec of 1957 also had +QBO and was warm! But Dec of 1963 (moderate Nino) and Dec of 1969 (weak Nino) were cold despite +QBO. **Edit 2: If we stick to just high end moderate/strong/super Nino fall/winter peak with +QBO Dec, Dec was warm in all 5: 1957, 1982, 87, 94, 2015. Therefore, I think warm Dec is notably climo favored as of now.
  14. Thanks Brain yeah... was just analyzing the grid. If this were not the case ^ than something is seriously wrong with the technology heh
  15. Idiosyncratic notables about this NAM output continue... 6 consecutive periods of at or > 580 dm thickness. Usually even the hottest synoptics tickle 580 around 21z each afternoon and we settle back 576... But this is hanging around at that ungodly height. Trust me...I've paid close attention to these gridded guidance numbers for long years. Tomorrow's no picnic, either. 31C max at Logan is probably a 35 C walking down Cambridge Ave or out over the parking lots of of Natick. HFD and Lowell are cooking.
  16. Heat Dome Erica looks on track. God, this is so boring. It's hard to get into heat lol
  17. What did the farm get for this month?
  18. PJM is forecasting a record grid load on 7/2. Yesterday it was forecast to be 162, this morning they updated it to 166MW. The record I believe is 162 in 2006.
  19. The 12z NAM grid's fully on board. ..whether this shows up in the machine interpolations or not, notwithstanding... but this is about as hot as I've ever seen these numbers. BOS and LGA Thursday, left to right: 5400051 31 19 -1292 11 25 11 82 34 26 19 5400048 28 12 -3294 142310 82 34 26 20 6000054 39 34 -5891 10 24 16 83 34 27 18 6000047 32 20 -0993 132513 83 35 27 20 Left to right these number illustrate a pure sear scenario. Man and I mean it! 31 and 19% is bone dry sky. Open blue, 100% undiluted solar dump in. So is 39 and 34% at 00z Friday ( bottom row). That's BOS (Logan). Likewise, LGA (Laguardia) is no different. That's the sky coverage... The next digits moving right correspond to wind direction, and speed. 24 and 25 represent 240 and 250 deg, respectively, which average WSW, at 11 to 16 kts LGA, 280 and 320 is WNW, which is idealized actually ...and given to the fact that both locations are identical synoptic constraints, these are also mutable. Call it a west wind at both for now. 0 oceanic influence. The 82 and 83 corresponds to 582 and 583 hydrostatic heights ( referred to as 'thickness'). Anything over 572 is getting into a very warm column distinction. Obviously ... rising this number means integrating more and more water into the column and in order to do that, requires heat. So, clearing 580 is both exceptional rare around our latitude, but also rare for our geological limitations. I'm starting to feel this is our best synergistic heat performance we've seen since the phenom was recently codified. The rest of the numbers, "34 26 19" (BOS, left) is 18z, are deg C. 34 C, left, is at the 980 mb level. Which is very rare, because the actual 2 meter by convention is typically a minimum of 3C above this number in a well mixed adiabatic environment. 4 or even 5 C is not out of the question given to the fact that the total combination of synoptic parametrics are really quite spectacular when taken holistically ( this is part of the synergy consideration). So... in simple terms, a 38 or even 39 C over a the urban sprawl of metro-west of Boston towns is quite doable. Now ... the NAM is the NAM is the NAM... there's that. It also can sometimes go large in heat in the 48+ hour range...then settle back on newer runs. The other 12z guidance is probably rolling out now.
  20. 89 right now matches yesterdays high
  21. If we don't get some storms when this ridge breaks down a bit, then we're setting ourselves up for a very hot July.
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