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We are monitoring a possible increase in severe storm probs for Thursday afternoon and evening; we spoke with the SPC concerning a categorical upgrade to MRGL (level 1) severe storm risk. The last 2 runs of the HREF indicate moderate destablization overlapping with favorable deep layer shear on the southern periphery of stronger west-northwest flow aloft. Limiting factors at this stage include displacement of best lift (well to the north) and weak convergence along the southward moving cold front - which reduces confidence to some extent. We would anticipate at least a MRGL risk on day 1 if a stronger signal for robust development emerges with time. PWATs continue to trend higher into Friday ~1.5" with a good signal for scattered showers and storms particularly across south central PA into the Susquehanna Valley. Cloud cover and weak low passing by to the southeast could limit instability over most of the area with the synoptic setup favoring some locally heavy/slow moving downpours. Cloudy and foggy conditions expected Friday night with some scattered rain showers hanging around into Saturday morning.

StaminUP

Brian Wilson died I'm telling you and everyone else, anyone who thinks the people who perform today (sports, art, whatever) are better than they were, hasn't listened to the songs Brian Wilson wrote or performed. There is NO ONE today who was as talented as he was, and right from the age of 19 when he created The Beach Boys.

Only time I had water in my basement was in December one year where it was really cold for a good stretch then it rained hard, rain just stayed on top of the frozen ground and came in under my door. I waterproofed it after that and that was the last and only time.

83 today, 65 now. Warm night

Are the doors unlocked when they get in or are they able to get in anyway?

lol JFK beats Central Park on a southerly wind..... nice

Went to Dupont today for the first time. Interesting place that doesn't fully seem like the high country but doesn't feel like the foothills.

Day 2 in PEI. Beautiful day 70’s and sun.

RIP Gary England Met him more than once. Legend.

Eventually we'll rip a late-June severe event. Not saying this is it, way too early, but the signs are there <3

With that look it seems like most of New England stays mainly dry with big rains SW of NYC

perhaps some prolific rains; these are the days we look for 10" in 2 hours :"D JJA

Sell . Not with that high pressing in

Offense has awoken!

Highs: Wet central park growth keeping NYC lower TEB: 87 EWR: 86 BLM: 85 PHL: 85 ACY: 85 LGA: 84 New Brnswck: 84 JFK: 83 TTN: 82 ISP: 81 NYC: 81

Maybe thread-worthy? Much like 2011, we'll be tracking.

Steady rain Saturday on these recent American runs

this is what I want! It's not as perfect as the textbook setups but it's decent

The only Onceler I know is from The Lorax lol

In-depth, focused discussion of the weather of New England based on formal education, practical experience, local knowledge, and cutting-edge model interpretation mixed with up-to-the-second observations of current conditions. Nothing else.

Wow! .

It's just depressing looking out that far for even a faint rumble of thunder. I bet even U.K. has had more thunder lol

East Coast favored if you believe these models

Rainfall Superblend ECMWF + UKMET July to Sep 2025