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I said this about flawed premise: And the concept of "wins the debate" is a flawed premise. What matters in science are facts and the truth. It does not care about who "wins" or "loses." I was not talking about the definitions from the norm or anomalies. I was talking about the idea of "win" or "lose" and that concept bring brought into a scientific discussion. So your reply is a non-sequitur.

Not snowblowing. Let it melt. Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Yeah I changed it last time I moved (around 2014).

Great. I was getting a little paranoid that I unintentionally said something stupid, in one of my messages. I'm gonna try to catch a quick nap.Hopefully don't miss anything good. Watch for the early cells that split today. I'd imagine one or two of those left splitters are gonna be the big hail dispensers.

Haha. She's an angry b**** today no down about that.

See what happens down the road with the MJO CFS has this big bias with Rossby Waves and always over amps them into the WP which causes constructive/destructive interference with the MJO signal,i think this is what you are seeing with this wind burst upcoming west of the IDL. As this Rossby Wave moves into the WP you could see the MJO go back into the WP,this seems like what the RMMS are hinting at, but shortly after the MJO could move fast into the IO after and even strenghten into the IO This is just my thinking ATM and surely could be wrong

I'm here! Just got home from lunch out with my wife. Temp here is 81! All eyes on the radar...

Not sure if you changed it once already, but yeah, there's some ridiculous amount of time to then change it yet again on one's own I believe (it's possible to do it once, basically, on your own). So I'm guessing that you had changed it sometime awhile back, thus got the "30,000 day" denial or something like that when you tried again more recently. I'm sure perhaps a mod would be able to go in there and change something to let you do it again. ETA: I'm tempted to suggest that you change your name to "The User formerly known as Prince[FredericWx]"!!

Not sure how well this will time up, but anybody that's done, their research knows that this could have significant impact on the lightning if proton flux time's up properly. I don't understand the science enough to know the timing. But we coukd end up with an incredible lightning event tonight If things do time up properly.

YO@! @Jns2183 G3 (Strong) Geomagnetic Storming Observed 22 Mar 6 hours ago — G3 (Strong) geomagnetic storming was observed during the 0900-1200 UTC synoptic period on 22 Mar as what is likely high speed stream onset

I’m truly loving this weather. There’s a little breeze as well.

lol that’s awful. In other news, I like my Trek FX 2 so far, but sometimes I want a road bike that has those style of handlebars like what the Trek Domane has. Certainly could see the benefit on longer rides (though mine are more neighborhood fitness loops).

It’s a means to determine which region is experiencing the greatest anomaly It’s the average of the deviation from the norm, which is climatology There is no flaw on that premise

Western and West central Pa. At this time seems to be the area of best increasing indices and overlap.. We still have work to do here in immediate cpa There's still plenty of time and as mentioned, the enhanced parameters are advecting east. At this moment in time I would have to say that west central and western pa, seem to be the place of best interest ,but that can certainly change as the day progresses.

The current temperature of 83 at PIT is tied for second warmest March day on record, and is the earliest in the season that we’ve ever reached 83. Edit: we’ve now at least tied the monthly record of 84, set on 3/25/1929.

Great day SW of NYC-horrid here with clouds and mist 51

Thanks, Anthony. I hope they really timber! But the “timber” of the AO and NAO means are still just to neutral. The means were timbering to actual negatives starting around now that were shown 8 days ago per the images below vs today’s bringing them down to just neutral and not til early April: they’re verifying now WAY more + than those timbering progs to negative. Thus they get an easy F grade:

Eyeballing a bit over 4” now

You will have plenty of warm days ahead. Its not the end of the world

Cloudy, windy and cool along Barnegat Bay, NJ this morning...

Love is in the air.

That is correct. I never it is wasn't a record breaking air mass. Local contamination from infrastructure is common even in sparely populated areas. Parking lots, vehicle traffic, solar panel arrays, AC units, etc. all contribute. And the digital thermometers have a warm bias compared to glass thermometers b/c they record instantaneous temp and react quickly to any changes in the air. ASOS use 5-min avg temp to mitigate this, but sensors and equipment out there are far from standardized, never mind not all ideally located (look the areal view of the official temp sensor in Death Valley, parking lots and solar arrays all around). So it's not just UHI that skew temp records. It's all too easy to get caught up in it all when big wx events occur. I get that. It is our passion for wx that drives it. However, we should not let that cloud our judgement when talking about caveats and shortcomings that just happen to "deflate" that excitement or how impressive it is. Taking everything as face value and acting there is nothing to question or analyze is not a good scientific position.

67 and sunny