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3.5” of very heavy wet snow.
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I think you always have to be careful with the multiple round scenario and more often than not, lean towards the earlier round being more of the show. Especially around these parts, forecast models can really struggle in that regard and its even more of a case when you're dealing with a largely uncapped warm sector. Typically, if you're looking for multiple rounds you want to see a moderate or extremely unstable airmass in place. But this is still looking extremely interesting for much of Virginia into Maryland. Given how warm the llvl airmass is, based on satellite showing a large pocket of cloud breaks and approaching high noon, it won't take much to get temperatures to jump another 5-8F. Also noting the sfc winds are more backed in this area and may continued to back even more. You're storm inflow is also pulling in from higher theta-e which resides just off the coast. Going to have some differential boundaries in play too. -
If you read the discos any early stuff will kill the chances for later. This line moves thru around noon then it wipe out the energy. -
LWX text on the tornado warning: The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Eastern Rappahannock County in northwestern Virginia... Northwestern Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Northwestern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... * Until 1100 AM EDT. * At 1033 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 7 miles east of Sperryville, or 12 miles northwest of Culpeper, moving northeast at 55 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. -
This isn't the main show. Likely a little meso low or something ahead of the main line. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Damaging linear/downdraft winds remain our main very strong threat today for both lines - the fropa and the squall. The squall being delayed until after sunset might mitigate that but it’ll still push down 50 mph gusts for some. -
I thought the main show was later this afternoon and now it’s noon? Lol -
West of Gainesville. -
Sun is starting to peak out up here. The older Ms J told me AU campus is closing at noon. -
Fair but this week was supposed to be cold and it trended much warmer. To wipe out the +++ departures you're going to need some serious below normal departures 2nd half. Not seeing it with the blocking becoming less robust on modeling-but who cares anyway it's mostly over for wintry threats rest of way
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I guess you just wait and see what happens. I’m not gonna be an annoying Debbie downer about it. Weather will do what it will do. -
They won’t and we know why they are letting out early. They don’t want the legal risk of being sued. -
2025-2026 New England Snow Recordkeeping Thread
tamarack replied to bristolri_wx's topic in New England
Look on page 1 of this thread for the link to send a PM. -
Marquette Webcam http://livecam.nmu.edu/1/
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I know but how often does that verify? Not saying we won't get a line of breezy showers with the trough swinging through or that isolated spots see bows, but I'd focus on what's happening now since the environment is the most primed vice later when there's potentially messy showers/stable pools/post-storm subsidence scattered everyone. -
Just told @TSSN+ that. Schools up on the home front getting out at 12 when that batch over Culpeper will be moving through. -
Take em up ..hit em hard
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Should have dismissed on time lol
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Kind of funny that schools may be letting kids out right around the worst of things.- 439 replies
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I did
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This is shown on it but weakens it so will have to see if it holds together or not.
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This is the main show for at least the NW crew. As a note, I’m in Denver so I’d love to see you guys get wedged… just not seeing it.
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No it’s not. Storms rolling thru around 12-1 will wipe out any energy for anything later.
