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Pretty much done but got 2-3 inches from the first system. Whitened up the bare sports from the melting and rain on Tuesday. Can't complain.

Could it also be 1", with the dry air eating away the first hours of precip?

That’s the million dollar question, talking with Dylan now about that. I’m leaning model blend which gives about .15-.30” qpf across the state. However if gfs and others trend the wrong way tonight then this is just another coating or so.

Preach

Back to back clippers to hopefully lay down 6-8” before the quick but intense arctic blast. The torch will not be denied. Looks like we will be starting 2026 with a clean palette.

32 with a passing flurry.

Yuk don't want any pacific crap!!!

Unfortunately for beach weather…you’re about as far away from that as one could be on 12/11. Hang tough bro…we all feel it.

1. For Dec, I recently counted the # of days that had weak MJO (amp <1) as well as strong MJO (amp of 2+) days 1974-2024: Avg # days <1/>2 MJO amp per Dec 70s: 14/1 80s: 16/1 90s: 10/3 00s: 12/7 10s: 12/5 20s: 8/7 Note how weak far outnumbered strong in the 1975-1989! And then note how the strong was almost up to weak in 2020-24! —————— 2. Jan: Due to time constraints, I just counted strong amp days 1975-2025: Avg # >2 MJO amp days per Jan 70s: 11 80s: 3 90s: 6 00s: 9 10s: 9 20s: 9 -Keep in mind that Jan has on average the strongest amp of any month, which seems intuitive. -Note that the 70s had the strongest, which may be due to randomness since there were only 5 years. - If you were to ignore the 70s, you’d see a notable progression to a higher # of strong amp days in Jan from the 80s to the 00s+. ————— 3. Feb: Like for Jan, I just counted strong amp days 1975-2025: Avg # >2 MJO amp days per Feb 70s: 4 80s: 4 90s: 5 00s: 5 10s: 9 20s: 6 One can see a slow increase of strong amp days in Feb as we move forward in time if we ignore the 2020s. ———— 4. DJF all combined shows the increase of strong amp days better: # of >2 MJO amp days per DJF 70s-80s: 11 90s-00s: 17.5 10s-20s: 23 So, per each DJF, 2010-25 had twice the number of strong amp MJO days as 1974-1989! Source for daily MJO amp: https://www.bom.gov.au/clim_data/IDCKGEM000/rmm.74toRealtime.txt

His version means ground (accumulation) zero.

Totally agree. Question is whether it’s right. (I’ve always thought measurable was coming from this in CT)

I’m at 33/28. Might not take long if downslopping doesn’t dry out the valley .

I mean, you probably have a 50/50 shot at a couple inches Sunday. Beggars can’t be choosers. Enjoy it

So heavy snow periods could. Come up just about anywhere where mesos are?

I just want something to go right. Literally one event in 4 year has gone right and it was 5.9” last January. I’m just done at this point. Dews and beach weather can’t come soon enough.

1-3” still looks good area wide.

No severe no cane no winter spirits. Dew spirits mean a lot though!

Absolutely puking it on the Jamestown webcam… .

Yeah, .22 here could easily be 3-4”

These amounts plus great ratios and many south of 84 get 2-4”

He’s mad I have no winter spirit anymore. Told him welcome to my youth.

Verbatim, Maybe more if you get the fluff. At this point, that’s a win…and you’ll be on the board. Win win. Hopefully it holds for all of us.

Have a great time. Hopefully I can join another one of these in the future. Was a blast in the past. Ironically, we're hosting friends from MA this weekend.

Euro all kidding aside is probably a couple inches here 2-3”

Yea, long range isn't looking great. Really hope we don't flip to Pacific Puke for the rest of the winter after a false start.