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Which one fits the tenor? Push that one.

36 / 7 here

@The 4 Seasons has analyzed every snowfall map over the past 30 years more than all of us combined probably. He’s the “storm totals snow map” godfather.

Pretty much once euro ai locks in that’s pretty much what’s going down. Other models kinda worthless at this point it’s starting to feel like.

Saw a fox today in my front yard this morning, checking things out. A sign of good luck for sure.

We’ll find out in 2 hours if the other mesos agree

MU on the upcoming weekend: During the second half of the weekend, there has been more unwarranted "hype" in recent days regarding a potential winter storm. The odds of that actually happening are very low. Instead, a developing storm system over the southern Plains on Saturday will likely track due east through Sunday and exit into the Atlantic somewhere between South Carolina and northern Florida. Either way, that's too far south for any precipitation to reach northern MD or southern PA, and Sunday will likely just turn out partly-to-mostly cloudy and dry with highs in the 40s. Behind the system, early next week should turn out equally as nice with mostly sunny skies accompanying an even bigger moderating trend. Essentially, the weather is going to be a "snoozefest" for at least the next week, and our moderate-to-extreme drought conditions are only going to worsen.

Feb 13 gave a lot of this area down through Hamden and New Haven and long island well over 30”

Wow just noticed you moved to the desert. Congrats!

Only hrrr . Everything else all systems go

some is from today lol

I'm inclined to think the EPS system is overly conserving the amplitude of that wave space in attempting send it through the enormous non-linear destructive interference of the -d(PNA). It's not like it's dropping. It's going down like a disgraced prom queen like this. It's trying to send a cyclonic signal through a field where the anticyclonic potential is rising. GFS might not be precisely handles the bits and pieces but in principle, it latched on to this deadening threat sooner, has been consistent since, and actually fits the motif better. Anomalies nest inside anomalies some times.... I guess one way to over come is to have so much power at the lower scale, that it can offset the larger scale tendency to cancel it out. A scenario that seldom occurs.

Was cloudy earlier but the sun broke out and temp now up to 42. Still full coverage but melty.

I thought we all agreed Hrrr was not usable ?

Excited for my trace .. 2-4 flakes for many

Comparison is the thief of joy

May as well cancel if those runs are correct.

Who let the mental asylum in?. @stormtracker please close the door tight.

This season right now, no thanks. All is right in the snow department though as A”ENE”ATT is destroying WNE after our +6” December. In December I’ll take any snow I can get, but it’s getting late in the season, wouldn’t want the agony of watching you guys do naked snow angels in a 30”+ blizzard while I get 4-10” of snow that melts in a few days. BTW I envision this as Kevin as you posted the EPS

That's a great point that need to be added on. If I was expecting 20-25" but only got 10"...well the tone may be different

CMC Para shifted south and sucks now btw

We still rely on model guidance itt, but no snow map hugging, and no bitching and complaining after every 'bad' op run.

March can be a dry and windy month so we need all the rain we can get.

i wouldn't as long as that was the expectation going in

Well it’s the same here in this case for this year. It wants to stay cold…if the Euro is showing that, then whatever. If the GFS was showing that, the same thing. I mean we are only in 2nd week of February, the cold should win out overall for at least another month. …not the extreme that we’ve had, but cold nonetheless. I’m not taking the Euro at face value…but if it’s right, then at least it WS correct in that regard.