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Dreading putting the dock into the lake this weekend. Looking like upper 40's water temperature. Painful.

What's impressive about the 2014 and 2015 cold outbreaks is that they didn't really get going until after the new year, and they went on for 2-3 months, not really letting up until the end of March.

Kind of a fail for CNE, but temps always looked meh despite the weenie ptype maps.

Okay....so the earth is warming. Thanks for the striking revelation. My point is that while a relica Feb 2015 pattern wouldn't be as cold as it was then, it would still be much colder than this past January. I get the impression that you think that it would be similar to this past January and I have to disagree.

We have to remember that next time models are battling east/west-the east solution tends to win out

I'd rather have a better view of Uranus...

The patterns we get are the function of the warmer temperatures and higher overall 500 mb heights. So the ridging potion at 500mb occupies more real estate than the troughs. Smaller troughs or cold pools have less overall cold. The Northern Hemisphere cold pool was near the lowest on record this past winter. This is why even though the coldest temperatures on the planet in January were located in the CONUS, amount of cold was so limited that the monthly cold ranking for the CONUS was only the 33rd coldest January. It’s also why Canada was so warm with a record low sea ice on Hudson Bay. The cold into the Northeast was very limited relative to other times the coldest temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere were in the CONUS.

40/39°F, 0.74", That's more then enough.

1.81” final. Let’s get the warmup started !

37.4F RN with MAYngled flakes mixed in and breezy. 1.12" since yesterday. Even the wild turkeys look angry this am

That is precisely what I have been saying....the persistent +WPO is a byproduct of the west Pac heatwave.

0.82". 40.3F. Let's put this bs behind us and get going with summer Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

I don't understand what you are disagreeing with....if getting cold into the northeast is becoming more difficult, but admittedly not impossible, then how on earth do you contest the notion that the pattern has has some influence independent of the background warming?? Makes zero sense.

If this was winter it would have been a heartbreaker, but at least we still got something. This was a SNE special: Those oranges are 3 to 5 inches of rain.

Tim Pond Camps in Eustis

Oh he looks like something alright

Has anyone seen any snow pics this morning?

I would have to disagree with you. The shrinking cold pool makes it difficult for any combination of teleconnection indices to deliver the coldest departures into the Northeast during top 20 monthly and seasonal Arctic outbreaks for the CONUS and Northeast. Getting a so called right combination of teleconnections becomes statistically more difficult. The closest we came was January 2022 at the 21st coldest January in the Northeast since 2015. If the Arctic outbreak from late December into January 2018 lasted longer than we could have pulled it off. But this diesnt mean that it’s impossible, just statistically more difficult. We’ll see if we can sneak one in during the coming years. Obviously, it could require a major volcanic event.

1.53 3 day storm total imby

3.87"

1.5” here. Didn’t want or need more

You might look like a bum if you're wearing a bubble jacket on Memorial Day Weekend lolol

We finally got one lol Still haven't turned the heat on. I baked bread yesterday, it helped haha

Very nice to actually get a top 10 coldest record for a change. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending top 10 coldest lowest maximum temperatures 5-21 to 6-2 1 1967-06-02 48 0 2 1961-06-02 49 0 3 2021-06-02 52 0 4 2025-06-02 53 11 - 1990-06-02 53 0 - 1953-06-02 53 0 5 2005-06-02 54 0 - 1946-06-02 54 0 - 1934-06-02 54 0 6 1982-06-02 55 0 7 2003-06-02 56 0 - 2000-06-02 56 0 - 1943-06-02 56 0 - 1931-06-02 56 0 8 2015-06-02 57 0 - 1968-06-02 57 0 9 2013-06-02 58 0 - 2001-06-02 58 0 - 1950-06-02 58 0 - 1945-06-02 58 0 10 2017-06-02 59 0 - 2011-06-02 59 0 - 1973-06-02 59 0 - 1970-06-02 59 0 - 1963-06-02 59 0 - 1954-06-02 59 0