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Should be some decent storms though...won't have to go far today!

yeah that's probably about accurate...probably closer to the 5 window than the 7 though. Stuff probably starts firing 3-4 PM

80 and muggy

ya its always something.. FWIW 13z HRRR has me at 72 at 11am its currently 78

Seeing some models not showing much east of the River at least til 5-7pm; is that accurate

What are the chances the severe drought area shrinks on next week's map?

also wish mlvl lapse rates were steeper but that's the theme for here

Monday that should be the case here and into tuesday

Seems very likely that the Euro is overdone. It has over an inch of rain for our area this weekend, but we know from the short range models that most of the rain is likely to stay north and west for the weekend. I'll be surprised if our area sees anything today ..... just a slight chance.

I love good strong to severe storms. I'm just not into the hail component. We had a hail storm here in Tamaqua a bunch of years back with golf ball sized hail and it did a number on everyone's cars. Some had broken windshields and/or rear windows, but everyone had some good sized dimples.

That's quite the rain shield. It would have been nice to have gotten a nice steady soaking over several hours.

It appears there won't be much to talk about for the next week or two. I guess that will make it easy to get my garden planted.

I’m afraid you may not survive.

Ha I’ve been there. Not far from me.

Stuck at travel ball in Hanover Ma and it’s fantastic out!

Rains N/W

Up to 79 / 62 but clouds quickly approaching into EPA and NJ v

It looks like we get some good storms later on.. maybe a brief weak tornado somewhere.. gusty winds look like the main threat.. this is one day I would like to see dews a bit higher

Some knew

It does look like we warm up but I also think there's some cool shots mixed in.. trust me I was tempted to install today but I also like having all the windows open on cooler days and nights. I think we wait until later in May for anything sustainable in terms of heat.

Yeah that's what I've been reading. Big-time wind threat, moderate hail and low tornado threat. MU says the winds won't veer enough for more than a weak, isolated spinup.

Avg ~-0.20 for 03-07 (yep, pretty neutral overall). @bluewavesource appears to be using Mantua (though I can no longer find Mantua) and definitely just May-Sep

This morning is the best I've felt in 2 weeks. My physician sent my records out to infectious disease and they didn't offer much insight. This is likely going to end without a diagnosis. Both family members are better. One was better in 48 hours, the other was in and out of care for several days. Thank you for asking.

This is looking good for chasing in the plains these weeks

https://psl.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst.anom.anim.week.html Yea we are starting to see some impressive warming on the eastern portion of the warm tongue that has been ever present (due north of Hawaii and SW of the Aleutians). What is interesting to note is the shift of these warmer waters around Japan to areas further east. Many areas around mainland China, Koreas, and near Japan have actually held near average to just slightly above average, nothing like what we saw this time last year where many areas were about 2-4 above average widespread. Another region to also look at of recent is the cooling down of waters near the maritime continent, again not quite near average but not raging warmth like we have seen occur. The Baja has been interesting to watch hold through most of the late fall/winter time frame this area finally linked up with the -ENSO state so I would not expect it to be crushed so quickly. I do still think there is a chance at a warm neutral winter next year as we start to try and erode the equatorial subsurface over the next 6 months+, prospects of El Nino development should go up for 2026/27. I will be curious to see how the western Pacific Typhoon season goes. So far we have not seen a single storm form and we may start to run toward the record again. The idea I have been discussing has been a potential booming late season for the West Pac but probably still end up below normal.