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should be just far enough north and east to get the tail end warned cell, blessed
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I was gonna say, which office is holding out?
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True. Though just as much blame goes to MKE / LOT. Watches are issued in coordination with local WFOs...
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We've had some intense storms here in Ocean county recently. In some places the soil is almost pure sand so it drains and dries quickly. Despite the rains, I still have drip irrigation on in the garden because of this.
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They can suck for multiple reasons
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Thanks for the info on the current RDU station going only back to 1945. But that article did miss July 1991’s 10.27” at RDU: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=rah
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It had been drying for a week. I had equipment problems that delayed the process. Sent from my SM-G991U using Tapatalk
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literally not the reason they suck. (hint: they always have)
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Storm in N IL just missed me by a mile or two. Can see the rainshaft looking east from Elgin towards Schaumburg. Could have used a bit of rain!
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
George001 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Joe Bastardi is a grifter, you did your research and know what you are talking about so you can see through his bullshit. He’s not dumb (his credentials and knowledge are legit), but his goal is to get clicks and $$$ for his business, not truth. It works, he’s a good businessman, not a good long range forecaster. Hyperbole and promises of big winters in populated areas (new england) get the clicks and money. -
Tied up with some friends to swim and hangout for the day.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Ray, Please explain why you think the NOAA monthly PDO data that I quoted is overrated. What do you think about JB’s choice of a cross between. 1957-8 and 1965-6 as analogs (warm Dec except NN SE, colder Jan with BN S 2/3 of US, even colder Feb (cold most of US), and chilly Mar) making overall NDJFM avg cold concentrated in S 1/2 of US and JFM avg cool to cold most of US)? They are similar to the CFS fwiw. -
5 SVR Warnings and a TOR Warning in SE WI but no watch yet.
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That’s slightly misleading, the RDU record has been broken (previously 9.11”). It was set in 2024: https://www.wral.com/archive/21561538/ The Raleigh record is what those tweets are speaking to and it is taking into account the switch to RDU as the reporting site in 1945, and observations at the previous sites which obviously go further back. So there is no RDU record pre-1945 as that site didn’t exist. But as shown, reporting site or not, tomorrow’s rain could shatter all records for the Raleigh area in July. My >13” total already has, if my site was official! It’s the wettest month I’ve had in 8 years of running my station
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Yep put the AC on after a nice 4 day break
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83 / 67 steamy vs last few days
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Yep, at least not as bad as the smoke recently. https://x.com/BenNollWeather/status/2081719174150443313
