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Its not better with delmarva. There was outrage last year, people ain't seen nothing yet. Im betting bills are going to easily be over $1000 a month for many.

US National Weather Service State College PA 24 JAN 2026 @ 6:45 AM EST: Arctic air has returned to the region and will set the stage for frozen precipitation to fall with the approaching storm.

Looks like some blowing and drifting in the cards Sunday Snow likely, mainly after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 11. Wind chill values as low as -6. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Sunday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 4. Wind chill values as low as -8. Light northeast wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 9 to 13 inches possible. Monday Snow. High near 15. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.

HRRR really showing very specific areas of downsloping in NE TN this afternoon:

1 for the low at Pen Mar Park, up to 2 now.

Sleet and ZR mix here. 28 degrees.

Current temp is 26 degrees.

The GFS 6z just for completeness although we are obviously in the mesos/short term ranges.

Moisture streaming in way ahead of the models currently.

6.8 for the low. That would be my min for a bunch of winters. Probably will beat that this week.

And there's another one coming if this guy is right https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/polar-vortex-collapse-stratospheric-warming-february-2026-cold-united-states-canada-europe-fa/

Based off of what this has turned into next weeks storm can stay squashed until roughly Saturday before it wants to trend north

It’s time to use the mesoscale models from here on out. Follow the tracks of the midlevel lows, not the surface features, they will determine where/when the changeover to sleet and subsequent dry slot happens. I would definitely follow the NAM when it comes to showing the progression of the midlevel warm nose, we are now in its “wheelhouse” time frame for that, the only thing that model actually excels in

Ah. Gotcha. I don't have Wx Bell.

i don't think i have ever seen a mixing scenario where southern ocean and atlantic county nj gets more snow than northern monmouth .

Didn't realize that Delaware has State of Emergency that goes into effect 12:01 Sunday 25th.

That's some serious heavy snow right there.

Sun's up and so is the wind. Lol. Temps are leveling out quickly now between 4-6°.

We just have to see how hot and heavy that initial thump comes in, especially for NW of 95. HRDPS is advertising 8-10"+ in 6 hours tomorrow morning. Just based on experience, I'd imagine some places could even grab 12" in that time

Sorry about that, but I was pretty confident you'd have until noon and I still don't think we see bad roads (other than usual East TN drivers) until after 12, but better safe than sorry.

Ratios and rumors of ratios

I saw it after I posted, and then accidentally posted it here again. [emoji1751] Moved to correct it. Thanks for starting the OBS. Sent from my SM-S916U using Tapatalk

Yeah, that event was quite important. In retrospect.