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2 1/2 days on a single page?

Distant smoky wildfire smell out here today. Edit: just saw there are wildfires down in NC

Had a few sprinkles here today. SPC FTL with yesterday's day2 outlook for northwest IL/east IA.

Glad I held off putting the tree fertilizer spikes in as we received nothing for rainfall today.

85f in Naples, FL Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Phreakin' confirmed hailers lining up in IN/IL. Stay up there dammit Tor watch for OH where lake breeze interaction has a better chance with already organized cells. Mesoscale Discussion 0292 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0325 PM CDT Thu Mar 26 2026 Areas affected...much of Ohio into western Pennsylvania Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 262025Z - 262200Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Gradual convective development should support an increasing risk for supercells late this afternoon into this evening. Hail, damaging gusts are likely, with a couple of tornadoes possible. DISCUSSION...Afternoon visible and radar imagery showed an area of showers and weak convection gradually intensifying across southern Lower MI into northwestern OH. Located along and south of a front/lake breeze intersection, warming and moistening of the air mass across much of OH and PA this afternoon has resulted in weak to moderate buoyancy. Area VADs show very strong mid-level flow with elongated and veering hodographs. This will favor a mix of supercells and linear segments as the primary storm mode. Given the sufficient buoyancy and strong low/deep-layer shear, hail and severe gusts are likely. Tornadoes are also possible given ESRH of 300-400 m2/s2. Additional vertical vorticity near the lake breeze boundary could also support a locally greater tornado risk given favorable storm motions parallel to the lake shore. Recent CAM guidance and satellite trends regarding the ongoing shallow convection/showers over northwest OH and Lower MI show them gradually deepening as continued heating and mid-level ascent erode inhibition. This should support an increase in the severe risk late this afternoon into the evening. A Tornado Watch will likely be needed. ..Lyons/Smith.. 03/26/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CTP...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX... LAT...LON 41748249 42038144 42058046 41617949 41077934 40447956 39768013 39258145 39148316 39458405 39838433 40468450 41188445 41648424 41758388 41768347 41748249 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN NOAA / National Weather Service National Centers for Environmental Prediction Storm Prediction Center 120 David L. Boren Blvd. Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A. [email protected] Page last modified: March 26, 2026 Disclaimer Information Quality Help Glossary Privacy Policy Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) About Us Career Opportunities

B+ A if curving for a Nina.

78 was the high here today.

looking forward to a winters day saturday in the city..

This winter was impressively cold overall, but some/much of that cold was wasted. Some areas did well with frozen precip opportunities wrt climo, others not so much. Time to grade it.

Getting my cold rain on, good luck to those downstream

1 down, 161 to go for the O's perfect season.

Anthony, I wouldn’t say that because the DJF AO was the most negative since 2020-1 with ~-1 averaged out.

After some overnight showers and perhaps a thundershower, it will turn somewhat cooler tomorrow with highs reaching the lower and middle 50s. Another cold front could cross the region on tomorrow night or Friday. The front will bring a few showers or thundershowers. The weekend will start on a cold note with the low temperature likely near or even somewhat below freezing in New York City and high temperatures in the middle 40s on Saturday. Sunday will become somewhat milder. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around March 18. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.15°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.08°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was -9.10 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.529 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 45.8° (3.0° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Got first mow of the season done today.

Quality day today. Was able to head down to see the kids pony. She is shedding like crazy and I washed her tail and mane from all the winter crud that gets in there. Came home and put our deck back together from when we pinned everything down from the wind storm potential a couple of weeks ago. Daffodils out front are in full bloom and some of my deck perennials in pots are coming up.

68 my high, now 60

Same here after a high of 76.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 75 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 450 PM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern Half of Ohio Western Pennsylvania West Virginia Panhandle Lake Erie * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 450 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter likely SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are forecast to develop and intensify through the late afternoon and into the evening. A mix of supercells and organized line segments will pose a risk for large hail, severe gusts, and the possibility for a couple of tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 60 miles west of Findlay OH to 35 miles southeast of Franklin PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector 28045. ...Smith

Damn, this weather!!

Will feel like a mid winter day if you're not in the sun

I told him the other day that the NAO has been verifying more positive than those d14 mean progs since mid Feb. Looks like the AO has since 3/1 too.

HRRR has snow flurries for Saturday

I tried +10 and disliked it lol. Now 110 and humidity is a problem. At that point, I’m moving to northern Cali and breaking even.

What a run Phoenix is on. 1 March 100° on record before they obliterate the record book with 8 straight. Up to 98° so far today.