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Euro continues to be best case here

We take

December 30, 2000. Predictions for DC were all over the map and ranged as high as a foot. In the end we got . . . Clear skies. It wasn't even cloudy!! I stopped even paying attention to the forecasts for the rest of that winter. December 25, 1985. We were supposed to get a white Christmas, the first in my memory. But the cold air stalled over the Appalachians and all we got was a little sleet that soon melted. January 14, 1983. Again, up to a foot was predicted, we got a brief flurry. 2/11 more than made up for it though.

Must of been someone else then

I thought about it, the last one I came up for was the 22 blizzard I was near Brockton. .

For reference: The 33.5 cm snowfall at Toronto on November 30, 1940 is the biggest daily snowfall on record for November. The 10.0" for Milwaukee on November 30, 1940 is the second biggest daily snowfall on record for November.

Looks under done. I’d let it cook for another couple hours until 18z comes out. Then it should be chefs kiss

Euro pretty far south meh

Euro AI is a cape scraper, lol. It’s been really flat. We’ll see what the OP does in a few minutes.

It's just a little dry...

Well I don’t dislike him but I can’t say he makes me excited.

12z GFS gives everyone away from the immediate coast a very nice 6-12” storm. UKMET and Canadian are warmer but north of I-78 still gets decent accums. Let’s see what the Euro has to say.

Happy Thanksgiving Everyone ! Hopefully we get that stronger push of Cold. As it stands, we are positioned in a way to where it snows west, north and NE of us, possibly even east to NWNC. It's a Classic milder Tongue up the Valley and western Apps. Sometimes that's the case as cold HP moves over NE and the other down the Plains or mid Ms Valley. Allows for a weak ridging of Sorts. Placement and Timing is alot of it.

No idea why but we've had a ton of blue jays in the yard today.

I mean if PSU gets a few inches in the first week of Dec then that usually means there'll be ample activity in that season. At the very least a dead ratter is off the table.

JC, Randy. Get a timer lol.

Happy Thanksgiving everyone.

I was also 12 living in northern Calvert County! Best storm of them all for me and I was in Germantown for 1996, 2010 and 2016. Calvert was hardest hit with well over 30 inches and howling winds. At times we could not see the woods 50 feet behind the house. We had drifts off the roof that linked with the ground, and cars were just lumps.

Almost identical to 6z

Id take the ground whitening or even flakes in the air.

The GFS is slowly trending south with the system on Dec 2nd/3rd.

AI EURO consistently and stubbornly south - kinda on it's own now if I'm remembering the 12z cycle right. We'll see what its ens do

Didn't you come up to Gardner in 2023..? I could of swore you were close to here

The amped shift is cooling the interior. The amped solution was lost yesterday at this time, warming everything. I dropped from 13 inches white stuff to .60" fr at 12z yesterday. Will we lose it again?