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1.8" will probably do it. All fluff, no taint

The big ridge out west and trough to the northern gulf will happen, but we have to watch the western Atlantic for too much ridging—speaking for the southern 2/3 of the forum…

Temp has actually dropped a full degree here since 6am. It was about 30.5F and now it’s 29.5F. There’s def a bit of a cold tuck going on with BOS and PVD winds out of NNW

32 as I left with patches of ice.

Seems a pretty straightforward setup for back half Jan, rebuild source region in western Canada late next week/weekend, likely leaking cold into the northast at times with GOA ridging (-EPO) beyond. Chances for coastals during transition periods, and perhaps a more active southern stream from MLK and after.

Get that mid-month signal into the weekend and I'll start writing.

0z Euro was beautiful in piedmont areas

No, you won't. One warning event in February and a big early March coastal. Only thing NOT going for me is my snow total so far....about the same as you.

Thanks, man...will probably reference this in the February preview to buttress my pre-season work.

Yeah seems like every year there's something brewing around MLK Day and about 50% of the time it verifies! In other news. Looks like another rainy Eagles game Sunday.

Goff Law has about 95% of the highway advertisement billboards

I agree, I have sent many times that the only thing going for us in terms of snowfall prospects is the fact in New York City has had about 8 inches of snow so far. Early season snow totals in a La Niña winter or are usually a good indication of what happens in the rest of winter. But time is ticking, and there is nothing on the horizon. We will need an extraordinary February to reach our seasonal snowfall.

Yeah. Still sitting in the 20s right now. Ice ice baby

Nice symmetry in the west Pac this am and it looksl ike it is having an impact where we want it.

Precisely as planned AFAIC....only wrinkle so far has been the huge -WPO ridge making December even colder than thought.

For your info 2020 - 2021 was a LaNina winter in NYC and December had 10 inches - Jan 2 inches and Feb 26 inches - I don't even know why i respond to your nonsense ! Next !

I have noticed ice on certain surfaces even just above freezing at certain points this season given all of the cold that has been around....

This place needs a full time psychiatrist on staff.

It was pretty icy in my area...28 and raining moderately when I left. 2 hour delay for school. My side street was slippery, but main roads fine. Snow is now encased. 29.8 now.

https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2025GL117289 Here's a recent publication I found. Normally just lurk here. So far, great outlook.

That 06z GFS was a real slop storm for the mountains. PLenty of qpf, but temps struggle to get down to or below freezing. Even after the storm, there's still no real intrusion of arctic air anywhere near the southeast. After the storm pass, we're right back to where we're at. As we all know, it is the GFS. TW

Snowblower got a workout from that storm.

Upstate SC hasn’t seen at least an inch of snow in over four years. About to make it five. This Winter is boring.

1000mb mean pressure at this range is actually pretty significant.