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.24” of an inch here yesterday. High of 53 degrees

Sunday could have a few decent storms riding a remnant EML in northwest flow. These setups can produce.

Some of this is due to UHI at Phoenix with them at 78 ARIZONA HOURLY REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ 400 AM MST SAT MAR 21 2026 NOTE: FAIR INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR S TO VISIBILITY. AZZ001>003-036-211200- NORTHWEST ARIZONA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BULLHEAD CITY CLEAR 72 27 18 CALM 29.83S TC 22 KINGMAN CLEAR 63 21 20 CALM 30.02F TC 17 AZZ004>008-015-016-018-211200- NORTH CENTRAL ARIZONA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS GRAND CANYON CLEAR 29 17 61 CALM 30.26F TC -2 WILLIAMS CLEAR 39 18 41 S12 30.26F WCI 32 TC 4 PRESCOTT CLEAR 51 21 30 S7 30.15F TC 11 FLAGSTAFF CLEAR 36 19 50 CALM 30.28F TC 2 PAYSON CLEAR 57 21 24 N3 30.16F TC 14 PAGE CLEAR 57 18 21 CALM 30.08F TC 14 AZZ009>014-017-211200- NORTHEAST ARIZONA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS WINSLOW CLEAR 43 12 28 E6 30.16F TC 6 SAINT JOHNS CLEAR 46 7 20 S3 30.20F TC 8 WINDOW ROCK CLEAR 32 9 38 CALM 30.28F TC 0 SHOW LOW CLEAR 43 7 22 SE6 30.26S TC 6 AZZ540-542>544-546-548-211200- GREATER PHOENIX AREA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS PHOENIX CLEAR 78 33 19 E13 29.84F TC 26 BUCKEYE CLEAR 66 16 14 N5 29.85F TC 19 LUKE AFB CLEAR 70 26 19 N6 29.83F TC 21 DEER VALLEY CLEAR 71 25 17 NE3 29.87F TC 22 SCOTTSDALE CLEAR 68 40 35 CALM 29.87F TC 20 MESA-FALCON CLEAR 75 25 15 N3 29.86F TC 24 MESA-GATEWAY CLEAR 67 26 20 E8 29.89S TC 20 CHANDLER CLEAR 67 34 29 CALM 29.87S TC 20 AZZ539-553-211200- SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY AND PINAL COUNTY CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS CASA GRANDE CLEAR 64 19 17 CALM 29.89F TC 18 GILA BEND CLEAR 73 19 13 CALM 29.83F TC 23 AZZ503-504-507>509-211200- SOUTHEAST ARIZONA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS TUCSON CLEAR 64 20 18 SE7 29.98F TC 18 DAVIS-MONTHAN CLEAR 64 17 16 E5 29.98F TC 18 NOGALES CLEAR 61 20 20 CALM 30.07F TC 16 SIERRA VISTA CLEAR 70 13 11 W10 30.12F TC 21 DOUGLAS CLEAR 55 22 27 CALM 30.08F TC 13 SAFFORD CLEAR 58 17 20 E8 30.00S TC 14 AZZ532-211200- SOUTHWEST ARIZONA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS YUMA CLEAR 73 35 25 S5 29.78F TC 23

Currently 46.8/45.5 with fog here at 7:45am. Had a thundershower between 1 and 2 am, but only 0.03".

That's wild, it'd be like seeing 90s here right now.

Denver has been in a relentless, unmitigated torch fest since November and it’s still going strong. Record shattering for 5 months in a row out there

I had to edit my above post. For some reason, I woke up thinking this was Sunday. lol

Tomorrow into Monday…then maybe watch Thu too. Probably advisories.

See ya on the next go around

Flagstaff has seen one of the more impressive monthly maximum high temperature beats for the CONUS. They exceeded the previous March record high by 11°. If Newark had a similar March record high, then it would be 100°. I don’t think this extreme of a record would be possible here since we can’t rival the kind of heat generated with drought in the Desert SW. My guess is that our max potential here in March would probably be around 93°-94° in some future March heatwave when the primary ridge is centered in the East instead of the Desert SW. Time Series Summary for Flagstaff Area, AZ (ThreadEx) - Month of Mar Maximum Temperature Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2026 84 11 2 2007 73 0 - 1988 73 0 - 1966 73 0 3 2025 72 0 - 2015 72 0 - 2004 72 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Mar Maximum Temperature Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1945 89 0 2 1998 86 0 - 1990 86 0 3 2025 85 0 4 2021 84 0 - 1985 84 0 - 1977 84 0 - 1921 84 0 - 1910 84 0

Models seem all over the place on the heaviest qpf.. not sure why they been so bad lately

.31 rain last evening. Monthly total for March so far 4.94

Going to be spending the beautiful weekend inside a high school theater at a dance competition. Enjoy the sunny skies friends!

I’m so tuned out. Really? A lot?

Looks like a snowy week up here on most modeling. Just when my shoulder was starting to heal.

I just find this so wild

Nws take on Sunday's severe weather threat. Unfortunately, hail along with a damaging wind threat seems to be the main threat Sunday, for those of us near and in the corridor of slight risk according to the nws Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 502 AM EDT Sat Mar 21 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Dense Fog Advisory for a portion of east-central PA until 8AM Severe thunderstorm risk level increased from 1 to 2 for Sunday over south central PA && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Low visibility in dense fog could make driving hazardous early this morning across portions of east-central PA 2) First weekend of Spring warmup precedes rain and severe thunderstorm risk Sunday afternoon into Sunday night && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1: Low visibility in dense fog could make driving hazardous early this morning across portions of east-central PA Temporary clearing in the wake of yesterdays rainfall has resulted in patchy to locally dense fog formation across portions of east central PA. Visibility trends have been improving on the margin upon the arrival of lower cloud deck continuing to expand southeastward per IR satellite imagery. Coordinated with PHI on issuance of DFA until 8AM with several ASOS and RWIS sites reporting visby below 1000ft or <1/4 mile. KEY MESSAGE 2: First weekend of Spring warmup precedes rain and severe thunderstorm risk Sunday afternoon into Sunday night A nice start to Spring this weekend with fcst highs ramping 15 to 30F above the historical average by Sunday. This surge of warmth will be brief and followed by a noticeable cooldown on Monday with max temps 20-30 degrees lower than Sunday. SPC expanded the level 2/slight risk outlook from the Upper Ohio Valley into south central PA (south of I-80) for Sunday afternoon and evening. CAPE and 0-6km shear profiles appear rather favorable for organized severe storms ahead of a southeastward advancing cold front. Large hail probs are relatively high with 700-500mb lapse rates 7-7.5 C/km and essentially match the damaging wind probs.

@Jns2183 are you aware of anything I can use to open these files on my cellphone ?

Congrats on the crumbs

Quietly hitting 82 in DC Sunday

Looks like weather.us …also, wouldn’t this be up there with some of the most powerful strikes ever recorded? At least around here? Average is like 30kA right? I did NOT think there were any unique atmospheric variables at play last night.

Wow what a night (unexpected!) I shall dub the mystery bolt as the “Brunswick Boomer!” Both my weather stations with lightning detection picked it up, somehow with fairly accurate distances too (10mi from my Middleburg station near goose creek, 16mi from my Catharpin station towards Manassas.) Then I was woken up again to lots of lightning and thunder as the training storms eventually aligned with me, and I got that impressive cell for a good 10 minutes (peaked out at just under 1”/hr .3 total, nothing too wild. These were some pretty impactful storms, especially the training action. There wasn’t so much as a single peep about any of this in the forecast discussion from LWX, just the showers earlier with the fropa around the evening commute. What an exactly happened from a meteorological perspective? Aren’t things usually pretty dry and stable hours after a front has passed?

It is a rare occurrence to see a severe hail only event in East TN.