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Same

Dude, what?

also the dgz runs from the surface to near 500mb with a ton of moisture slamming into it

They need to just do away with the lower resolution version entirely and only keep the 3km out to 60hr. I've never seen the use in the lower resolution version myself.

why not just use a browser? I never tried tapatalk, i do see it sometimes on here though "sent from Tapatalk."

Yeah, it will change the whole Picture for at least that period. May cause the Trough to want to setup a bit further West over the Plains . May not hurt to start watching the MJO more now.

Just to address all the people who are saying that people are crazy for fussing about getting sleet on top of a bunch of snow... For me, it's not about how long the snowpack sticks around. It's as much to do with the feeling of serenity and quiet and just sheer awesomeness of snow falling than anything else. Pouring sleet, while a neat meteorological phenomenon, is like enjoying the outdoors at a national park and then suddenly some dickwad in a souped-up F150 rolls up out of the forest blasting Kid Rock. No thanks, and fuck all that.

Not putting stock on the nam.

The model that is going to replace the NAM (RRFS) is also trending out west towards the Euro. Writing is on the wall folks.

when this poster gets serious, i pay attention; i remember this quote from Jan 2016; "this is a storm for the ages.."

wtf ... are you seeing that too ?

If you're optimistic. I'm all in

Dewpoints on the 84 hour NAM with precip on the doorstep. Don't see this very often:

I mean its obviously using old data from 6Z because 12Z isnt out yet. If you look at 9Z its exactly the same. It's blending models from overnight, mostly 6Z and 00Z probably. Not sure exactly what models they use for that blend but it hasnt ingested anything real from 12z yet.

Not panicking at range. It matches the euro lock in step in its useful range and everything with that interaction dictates our downstream result.

I think there is almost no question we at least get a 5-10" thump. The question of the day, which is hopefully resolved by the end of the day so we can set expectations, is whether those of us in the typically sleet-vulnerable areas need to be bracing for snow or sleet after that flip. Didn't look like an issue yesterday so I think folks are appropriately riled up.

I don’t disagree, but is that likely? 10-150 would be high end overrunning and then with no coastal assist? Im not downplaying it, but I’d be hesitant to forecast double digits at the moment. Still a lot to iron out

I'll wait for the pros to chime in (and yes we know it's the NAM but we need entertainment until the real models), but the NAM honestly doesn't look that bad. Cold looks impressive enough maybe to offset the amping a little. Also, keep in mind, this could be 100% weenie coping at the moment too. Probably more that.

Very good post! That's also a likely scenario.

If you need advice posting from tapatalk consult lava rock. (Or apparently primshine too)

Wow that's horrible.. You need to see a 30"+ burger, hits different - I've had that in 96 and 2013.. 20" a bit more common about 5 of those in my life..

It was give TN 4"-5" of snow 18 hours from this past weekends event. So was the Nam 3km.

What in the sam hell?

Yeah I don't understand the panic over it at range.