Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. nrgjeff
    Most of that QPF comes in the 11-15 day period, which is of course the least accurate. I've seen so many CPC 8-14 day heavy rain outlooks bust. True they are mostly slight risk, which don't even make the composite chart, but the SER just won't break.
  3. A-L-E-K
    riding
  4. Upstate Tiger
    And no sign of a breakdown in this pattern for the next 2 weeks. It's one thing to experience summer onset drought after planting and growing season but during planrting and growing season is disastrous. Feel for the farmers in my area...
  5. ValpoVike
    Yeah the models are already backing off. Sigh.
  6. PhiEaglesfan712
    Yeah, it had to have either been 96 or 97. Both were really cool summers (followed 3 very hot summers). JJA averages (PHL) 1993: 78.2 1994: 78.4 1995: 78.6 1996: 74.0 1997: 74.2
  7. nrgjeff
    Severe season in the South is captured in the classic John Candy Vacation quip. Sorry folks park's closed. Cannot find the GIF on any source. Must be licensing BS. Anyway the cancellation is good news for those with storm anxiety. CFS wants to get into more active phases, but the EC and GEFS weeklies don't seem interested. We'll see.
  8. Kmlwx
    Boring, allergy-laden weather, lovely…fire danger increasing too
  9. sbnwx85
    May get some decent hailers today in this area.
  10. Weather Will
    Strange light droplets falling out of the sky....anyone know what it is?
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I see your point, but I have a couple counters that you neglect to consider. I know for a fact that modern snowfall measuring techniques are not homogeneous....secondly, while I do agree that the 6 hourly method does increase totals on average because it's actually measuring snowfall, which is different from to snow depth, there are some mixed precipitation events in which it will not.
  12. Lava Rock
    43F. Maybe 70 tomorrow, otherwise 50s to low 60s with lots of clouds/shwrs this week.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's because the warming of the western Pacific has outpaced eastern Pacific, which fosters a cool ENSO paradigm.
  14. Brian5671
    Clearing to our west we'll jump once that comes in
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Weak-moderate is absolutely better than strong in my region.
  16. buckeye
    Looks like we wrap up 2025-2026 with official CMH snowfall 33.9. Not bad, first above normal in awhile...and maybe for awhile longer if all these super nino predictions come to fruition. Back to the miserable winters of the late 90's.
  17. Stormlover74
    95 was pretty brutal maybe you're thinking of 96?
  18. psv88
    Currently sitting at 56. Don’t see how we hit the forecast high of 77
  19. ChescoWx
    "That is a clear sign of a major station change, probably at Morgantown." That would be incorrect Charlie no station changes took place at all during the period that temperatures were reported by the NWS Coop observer. There were some moves after those temperature obs ended and they moved to just precip and snow obs.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Let me preface this by admitting that I am still on my annual hiatus and won't begin really diving in until latter May/June....but I remain skeptical of an uber-strong El Nino. My larger concern is the continued lag between the RONI and the ONI being reflective of what will ultimately be a partial masking the warm ENSO, and thus a reduced north Pacific response, which would mean a less pronounced GOA low. I do not expect a result as dire as 2023 because we seem to have a changed longer-term WPO modes, but I would, nonetheless, like to see that delt between the RONI and ONI close with time.
  21. SACRUS
    61 / 54 clouds. Warmup upon us with peak surge of warmth/heat this week Tue - Sat. Beyond there cools down towards normal and perhaps below 4/20 - 4/27. Overall dry otherwise and this weeks warmth will outdo any cooldown vs normals, the following week.
  22. PhiEaglesfan712
    Summer 2023 was a delayed summer. It was one of those rare ones where September was warmer than June. While JJA fell a tenth or two below the 1981-2010 average, the JAS temperature finished a tenth or two above the 1981-2010 JJA average. Plus, the early September heatwave helped drive up the 90-degree numbers for 2023. Also, I'm not sure where the narrative of record rainfall and flooding events going into the summer of 2023 came from, but aside from the April 28-30 rainstorm, that spring was pretty much dry here, with May 2023 being a record dry May. It really didn't get wet until about mid-June.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yup. NCAR is NOMORE
  24. tamarack
    Average precip here for those 16 days is 2.2". Would be nice to reach the average at least as we've been running at 60% since last June, though it would probably need 10-12 days with rain to get there.
  25. weatherwiz
    This sucks @40/70 Benchmark With the NWS discontinuing NCEP/NCAR R1 and the switch to CORe, if I'm understanding what I'm reading correctly, PSL is not going to offer plotting of CORe, although it is listed under the list of datasets. NCEP.NCAR R1 will still be available for reanalysis purposes but may have to switch over to ERA5
  26. CoastalWx
    A very confused person.
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...