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I dug out last night. Back is shot now. Can't imagine another large storm on top of this.
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Most importantly what does apple weather say?
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
BornAgain13 replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
06z GFS is a little east but 06z Euro/Euro AI and EPS are big hits -
13.1” on the board. I chuckle reading the snow reports with some of the discrepancies between trained spotter and public reports. I also wonder how many public measured in their yard and forgot there was already snow on the ground. Anyway, the snow was more dense than I had expected, I’ll grab a core sample from the board to see how much liquid it was. A dense solid snow pack out there, 16” at the stake 16/13 with an occasional flurry.
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Bombogenesis, but I don’t trust it until the nam shows it. Jk
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Ai gfs was just a clueless as the op till like day 3ish. We need to get into Nam range lol
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Omg what a mess here. The roads are covered in a thick sheet of dense ice, I guess freezing drizzle kinda locked it all in. Major roads totally covered. Will MCPS open again this week!?!? -
Moderate snow with a temp of 16 degrees. A heavy dusting.
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Near perfect run with the high anchoring in to prevent this cutting inland too much. Long way to go, but damn, the pieces are on the board.
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Better do it before this weekend
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Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs
NorthHillsWx replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
Yep. Was not the drought relief we thought we’d get either -
The EC-AIFS *was* really good with the last system from this distance (it had locked into a large mix zone and virtually nailed all of the major features by this point), but I would say that the initial interaction is more delicate on this one has a tighter timing window. Prob need to be sub-100hr for equivalent. Would really like to see the AIGFS come on board.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Baum replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
BEYOND THIS, THE SIGNAL FOR AN EXPANSIVE UPPER TROUGH CUTTING SOUTH AND WESTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES CONTINUES TO GROW IN THE GUIDANCE SUITE TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK. WITH THIS OCCURRING AS ANOTHER 1050S MB ARCTIC HIGH BUILDS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL CONUS, THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EVIDENT FROM ABOUT THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. WITH ICE COVER LIKELY TO EXPAND WITH TIME, IT'S A BIT UNCLEAR HOW THIS MIGHT IMPACT SURFACE FLUXES, ALTHOUGH LATEST GLERL ICE FORECASTS INDICATE ICE COVERAGE LIKELY WON'T EXTEND BEYOND 15-20 MILES, WITH A WIDE OPEN FETCH AVAILABLE ALONG THE LONG AXIS OF THE LAKE. WITH THE COLDER LAKE TEMPERATURES, THERMODYNAMICS ARE NOT OFF THE CHARTS, BUT CERTAINLY MORE THAN SUFFICIENT FOR INTENSE LAKE EFFECT WITH SURFACE-850 DELTA TS NEAR 20 C AND LAKE-INDUCED ELS JUST UNDER 9-10 KFT. WAY TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME RANGE TO MAKE ANY ADJUSTMENTS TO THE BLENDED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS, BUT THIS WILL BE A PERIOD TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON. -
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1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
SolidIcewx replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Happy to see there was a nice spread the wealth event up there. Down where i am now people are freaking out a out prolonged 20’s lol. -
Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs
marsman replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
ABC News reporting 14 fatalities nationwide from the storm. -
It wouldn’t take much of a shift to get ETN truly in the game.
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Looks snowy
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Yea, and I don’t know how I feel about it lol. Rule measured 5-5.5” here…followed by 8 hrs of sleet. Fun and interesting storm, but 2/3 of it was sleet (aka not snow).
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
WXNewton replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
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Holy MF
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1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
Stevo6899 replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Ahh so you're the big dog repellent. Kidding. Im sorry you had to move. Not a better place to be in the summer though. Me and Josh go back and forth about this every winter. He likes the nickel diming shit and snowcover. Im okay with 3 snowless winters in a row a decade if it means a big dog every other yr for a good stretch. Boston has had atleast 10 20+ storms since 2000. Detroits had 100+ 1-3 events. I know its not in our climo to get big dogs but when you see everyone else getting one, it's annoying lol. Also I see our friends in ohio/Indiana did well but not nearly close to some of the kuchera maps we were seeing that I thought would verify with the arctic air in place. Perhaps too much dry air or ratios weren't as good as we thought due to it being too cold.
