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Figured we should actually have a devoted thread for this, should be a solid hit for most of Wisconsin and Michigan, in the 4-7" range. Decent amount of wind behind the system as well.

No one's askin' but ... I do. I've changed my 'druthers spectrum' as I've aged. I only like winter now if it is cyclonic and interesting. This is not that. No use for just cold at any time of year. Proooobably? yeah, I'm not here after retirement - b'bye. But for the time being, if it's not going to be interestingly stormy, I just rather we blow torch it all away

588dm up to SNE. lol

Something consistent across most guidance is you can probably close the shades for a bit when this weekend doesn’t produce. most are consistent in offering a few cutters leading up to Christmas

Nice pack destroyer for NNE on the Friday prior too. Let’s do it

Might be able to go 70F if we pump that ridge enough

There it is on 12z gfs. Which is more inevitable? Thanos or Torchmas?

You are going to be fine especially in Northern Macomb, also the 12z gfs didnt go north it actually got wetter and nudged south. Most of the 12z suite moved south.

12z GFS is going to be fun for Christmas. If you like 60s.

We had several houses to rough wire, two of them in Riverton. We had days we couldn't pull romex because it would crack. One of my MOST miserable times at work ever

I think that was 95-96 down here for us? Someone can correct me if I’m wrong. But I recall it snowing like every other day. It was a constant stream of 3-6”, 4-8” type events

he's 5 posted.

Maybe it’s just my very novice eyes, but I don’t see much of a torch come Xmas week. Looks like the temps moderate to more seasonal level but not a torch. Hell it still may be cold, according to the models I wasn’t supposed to be putting hay in today wearing muck boots and my thickest coat. Haha

True. But I've seen so many times where temperatures at night get colder than forecast by 5 or 7°, and then the forecast I for the next day. You think would be lower because of that, but it ends up being higher than what they forecasted, makes no sense.

I'm looking at the models and they've been showing above normal temps around the weekend before Christmas going into Christmas week. Its way out there, can and will change so lets hope for the best.

Ggem is so far north with that storm compared to the other models currently.

Yeah, life in the lowlands

I'd buy the median on the GEFS through the weekend. About 50/50 what comes Friday vs. Sunday

Bonus for sure IMO, for MBY area. Anything before the end of the month has always been seen as a bonus to me. I wonder how many who whine about it are quite a bit younger. Heading towards, 60 I've seen more than my share of duds in SNE!

ICON's taking a stab at the 00z Euro notion on this 12z run fwiw -

We thought @BxEnginesaid you aren't posting in here till March ?

I went into their thread right after the back to back Monster snowstorms in 09-10 asking if some folks really had up to four feet on the level and I was told to go back to my forum and stay out of theirs. I had heard some places just outside of Baltimore had accomplished that incredible feat.

overnight low of 11, so the coldest temp so far this season.

That's the thing too...there are way too many products out there (which are not even NCEP products, just derived products from 3rd party vendors) which everyone flocks too and leads to unnecessary hype and unrealistic expectations. This includes snow maps, precipitation type maps, supercell composite parameter, significant tornado parameter, etc. If snow maps were never created, probably 85% of extended storms would garner little interest outside of the, "Oh look the GFS has an HECS at D10". Now, folks see a 8 day 24 HR snow map which 20-30 inches and all of a sudden, "there's a real threat". Same goes with severe...so many events in the midwest now are labeled with having potential to produce numerous tornadoes and strong/violent tornadoes because STP is forecast to be 5 or SCP is forecast to be 20.

12z high res models are pretty snowy for the higher elevations east of the city. Wonder how long we can hang on to snow tomorrow before changing to rain.