All Activity

Yea I see several offsetting thing. Less amped phases STJ wave more a stronger NS vort. Slightly less confluence to our north but less ridging to our south and a slightly flatter flow heading in. There is more than one variable. Can’t make definitive conclusions based on what one variable does.

1041 HP over NY is big help. We get hammered up front.

(remote learning) CT too-they outlawed it-thank god

FWiW (and probably not much) 00z NAM

Coffee, which is fairly stupid of me, but I want it. Contemplating a wee glass of bourbon alongside.

It’s lowkey good. Mix line actually stops advancing for a panel.

About 6” kuchera on the ground in DC by end of run with more to go. I’d lock it up now if I could

About to get wrecked

I’ll leave this here and see if it’ll age like wine or milk:

Thumping at 84...still all snow

Pummeled at 81 (or mod, if you want to be conservative about it)

Really starting to pick up. Everything coated. Might be able to squeeze out an inch looking at radar.

It’s too bad the recon data didn’t hit the NAM

Precip looks like a 2 part deal.

Moderate snow at 81

A note for tonight's disco... https://x.com/JeremyDeHartWX/status/2014163601712410877?s=20

Still fine at 78. Mix line slowly pushing north, rates improving

Surface maps don't look as bad as I thought so far..

Doesn’t mean I can’t comment on the outcome.

Would be really nice to know if the NAM is acting its crazy old self or if it actually did have the data placed in for 0z.

Snowing at NAM at 75. Mix line VA/NC border

The shaded colors illustrate it well. I think its an offset and they cancel each other out

Seems like no matter what changes for the better at 500, there's another change somewhere that offsets it.