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  2. 0.69" of rain yesterday. Another round moving in soon. 6.34" for the month so far. Could land in the top 10 wettest July's this year. #15 right now.
  3. Denise, and Floyd rainfall totals it does look like more than half came from non tropical systems :
  4. It was lower 50's...that's certainly cool. If people's houses were 50's they'd be turning on the heat.
  5. Right? Super cool! I believe they used VAPOR to create most/all of their graphics. Agreed in that I doubt they'll be able to replicate their success for most other tornadoes
  6. 89’d yesterday. Nice grouping of thundershowers popping up all over eastern Minnesota this morning.
  7. If we're going to get a big severe event this summer, next week is the window. Looks solid at this range.
  8. Not full blown...just enough to eliminate the chill. Outside of our bedroom and living room where the ACs are cranking down to like 66 the rest of the house is like 75-80...so going from that to 50's is a bit of a shock lol. 50's and sun...fine...50's with no sun set...not fine
  9. 2011: Chicago set an all-time daily record rainfall when 6.86 inches fell during the early morning hours of Saturday, July 23, 2011, at O'Hare airport. The previous daily record was 6.64 inches set on September 13, 2008. wild while Chicago was flooding, we were in the midst of a 2 day extreme bake off. Today was the second day of the bakeoff: Records: Highs: EWR: 102 (2011) NYC: 100 (2011) LGA: 100 (1955) JFK: 102 (2011) New Brnswck: 105 (2011) LGA: 59 (1992) JFK: 59 (1992) I also remember Pinatubo cooled 1992....the year without a summer (we had a quick rubber band effect between 1991-1992-1993).
  10. Heh....closest I have been to normal since 2017-2018 is about 10" shy in 2020-2021. I haven't been sniffing normal. Its always either north of south of me.
  11. Both 2-4°C of warming and cooling at the current pace of anthropogenic warming would be catastrophic. Non-transient changes like that do not happen at that sort of rate. Leaving out a time factor in the polls is in poor practice, because it creates a hypothetical environment of set warming or cooling with no time horizon. I think it's better to ask, if we were instead on pace for 2-4°C of cooling by the end of the century, and we knew we were the cause, would we try to pause that trend by mitigating our actions?
  12. Looks like we won't see dry and coolish weather like we have had the last few days until the first week of August?
  13. 1999 had one of our hottest summers and 2 of our longest heatwaves ever. I'm surprised July 2010 isn't up there at your station though.
  14. GFS pretty insistent on patches of 80s dews late this coming weekend/early next week.
  15. Wow...that is incredible!!! The part where you have the warm/moist air along the FFD feeding into wall cloud and funnel was probably my favorite part. That was probably the best visual/simulation I've ever seen. Granted this was one of the most textbook tornadoes captured on record but still. This deserves to be included in any severe wx class (undergrad or graduate).
  16. Meh, that rounds to 60 and you know it LOL. 53 and 58 up here in the great north woods the past two mornings
  17. Actually a pleasant start to the day. A bit of breeze, good cloud cover, actually feels a bit stormy. Would love to see temps bust today
  18. GFS is trying to deliver a frost/freeze to the pits of NNE.
  19. My advisor would always tell me that! Someone did manage to simulate a tornado (EF5 in El Reno 2011) using a modeling system intended for very fine atmospheric phenomena (CM1): https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/10/10/578 If you wanted, had the resources (19,600 nodes -> 672,200 cores & 270 TB worth of space), and had a lot of time, you can run the simulation too! In serial mode (single CPU), it'd take decades for this simulation to complete. Really, we have the modeling systems to run highly accurate simulations, but unfortunately, data assimilation and (relatively) limited resources is inhibiting us. A nice video of the results:
  20. 46.0° this morning. House is delightfully cold. Hoping to make it to Saturday without turning on the AC, though it's not like a single 8000 BTU window unit can do much anyway.
  21. I don’t think it’s accurate to say there’s no climate crisis from GW. The combo of the melting of land based ice flowing into the oceans as well as expansion of ocean water has been causing an accelerating rise of sea level. Also, higher dewpoint air being able to hold more moisture as well as a slight reduction of avg steering flow due to a reduced temp. contrast between the rapidly warming Arctic and the significantly slower warming of the tropics have combined to cause a notable increase in flooding rainfall events. That being said, not everything about GW has been bad. One great thing is that global food supply has increased markedly due to larger crops. This is due to longer growing seasons (longer period between freezes) accompanied by increased moisture and the ability to grow crops further north. In addition, plants have more CO2 to take in for photosynthesis. I’ll reiterate that had we instead of GW had the same amount of cooling, global food supply would be much, much smaller thus likely leading to starvation of at least hundreds of millions. Another mini-ice age would have been terrible.
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