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I can't remember a storm here in HKY where we were in the upper teens with me my suspicion would be mostly IP over ZR, but again depends on where you are.

Euro run will be fascinating.

26 years to the day of Jan 25, 2000

12ZGFS was SOLID. Now's the time we want to see it creep south a bit. And the duration of this storm is just incredible!

@The 4 Seasons17.5" - Sandwich, MA ESandwich Coop might have slightly more

Bz going so far north is just crazy. May and October 2024 and November 2025 would have been baby shows compared to this, but south Bz. Getting into real power infrastructure threat territory, too. Massive what-if.

I am going to be the Debbie downer here... all season(year) we have been seeing big precip events start drying up as the event approached... I know here we have southern system involvement, but any concerns here? We had like 1 overperformer rain event in the last year and most have been way less than forecast. Gives me pause this far out.

And 26 years to the date of the 1/25/00 miracle.

Tell them Apple Weather is out to lunch and you expect nothing less than 4'. Rattle them a little.

Fortunately the target is quite wide with this one compared to normal. We have some wiggle room one way or the other (as long as you have reasonable expectations). That being said, we are still more than 4 days out from the main event, which is about when we often see a big adjustment of some kind.

Let me introduce you to a concept called rosy retrospection. .

This is really a phenomenal storm underway, and even better it’s coming exactly a decade (plus a few days) after the incredible 2016 blizzard.

Hecs’ are just different. It requires cars to be barely visible.

This is a very encouraging sign.

He's very cautious abut this event.

Apparently I somehow clicked on 00z and thought it was 12z.

Remember back in the day whenever the EURO showed a big storm 5 days out you can lock it in. Ah good times.

I think the next runs will go back to the 6z runs

I can't disagree with PackGrad05. Mixed P is still very much a possibility. With that said we also don't want this to slide much farther south to where the cutoff becomes a concern either.

16.5" for Barnstable, MA

Verbatim when would this start?

Wish he had the balls to make an account and post.

My ukie on pivotalweather.com says 06z

Don't like seeing the GFS revert to keeping the shortwave cutoff and not phasing. It just means that option is still in the realm of possibilities. If the GFS were the only one giving us snow, I wouldn't feel too good about our chances either. No matter what the Euro shows we still have time for these important pieces to change towards or away from our favor. I'd love to get 6-8 inches of pure powder with temps in 10s followed by a massive arctic blast, and so far, I think that is within a reasonable realm of possibilities.

Imagine all the crazy bastards sitting outside watching Hockey next Saturday in Happy valley.