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The duration especially… thought it was a couple hours overnight?

That seems like a pretty bullish advisory given guidance...

Its a progressive pattern - more challenging to model. The seasonal analogs built off nina's with multi-week cold starts to December probably offer the best clue. These suggest the relax/reload period will be no less than 3-4 weeks. If anything, the pattern has been MORE progressive than some of the analog years hence the somewhat muted warm ups here compared to both what has often been modeled in the medium range and what has verified in places like the midwest. Translation - we are lamenting the fact the pattern hasn't been better, when in reality it could have been sooooo much worse.

Please remember to move your cars

Yep! Flakes flying in Exton as well.

Seymour baring his fangs. Wolfie showed him how after working out at Seymour’s gym.

advisory out.. should be another fun 4am drive tomorrow ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northern Connecticut, central, eastern, southeastern, and western Massachusetts, and northern and southern Rhode Island. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday evening and Thursday morning commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Highest snowfall amounts for the western hills of the Tolland Hills of northeast Connecticut and the western hills of Worcester County in central Massachusetts.

Here’s some info: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/teledoc/tnh.shtml

Why are you engaging with QG? He hasn't been an honest actor since his handle was noreaster27 in the early days 12+ years ago.

BAM weather vid on YouTube is great.

You might’ve been reading something into my tone. I’m not defending a troll, just pointing out that the pattern might be similar to what he said. I think it might be briefly. I don’t have any knowledge really to make a forecast except to say that Jan 10 to January 24 it’s more likely to be cold and snowy for the MA straight up into NE. I appreciate what you do on here and sorry for any misunderstanding.

Yesterday’s 18z remains the high water mark. Still have time, but would’ve hoped for a little more progress from that point.

What’s TNH? I swear people just make acronyms up now. I hope we look into OPS+ and WAR. .

As noted in the general ENSO 2025-2026 thread, the forecast development WPO+/EPO+/AO-/PNA+ pattern typically does not favor large East Coast snowstorms during January 1-10. Instead, lighter snows are the rule.

Flurries 27F

Euro gets snow into Southern MD for Sunday morning

.

Euro trying for something here....

Let's go

Anyone who thinks they have a handle on the longer range - should think twice before coming to any conclusions

What’s hard to understand?

Wasn’t going on a limb there.. A west based monster block was modeled for days. Since then the mega blocking has back off, so that idea is fading. It happen.. What’s your forecast just hiding behind your computer and calling out others? Or do you have one?

AI analyzing AI AIception

That was one cold and dry run for sure

Picked up another fluffy 2" last night and this morning.