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It’s gonna snow until Memorial Day.

But some variability here. Between the Canadian, American, and European models it’s either the northeast, mid Atlantic, or upper south that gets the goods. I’ll tell you who ain’t getting the goods though. I’m no expert but no signs of anything favorable for us. Eager to be shown otherwise! .

There was also over 2” QPF in that. That is a shit ton to throw in a snow event. Piles were massive and unlike fluff, when you shoveled snow, it became a mountain of snow.

The ski resorts out West are hoping for that outcome with the record low snowpack. But that record ridge and warmth has been beating the long range guidance since November. So we get a few days of a transient trough before the ridge returns. Eventually the trough will gain some staying power as it’s tough to lock a ridge in for 4 months without at least some relaxation for a week or two.

I enjoyed this storm much more than the 2016 storm that melted 2 days later. I like winter, not just snow falling. This has been epic. I absolutely love this pack. I've hiked over 40 miles on it. Clouding up and 35. Hardly a drip and no damage to the pack.

Ok man. Time to let it go and move on to other talking points.

The Euro Weeklies (extended EPS) have been trending away from the mid-Feb 10 mb wind reversal: Run from just 4 days ago (1/31/26) was strongly predicting it with most members reversing sometime within 2/12-18 with lowest mean ~0: Today (2/4/26): Only 5 of 100 members reversing with lowest mean then down only to ~+11:

Just has that look of Pacific hangover breathe.

3?

Ya I agree, but you know the push back we get when we say this. They get irate. A few more seconds and there will be a post about the Jan thaw, and how it happened(and no doubt it certainly did), but other than that, everything else has been largely muted to date. We’ll see what happens by mid month?

still waiting on that to show up and work out for them. at least the carolinas cashed in.

Every single torch all fall and winter disappears. Next week was supposed to be one and now we’ve got 3 snowers

This was exactly my point yesterday and the day before. Folks posting 384 clown maps of temps, and precip, and acting as if that was not going to change at all? And that was gonna be the final outcome. I never get that mentality? But yet if somebody posts a blizzard at 384 hrs, it’s laughed at. But somehow the same clown range 384 hr temp and precip map is somehow more believable, just because folks are upset that we missed the big coastal storm that hammered the SE. that idea is just lost on me. And when one questions it, we’re labeled as ACATT….?? It Beats me?

Yep... Wakefield has us in the "up to 1" category...

Big problem is the labor shortage. People don't talk about it but most of the contractors I know ( including me) have equipment sitting because of the lack of drivers and operators. It's only going to get worse, too.

Light rain to start. 35.4/32.

Usually that happens when the Niña breaks. Though last year it injected steroids instead.

I took some time away from working from home this afternoon to use the snowblower to clear a path to the oil and propane fills. Looking ahead it looks like we will have a decent pack on the ground middle of the month when I am due for both! Snow was still pretty fluffy here and easy to move. About 9 inches still on the ground. Was happy I could cut through a big snow bank to the road though. I do feel bad for the oil men when people don't clear a path. I know it can't be fun searching for the fill.

12z Euro and 6Z GFS loving next weekend. 12z gfs south. Interesting to see what unfolds over the next (gasp) 10 days. But the signal is there.

100% This. Was thinking the same thing…we’ve had such an easy go the last few years, it’s gotten towns/cities soft for sure.

Which is why this weekend will feel so much worse than any "fake" cold Gusts 50-60mph

Kind of a bush league warmup on EPS…keeps washing out the warmest anomalies west and northwest of us. Which is what we’d expect with a rotting NAO block. Maybe we get a cutter to get a couple days of true torch.

It's 33 and thick drizzle in town.

For the 24 hour measurements, the snowboard is only wiped once per day, but the greatest depth during that period is recorded as the snowfall. If the snow on the board reaches a depth of 8" and then settles to 5", the amount of snowfall reported is 8" I am not philosophically opposed to measuring and clearing the board every 6 or 12 hours, but the problem is that there are multiple prescribed standards which give rise to discussions like this. I don't think there are any easy answers.

I knew I had seen that somewhere. There was no way that could have been an original thought on my part!