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Kidding aside…that ULL moves right overhead now Thu night. There will probably be some accumulating light snows up here. You still can’t rule out this thing blowing up for E ME if we start getting some pressure falls in the GOM. But yeah, it’s only 1/12. The elephant in the room is that continues up here.
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Cant be too discouraged with this mornings gfs run. Plenty of chances are coming over the next couple of weeks.
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"Skynet begins to learn at a geometric rate. It becomes self-aware at 2:14 a.m. Eastern time, January 9th. In a panic, the weenies try to pull the plug."
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
moneypitmike replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Nothing gives me goosebumps quite like ensembles 10+ days away. -
Chargers blew that game, should have been 14-3 early. I thought the Patriots looked beatable…Houston (if they win) will be a tough matchup. I still think the winner of the DEN/BUF game are favorites to reach the SB for the AFC.
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Bout as bad as me wearing a different shirt than I normally do for the Panthers game on Saturday... We should both know better.
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Looks like a continuation of the milder and dry pattern through the next week. EPS January 12 to 19 forecast
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I buy it...I know someone like @qg_omegawill beat me over the head for that, but this season is going to eventually produce....I don't think I'm going to challenge my futility record. -
Gonna take the blame for totals being slashed in the mountains since I said I’d book a cabin there this weekend haha
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20 this morning
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
ChescoWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
A sunny couple of days with seasonably chilly temperatures to start the week with an increasing chance of some combination of rain and then snow by the middle to late week. Temperatures trending to below normal by next weekend. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
a advisory event could still happen, but not sure much more down here. I'll still be glad to see it snow. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
ORH_wxman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I will say that the EPS continues to get snowier and snowier in the LR. They never got too bullish about the 1/15-1/20 period but they been really liking the period after that. So for us masochists who like tracking these things, that would be your beacon of hope. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
A sunny couple of days with seasonably chilly temperatures to start the week with an increasing chance of some combination of rain and then snow by the middle to late week. Temperatures trending to below normal by next weekend. -
Winter have ALWAYS sucked here. This is absolutely nothing new. I've been here my entire life. Last winter was a great winter. I had 3 weeks of winter last year. The year before I had 11 days of winter (below freezing with snowpack). It only happens every few years on average. This year probably won't have any period of winter since the past 2 did. I suggest people travel. I know.. it's not the same. I suggest renting a house and staying for a week or more. I did that and it was almost like snow at home.
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So far you nailed everything
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
How many days till pitchers and catchers? Go Phillies! -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yeah, the wheels started wobblin last night and looks like NS/SS not playing well together (sounds like the Eagles as well). trough axis little too far east is not helping either. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I just have a few patches left...snowbanks at the sides of the driveway are still there. -
Standing by to see if KLOT issues a severe duster advisory I will say that mood flakes are only uplifting with a snowpack. Otherwise it’s annoying and you’d rather have a ridge flex and sunshine.
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Nothing is worse than cold dry, warm wet.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
ORH_wxman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yeah we’re in bad shape for areas that can’t make it up with a couple of decent warning events. The funny part is the pattern still looks totally serviceable with plenty of cold around and nearby in S Canada but if we’re not getting any of these shortwaves to play ball, it’s all meaningless. Can’t buy an event to actually verify. -
Im assuming the B- is a reference to winter so far. we came through last week with several inches remaining, so the continual snowpack is a little plus, but pretty typical for here.
