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33 degrees after near 70 yesterday. screwy weather, typical March.

Temporarily

at the end of each fishing season i have had it; am cursing the regulations, the east winds, the cold fronts, the offshore swells etc. but right now i am itching to get back into things.striper season is open though it is never too good in the spring anymore, and i might give some south jersey perch a whirl.

KIAD will be good to track as snow starts making it's way into the lower atmosphere. SPC shows some scattered FGEN at the 700mb level but better dynamics out west. Which, to be fair, I didn't think this would start so early.

Exactly. It’s like we forgot that this could happen. Then start thinking back to the good ol’ climate days… Recency bias. We were in a persistent cold spot like the one in your stagnant warm backyard pool that just needs to get mixed out or cooked by increasing sun angle

Problem is only 4 days hit 60 and 2 are rain and 1 cloudy lol. This is the extended TWC forecast.

Can’t get out of winter soon enough with energy prices spiking. Nat gas included…

'nough said,

heh..yeah, different discussion.

Exactly. That providence record is a joke. If they beat the real winter season then that’s legit. Other than that, it’s Man made nonsense. Beating their all time amount in one storm…that’s legit. But not this.

LWX is down for hopefully just an hour but if you try and approximate with KDOX band doesn’t seem to be setting up too far north. Guess we’ll see.

Fantastic winter. Hopefully a great finish after the 15th. Torch for a 4 day period that easily could get ruined by any strong NE E SE S wind. But first highly ignored by our CNE crew is some deep winter for them

I think 90% of the people here would be happy with a March torch. I for one am done. Time to get outside and start living again.

DCA: +5.0 NYC: +5.5 BOS: +6.0 ORD: +5.0 ATL: +4.0 IAH: +3.0 DEN: +4.0 PHX: +3.0 SEA: +0.5

Ratio of pages to inches of snow will be 100:1

I mean not uncommon for DCA their Cherrys blossom soon.

Fine print DJF reason I hate Met winter and any Met season record doesn't reflect on the true season

Not ready to buy into an idea of sustained winter return just yet. We might get intermittent cold shots, but on the ensembles it still looks quite brief, and even the long-range GFS/Euro have tempered the cold look for next weekend. A couple days of high 30s spread apart. EPS and GEPS are generally warmer outside the northern plains. GEFS shows a more matriculating cold into the east, but that's at the very end of the run, so the potential length is unknown. +AO and +NAO look persistent. -PNA, as well. MJO into Phase 5 is what I'd call "tempered" or neutral in March, but Phase 6 is straight warm. Magnitude dependent. Seems like a more balanced or oscillating pattern - no full torch or deep winter. Maybe later in the month things move definitively, either way.

Has there ever been a more narrow band. Unreal!

52.7 so far.

Probably more accurate lol

The Northern Hemisphere winter cold pool has really shrunk following the dramatic warming which occurred in 2015-2016 across the globe and North America. So while this was a great winter for us, it was the 2nd warmest across the CONUS. Past winters this cold and snowy in the East also had extensive cold further to our West with much colder CONUS rankings. Several years had coast to coast cold which was missing this winter. So in this much warmer world it was a challenge for places to have an all-time winter for both snow and cold. There was definitely a colder global temperature sweet spot from 1993-1994 to 2014-2015. This allowed for the all-time snowiest winter in PA during 1993-1994, our area in 1995-1996, DC to Philly in 2009-2010, Detroit and the Great Lakes in 2013-2014, and Boston in 2014-2015. None of these benchmarks were able to be approached this winter with the smaller footprint of the cold. The big question going forward is how long will it be before we see another locally cold and snowy winter near this magnitude since the last ones were over 11 years ago? Climatologist49 ‪@climatologist49.bsky.social‬ Follow December 2025 through February 2026 was the 2nd warmest winter on record for the Contiguous U.S. according to Prism climate data. The widespread record to near record warmth in the west easily outweighed the cool temps in the east. 11:39 AM · Mar 1, 2026

IAD and DCA records for 3/11 are 79°. Good chance that’s wiped out and it’s 9 days away.

Yeah... some definite warmth heading here. Not sure I get 70s (even 60s?) but a bunch of 50s and some rain. Ah well. Should make my road even more special. Frost heaves potholes will be epic