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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Baroclinic Zone replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Don’t matter when the high or low occurs, still goes in the books for the day. -
Wiz must be in heaven . Bruins with two hat tricks. First time since 1964.
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I mean really just minor adjustments to these H5 maps and its a Big Dog.
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Not yet
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The 12z EURO, although didnt get it done, did trend towards the GFS. Will this continue at 18z/0z? We will soon see.
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i think you and i might make the cut at least lmao
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The box just shifted east from the old map
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Modfan2 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Start a thread -
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Thats quite the boomer phone case. Does he still look at the ETA model?
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And also maybe 25-27th, but that may be getting over my skis at that range....but the ensembles are honking right about then.
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
franklin NCwx replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Starting to clear out here. Just a little over 4 inches. Fontana is the lowest I have seen in sometime -
I think “kicker” is an unfortunate misnomer for the thing being talked about. It’s not so much “kicking” the wave east as it is lowering heights behind the wave that prevents it from digging further south and going negative tilt at the right time for us. I think that’s what is meant.
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I am also now watching Jan 20th as a window a bit more closely. Looks legit.
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Looks like NYC is not in that box… just saying
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
ORH_wxman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Today was also only the 8th day without pack this winter. Most of those days were between 12/8-12/14…had a couple before New Years too. -
It's an informal term that some people use to describe interactions in the flow. Admittedly, it annoys me a little bit, but I let it slide. I have even seen NWS mets say it in forecast discussions.
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Notice how there is a bit of ridging edging into Maine. Wonder if this helps nudge the trough more neutral/negative?
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
ORH_wxman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Peaked at 44 here today during the day but 41 now. Midnight high of 48. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Ya that could be it. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Maybe he means midnight high? 42 here now -
The rain forecast entirely busted so that drought continues here.
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Zero interest in next week's system until today/tonight's system gets on out of here. Till then, it's flip-flop mania.
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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
StormyClearweather replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
LWX Disco (the part we care about): THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER, TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE DAY. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION (RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW) WILL BE ALONG AND WEST OF THE ALLEGHENY FRONT, BUT SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MAY SPILL TO THE EAST. UNCERTAINTY INCREASES THEREAFTER AS A DEEP TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE EASTERN US. IF THIS TROUGH WERE TO PHASE WITH A SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE, LOW PRESSURE COULD DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST ON THURSDAY. AS TEMPERATURES DROP BEHIND THE FRONT, ANY PRECIPITATION THAT DOES OCCUR COULD BE WINTRY IN PARTS OF THE AREA. THE GFS HAS SHOWN THIS SCENARIO FOR A FEW RUNS, BUT AS OF NOW IS NOT SUPPORTED BY OTHER GUIDANCE OR EVEN MOST OF ITS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS. JUST A PERIOD TO PAY ATTENTION TO FOR NOW. -
