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Ha, hoping for a good event here in SLK. Snowing nicely right now.
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Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
ineedsnow replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
dry air not a problem here -
Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
WxWatcher007 replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
27.5 and SN here at WXW2 -
Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
ineedsnow replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
I think we crush soon wish I kept the 2 to 4 I had earlier.. I think we easily see that now -
Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
ineedsnow replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
snowing here -
what are we hmmming over? zero or non-zero OMS for that, now bring that 100mi NW with some support and i'll consider it -but i don't think the overall pattern really supports that type of outcome anyway
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The really cold classic winter pattern is probably over. However bowling balls and other vigorous systems can still bring snow for another month, especially I-40 north. Indeed the torch does not last forever and the 16-20 day trends back toward normal temps.
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Love how dead this place is with a couple inches of snow compared to a sne thread. I have 2.5 inches in 3 hours, ain't nothin' to sneeze at
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Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
dendrite replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
DZ and IP obs in the slot in the CT RV. -
2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
1988 does appear to be a good anti-analog. This my favorite La Nina, because it was independent, strong on its own, it wasn't part of a 2 or 3 year phase. I think you see La Nina effects better in analogs such as 88-89. We did have 2 El Nino's 2 years before, which inversely matches the RONI 2 La Nina's of the last 2 years. Jan-Feb 1988 was also the most subsurface cold water anomaly of the analogs. This matches this year being one of the warmest subsurface anomalies (whole subsurface area). Also to note, although the subsurface analog matches give off a strong signal (80% going in the direction later in the year), I think it's inflated a little high, because there are only 10 examples. More reasonable is probably 60% odds, based on the subsurface. -
Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
Damage In Tolland replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Valley -
Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
CoastalWx replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
You should snow soon though -
Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
CoastalWx replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Yep. Dry air. -
Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
HIPPYVALLEY replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
@CoastalWxI have 30dbz overhead with nothing falling. You called it earlier. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Agreed, the Sunday chance is still way too close to write off at this range. The 18z Euro was a close call & grazes southern PA with some light snow this run. It was not far away from something more. -
agreed, but it was still better than many others we've suffered through.
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Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
512high replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Temp down to 29F/ snow, about 1/4" -
Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
ineedsnow replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
earlier we went from a few flakes to dumping in about 30 seconds came in like a wall -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
This really isn't a frontloaded winter. Our biggest storm was on January 25, and our coldest air of the season went into February. When I think of a frontloaded winter, the cold and snow comes in November and December, and the worst is out by January 15 at the latest. 1989-90 is one that comes to mind. -
Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
Damage In Tolland replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Still 1-2”.. lolli 3 thinking? -
Feb is typically our snowiest month but so far and as far as we can see it’s a strikeout. Maybe something will happen by the end of the month but it’s not promising right now. I don’t think this winter is a failure by any means like the last few but if we strike out on snow from here it’ll be average or a little better in general because of the cold. But that’s my opinion.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
MDT only needs 9 inches or so more of snow to reach seasonal average of 30 inches by early April. We still have 6 realistic weeks to score, so it’s certainly within reach. -
Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
mahk_webstah replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
We went from nothing to heavy snow in record time I think not even 10 minutes -
Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
ineedsnow replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Just saw a video from East Longmeadow and they switched to sleet -
Hoping we can get some decent sun with the warmer temps tomorrow to start to thaw some of this ice and snow pack that has gotten so gross. A good soaking rain would be beneficial for multiple reasons as well but have to wait a bit for one or those it looks like.
