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HRRR more juice through 21 Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

That will depend on the location, Some areas even though they have higher qpf numbers, The ratios will be lower.

Yep. And even know we had two above freezing days. The ground is still frozen solid.

6am moderate/ heavy snow DC

low of 8.6F here, DCA at 10F. Dewpoint got down to -13F (almost certainly the lowest since I've lived here). Right now 10/-11., Going to take a while to saturate that column lol

Plus still no headlines from dtx. We always do well when they underestimate an event, which is often.

Current HRRR run doesn't really have precip in NC until 8 hours from now.

Maybe..i was still in leesburg then...this cold can't be that damn easy to bully even at upper levels. I do think the storm im thinking of the low was pretty far west so the cold held on longer at all levels...I don't know i just think getting that much sleet feels a bit over the top

Kuchie will be more accurate than 10:1 with this airmass Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

I don't get the reduced snow depths along the immediate shores. The warm air is not coming in from the ocean, it is coming from the SW at 850mb and above.

Okay I think HRRR is an hour faster with more precip. Edit: no, it's just more precip

Yea a skating rink of sleet my parents say.

If you have never seen this one, 100% recommend! This sums up the DMV to perfection.

I remember in 2014 when Jeb introduced the Jebwalk to me. I've been calling it that ever since. Cold AF

Yes- Ji is right below. In my 15 years in Washington, we’re good at busting low, but in unique/complex setups (like now) we have busted high a few times.

There's a decent glaze of ice across quite a few counties across northern AL. Seems a little colder than expected in places like Little Rock, Memphis, Tupelo, and NW AL so far. I mean, hell, there are areas around Little Rock below 10 degrees. If precip type changes to Frz Rn with it that cold at the surface, that would be wild.

What's yalls temp

WB 12Z HRRR snow breaking out 2am Sunday; 4,

Too much stj involvement after being quiet all winter? Fetch off the gulf torching the mid levels? It’s plenty cold down here as advertised.

6z Euro cant post the image, stupid file is too big. But its either right or going to burn.

Kind of funny how they hit at same time. I was writing when yours hit and didn’t see it. I guess great minds think alike. It will be fun today to track the storm’s evolution, and try to figure how it translates upstream. This is what the hobby is all about and we are lucky to have red taggers break it down for us.

RGEM is a tad too warm at 850 on 6z run according to SPC analysis in western third of NC.

As far northeast as Roanoke