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It literally gave 0.0 inches yesterday at this time to pretty much the entire forum other than the far southern folk so...not sure what more it can do to top that.

GFS rolling so we'll see.

Couple feet on the Icon

Detroit is definitely the king of nickel and diming, if that's one's speed. No one would argue against that. But of course, Chicago does better with big dogs. In terms of seasonal snowfall and snowcover, Detroit may do slightly better, but it's not a big enough difference worth quibbling over.

12z ICON is a tad north of 6z, major ice storm for all of NC

it's been so long since we've had this

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Why are you posting Tuesday runs?

got it. It’s the icon anyway

I've tried... people like the pretty maps!

7-10" isnt anything to sneeze at - I think they'd be thrilled, I would be

This is so funny

Yeah that's absolutely gorgeous. Textbook.

Models also don’t pick up well on CAD typically past 72 hours so hopefully we will get better idea as time get closer to storm.

QPF continues to improve as well. All of us are in the 1.0-1.2" range sound of the MD.

People need to stop using those maps and look at soundings to see if there are good chances for high ratios. If in doubt use 10-1. You want a saturated -12 to -18C layer and strong lift. Surface temps don’t determine ratios if you’re below freezing.

I saw that Randy was stuck on the train this morning - cracked rail around the Medical Center stop. Those things can take a minute to fix - luckily I missed it by the time I was headed in

How does it look for Georgia?

I thought a lot of people didn't like the NAM? But to me (unless i'm wrong) it seemed pretty accurate for the snows we had so far this winter.

The 12z GFS is rolling....

Not folding in the towel just yet but a potential waste of cold air. Surface temps in the teens but get ice.

I'd put money on the fact that the goofus is about to crap itself in the middle of this run. I'm waiting for it's classic mid range rug pull that isn't real lol

ICON would likely be the worst ice storm in the history of the Carolinas. Devestating. only real savior for us could be sleet at this point given how cold the sfc temps will be.

i know it's 25-dollar words but it's wave harmonics - or lack thereof. The flow is too fast. The western ridge leading and during the 26/27th "continental overrunning bomb" is not oriented or behaving in such a physical manner as to set up better phasing - which is improved harmonics. Taller more robust ridge, blossoming as a trough is diving near the Dakotas or MN ..etc ... is what to look for. We " might" see a better performance int hat regard toward the 30th

FWIW ICON was a smokeshow per maps from our MA Friends.