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Woke up to a dusting this morning. Wasn't expecting it. Couldn't stop dog from finding his new delicacy... Frozen rabbit pellets lol

What’s the timing on this?

I think with the SSW warming, something's gonna happen in late Feb, early March.

We need to go out with a bang. We're off from raining at new job. Gotta get that big one!

Definitely do! Fontana is the lowest i have seen in a long time

For me, it looks like a potentially big cold shot coming at some point during March. That isn't really earth shattering news, but just trying to time it is going to be the tough part. The CFSv2 has it at 6z and the Euro Weeklies mean has March being progressively colder. You all know your own climatology. Folks in NE TN and the Plateau can score well into early April. March snow is not an anomaly IMBY, though it has been during La Nina. I am really excited that maybe this summer won't be ridiculously hot w/ the onset of El Nino and same for fall. Jury is out on next winter. If the El Nino is moderate or strong, I will roll w/ a torch for DFJ. If it is weak, I will roll with December warm, and January and February seasonal but snow chances. The strength of the El Nino is crucial. Sometimes lately, even a weak El Nino is torchy here.

Dads on a sled never works out very well...lol

The storm doesn’t want you to experience anesthesia, sorry.

Have a colonoscopy at 7 am Monday. I really really really really don’t want any snow.

You have a newborn. Your wife is going to leave you with that attitude.

Gfs just steins the mid week event here and warms up later in the week.

Yeah, it’s hard to get fully onboard with this one. Early call for my backyard: 0-3.5”

It’s been snowing lightly all morning here, just some light accumulation (maybe 1/4” or so).

Coming around .

GGEM north of 00z but still mediocre

Yes, intriguing but have to remain skeptic. Models have been all over the place with this one. @Heisy never gave up and also highlighted the small but important details that will make or break this event.

The 0z Euro was really amplified towards the end of the month. I think there is a window there from say Feb 24-March10. It fits the pattern we have seen all winter. Warms up here. Mammoth gets blitzed. We get a brief cold shot which is followed by another short warm-up....then the hammer comes down for a couple of weeks.

Cmc further north than 0z but light precip.

No one wants a mild pattern Its still winter

Minor event Hopefully we get a bigger event in weeks to come.

Agree, 1-3, or 2-4 is a nice little refresh for those who want it and not too much to cause inconvenience for those who don’t.

Back to dead, this has been an exhausting non event, LOL

Rgem and hrrr nada. Thankfully the euro has a few inches

Zoomed in version. Less aggressive than 6z was. Believable but everyone is gonna be sweating thermals. Time period is late afternoon into evening tomorrow so sun angle won't cook as much