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UKIE is in the range of models on precip but it insists it’s mostly rain. Gonna first lean on all other models, the NWS, and WPC on ptype

ok i want snow as much as the next guy but you gotta check yourself dude this is absolutely unhinged. @snowman19i don't agree with your wx outlook all the time but you don't deserve a reply like this...

Well is the ukmet so...

I know the UKIE probably nails the H500 pattern over the UK. But yeesh that’s ugly here.

12z UKIE even gives a inch or two here.. we take!

Ukmet makes no friends for dc area.

Canadian Kuchie

Are you sure you aren't thinking about the 1" "during commute" for advisories. I do not recall something like you are mentioning in my 34 years living here.

WB 15Z HRRR at HR 18.

They also take into account location. If u live in Alabama, a 1 to 3 inch storm is warning level. We're as that's just an advisory here,.. but I could be totally wrong... As my wife likes to tell me lol

I think better than 10:1 under heavy echos.

Go fuck yourself, I’ve had enough of subhuman vermin who simply exist to make others miserable. I don’t care about being classy with you anymore because I don’t respect you as a human being. I tried to be respectful and acknowledged some of your good qualities because I believed you have potential, but you refuse to correct your issues. I no longer think you can be redeemed. Genuinely, the world would be a better place if you offed yourself. You are rude to people who are respectful. Yes, I am an asshole but I’m putting my darkness to good use. You are a bad person, and nobody will miss you if you die besides a few other like minded people.

They gotta do that and use the stuff to get there budget for next year

Actually, no, I’ve seen a warning for a 2 to 4 inch so I think they take into consideration overall conditions, especially if there is a chance for dynamic snow that’s gonna take people by surprise

Im sorry man. I know how that feels. All too well. Pretty much all last winter got missed. Peoria has already surpassed all of last winter's snow. Looks like after a torch for a bit maybe some interesting stuff around Xmas. I was surprised myself these followed basically the same track or close to.

For what it is worth- I just ruined all snow for the rest of the season…. Bought a snowblower [emoji21] .

I was surprised to see Spotsylvania roads pre-treated for maybe flurries.

Color code says 2 to 3. Noaa is goofy lol

I'd think if the more bullish model trends continue (let's see how the Euro's 12Z run looks), NWS could issue some warnings with their afternoon package if there's a decent chance the necessary criteria for a warning could be met.

I mean a warning is 5” or more, not road conditions haha.

I agree. Latest modeling shows warning criteria for a lot of us . Maybe LWX is waiting till the afternoon update

Have fun to all going today. Wish I didn't have something going on in Stamford later (that I paid for, otherwise I would have dropped). Hoping we can do a late winter or spring one

Below is the experimental RRFS that I believe will replace the NAM maybe as early as next month.

37 on a southerly wind here

How is that 1" for D.C.? lmao Same with Baltimore. The numerical values don't match the gradients.