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@Ralph Wiggum mentioned in the other sub that across all guidance the high weakened slightly from thr 1050s to 1044 at the most

Very generally speaking, thunder snow is reserved for storms that deepen rapidly near your latitude (bomb out) or less commonly a vigorous closed upper level low pass creating instability and pockets of big lift. I don't really see either with this event yet so my guess is no. There's a big thermal gradient but otherwise not a bomb scenario or ir gnarly closed upper level low.

https://x.com/i/status/2013350503464227182

I think that'll be good for both our subs...because a weakee high would lessen suppression risk, right?

Can’t say I hate being on the north side of the heaviest snows as depicted by the nbm. Still a little worried about suppression, but 12z assuaged that concern just a little bit.

yeah after the second storm, we had like 4' of snow on the ground in Philly. Unreal.

Cold. Here's the precipitation:

So my big question is, who has the plow to pick up me and the surgical team so this doesn’t get cancelled lol .

Apple home grown weather app has me at [emoji[emoji638][emoji639][emoji[emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]][emoji640][emoji640]][emoji[emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]][emoji640][emoji6[emoji640][emoji637]]]][emoji[emoji638][emoji639][emoji[emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]][emoji640][emoji640]][emoji[emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]][emoji640][emoji6[emoji640][emoji637]]]]-[emoji[emoji638][emoji639][emoji[emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]][emoji640][emoji640]][emoji[emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]][emoji640][emoji6[emoji640][emoji637]]]][emoji[emoji[emoji638][emoji639][emoji[emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]][emoji640][emoji6[emoji640][emoji637]]][emoji[emoji638][emoji639][emoji[emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]][emoji640][emoji640]][emoji[emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]][emoji640][emoji640]]]][emoji639][emoji[emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]][emoji640][emoji6[emoji640][emoji637]]][emoji[emoji638][emoji639][emoji[emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]][emoji640][emoji640]][emoji[emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]][emoji640][emoji6[emoji640][emoji637]]]]] inches. That’s what’s causing the drama haha

Are those by days of snow individually or do you compress multiple days to one storm. If you want I can send you how I did Harrisburg as well as raw data going back to 1890 Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

That really is a pretty good clustering showing up on today's run.

Doesn’t have the Euro correct? .

hoping this is the real deal and not a "premature evaluation."

looks like the storm that shall not be named.....2/6/2010. this is not quite as massive though.

I was just looking up the 1933 data from all of the NH sites and there’s a lot of -40s in Coos, but 2 stood out…-48° in Milan and -52° in Dixville Notch. Unfortunately they were stamped with “not standard thermometer” on the forms.

If you compare h5 to gfs the sw is moving east and is already east of gfs. But its the Nam at 84 so ain’t like it matters.

I gotta fly 2/1 to FL to care for my MIL-was originally planned the first week of March but alas stuff happens. She can’t be alone and my wife’s siblings are/were there last week, this week, and next so our time is coming except since my wife and me are the only ones with more time. Let’s get a big dog before 2/1! After that our winter is over.

Yea agreed, this is why I asked. Just looks like the OPs .

I can't find anything that confirms it but based on what the NBM is showing I'd argue they are not.

Seems crazy to try and extrapolate the NAM at range, but if we are being honest verbatim, the ull is hugging the Southern Cali coastline crawling along on a trajectory to the baja. It also looks uber wound up. How you can tell that would be a great run, Im not quite sure.

Looks like the CME has arrived at G4 levels. I’ll step outside once it gets dark. Feeling pretty blessed to have caught vivid light shows in my backyard multiple times this solar cycle.

Ok, but the NBM is their bible, so if it's showing 6" of snow, the WPC map ought to reflect that IMO.

Tarrytown, NY from early this afternoon:

Fully expecting not to be in jackpot on this one and end up with the typical pings, but could we expect some potential for thunder snow?