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I love that we just finished a storm yesterday and the next opportunity is close enough that we’ve got NAM analysis on it.
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Looks like a really weak clipper that barely makes it over the mountains. Other models have it, but almost none of them have any appreciable precip on the lee side of the mountains.
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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
WeatherGeek2025 replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
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The storm isn't necessarily in NAM range, but all the features that will tell us whether it goes OTS or up the coast will be in place by then, like you said.
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Snow Contest January 25th-26th
WeatherGeek2025 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
i think your location should be discarded that was mostly just for fun but the major cities i think is cool. And maybe we can throw in a reward for winning like a small crypto reward or something i'm interested in chipping in as a tournament fee if you will. We could always continue these into rain events and wind events and heat days and so on -
Yeah, nam dropping Friday morning rush hour snow
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Texas 2026 Discussion/Observations
Stx_Thunder replied to Stx_Thunder's topic in Central/Western States
Additional ice & sleet storm damage reports in NTX and SETX (including Houston metro area), finally came in from DFW and Houston NWS offices. The highest (reported) Freezing rain total in ETX was 0.75", in Panola county. The highest NTX Sleet storm total was 5.5" in Celina, or Collin county. -
It’s wild that just started tracking a hecs and are in Nam range already lol What’s this snowstorm Nam is giving us Friday?
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I do kind of like the look of the NAM at range
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Snow Contest January 25th-26th
Roger Smith replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Okay, I can post the numbers from climate summaries (the last one we need shows up soon after midnight). It will be the total snowfall for 25th-26th as shown in climate summaries and where possible on CF6 forms too. Your scoring system is basically total of absolute errors, should probably be to decimal places as results and some forecasts have a decimal involved. But whatever it will work out the same probably. As to the forecasts for "your location" some of those would involve taking a forum report, a few can be verified the same way as above. But likely you wouldn't include them in scoring, right? -
Yep-I remember how much ice I saw on Reynolds Channel in Jan 2004 and being amazed, it really resembled the Arctic. Would be awesome to see that again.
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Icon first to the plate, right?
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Winds absolutely blowing outside again.
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
wncsnow replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
Things to look for are more west trends with that polar energy, less of a kicker wave behind it to prevent it from digging/going negative tilt, and a stronger southern stream wave (or piece of another Baja low). The Baja taketh and maybe giveth this time? -
HRRR says 850 winds die down sometime between 1-4am so hoping that's when temps start dropping out
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How much for PHL? They will be in a subsidence zone, seven feet and 80 mph, do they have any tall buidlings? All I know is the Liberty Bell and the Flyers play there. Otherwise total ignorance, I drove through once but was too frightened to look.
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When is the last time DC had consecutive week of highs below 30?
