All Activity

DCA: +1.1 NYC: +0.8 BOS: +0.7 ORD: +1.1 ATL: +1.4 IAH: +1.7 DEN: +1.9 PHX: +21 SEA: -0.3

39 mph in Syosset.

Everything below that level…

Coming into Logan on approach to 22. Winds are ripping but it’s reasonably quiet turbulence wise at 4000 feet.

Yeah it takes time to build snowpack. Right now it is slowly building over western Canada, and is beginning to expand south and east. This process will continue until the snow arrives in New England by mid-late December.

the storm that hated Chicago

yes, i was fishing that day and brought a bucket with a bag of ice, usually fine for this time of year, but it quickly melted and i had to empty the lunch cooler out and stuff the fish in there.

35 mph in Muttontown for highest gust now.

DCA _NYC _BOS __ORD _ ATL _IAH __ DEN _PHX _SEA -0.4 0.1 0.3 1.5 -0.5 1.9 3.3 1.0 1.5

Wow. Is there any plan to fix this?

We seem to have a similar pattern as of last year to an extent as of the date today.Most of the models have been into a good agreement recently of the MJO but now are starting to distance themselves recently it seems.Should see what the MJO does upcoming.CFS other than timing right now looks the same AS 2024,posted up top.One difference right now should be the QBO as we was more in a de-amplified QBO but westerly to a amped Easterly.Think the last thing you want to see for a cold Nov is for the MJO to get into the WP,

ewr gusted to 53 mph

October 2025 at DCA made it three consecutive months of below normal temperatures at 60.3 degrees, vs the 1991-2020 October normal of 60.8 degrees. Precipitation at DCA was also below normal at 1.89 inches vs 3.66 during 1991-2020. The January-October 2025 temperature averaged 62.7 degrees at DCA, compared with 64.5 last year and the record warm 64.7 during January-October 2012.

If only it was colder… it has been pounding precip all afternoon and just keeps going. Prolific snow maker even into the low lands if like 5C colder today.

That seems like a tough assignment! How are you going to see a CB in November?? But agree with folks above that lenticular is probably impossible for all intents and purposes.

November is on track to finish with a mean temperature of 58.4° in New York City. That is 0.5° above normal and 1.5° above the earlier 1981-2010 baseline. Highs will reach the middle 50s in much of the region tomorrow and Sunday. Lows will mainly be in the lower and middle 40s in New York City and 30s outside the City. In the long-range, the guidance suggests that an AO+/NAO+ regime could develop the first week in November. As has often happened with the loss of strong blocking, a milder regime could develop late in the first week of November or shortly afterward. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.6°C for the week centered around October 22. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.48°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through mid-winter. The SOI was +11.28 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.064 today. The NAO was -1.321.

Unfortunately the end toll will probably come in that high. It's early. Saving grace is they had lots of warning. However unlike the US most people just don't have the ability to evacuate, at least in terms of going somewhere hundreds of miles away in another state that's safe.

We are in October, not December. Saying should be the kiss of death for us is a weenie statement.

Now that Melissa is gone I’ve moved from tropical to late fall mode. With one of my locations now being SLK I’d love to post here too representing the western portion of the BTV NWS area, if y’all will have me.

Snow is back in the forecast for the Green Mountain spine, and the BTV AFD is asking the questions we are all thinking... it appears as though cold season is nearly upon us! Looking forward to the incoming stake photos tomorrow morning, may this winter be as cold as the last! .SYNOPSIS... Cool and blustery conditions will prevail for most of this upcoming weekend with occasional valley rain and mountain snow showers. A light slushy snow accumulation is possible above 1500 feet by Saturday morning, as temperatures fall into the upper 20s to near 40. Westerly winds will gust at 30 to 45 mph at times overnight, before slowly weakening on Saturday. Warmer and drier weather returns by early next week, as temperatures climb back into the 50s. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 247 PM EDT Friday...Updated to remove equipment section as TYX radar is back in service. A cool, blustery and showery evening is on tap for Halloween activities. Sfc analysis places an impressive 978mb low pres just east of Sherbrooke with deep/vertically stacked system slowly moving northeast. Storm total rainfall has been 1.72" here at BTV thru 2:45 PM, just imagine if it were colder. This closed cyclonic circulation wl produce a prolonged upslope precip event acrs our mtns thru at least Sat morning, before drier air develops by Sat aftn and precip slowly dissipates. The highest pops near 100% and greatest qpf wl be focused over the northern Dacks and central-northern Greens, with much less in favorable downslope areas of the CT River Valley and parts of the western CPV. Whiteface summit temp already down to 30F with flakes flying and little Whiteface at 3000 feet is 33F, would expect snow level near SLK/Lake Placid by 00z, as progged 925mb temps fall below 0C. For the Green, snow levels start near summit level this aftn, but falls to 3000 feet by 00z and near 1500 feet around midnight. 925mb temps hover btwn -1C and -3C, so a slushy snow accumulation is possible on grassy surfaces down to 1500 feet or so by morning. Expecting 1 to 3 inches btwn 1800 and 3000 feet, 2 to 4 inches between 3000 and 4000 feet and 4 to 6 inches at summit level of both the Greens and Dacks by Sat aftn. Will there be enough for the rock skis and boards by midday Saturday?

Mine did that as well. Cocorahs gauge was 1.86 and ambient was 2.08. Like Walt said, intense rains sometimes skew it high. I've had the 2902 for 5 years now

My youtube feed has been full of talks of early winter snowstorms , visitors from outer space and AI pandas. It looks like it's going to be one hell of a digital ride this winter, hopefully we can have some early season sleigh rides to match.