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what i think will happen

Really good winter. Cold and snow pack longevity, at least one big storm. Below normal temps Dec-Feb but needs one more good storm (6"+) to move this winter from a B to an A. Snowfall currently near average Feb has 2 weeks left so we'll see if it can deliver something otherwise it'll be a solid B winter. March weather is always extra to me.

Because of the Bermuda High pressure, this could realistically partially phase and have snow break out between 6-9 hours depicted on the map

this isn't exact science but because of the Bermuda High pressure being stronger than modeled and trending even stronger could phase the northern stream and cause the snow to break out for 6-8 hours between this area!

Winter of 93-94 holds the record here. 76 days straight of snow on the ground. Jan 4th to March 20. 1977-78 was also a banger. 66 days straight. Jan 13- March 19th. Take a look at the images for the beauty that winter was. It was also frigid. Average daily temperature Dec 31.6 Jan 26.2 Feb 22.8 March 38.6 Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Looks like a gradient pattern is setting up with waves along a boundary.

Sunday-Monday storm is expected to slide out to sea due to the negative PNA and zonal flow, this isn’t really an explosive coastal setup. Next week looks better, no big storm but multiple waves along a boundary. It can add up quickly.

At this point I have to laugh. I'm starting to feel better but noticed I couldn't taste anything today. Took COVID test, positive of course. I'm sure I picked that up in hospital Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

That was the sentiment at the time AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION..FINAL AFTN.. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 414 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2001 ...SEVERE STORM COMPARABLE OR WILL EXCEED THE BLIZZARD OF 78 FOR SNE WITH 60 HR DURATION OF SNW AND MAX INTENSITY OF WORST CONDS 18Z TUE-00Z WED AND HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE HIGHLY LIKELY TO OCCUR PARTS OF E MA COAST...DRAG

Pittsfield FTW!! Or the bright blue skies.

Bruh…

Eta, Avn, NGM, NOGAPS People think the NAM and HRRR is bad, they have idea about the NGM

Interesting- it’s water streams and puddles everywhere around HBG/Camp Hill. I actually splashed my pant leg walking into Costco tonight

The Global High-Resolution Atmospheric Forecasting (GRAF) model is a propriety, physics based, numerical weather prediction system developed by The Weather Company (an IBM Business) in collaboration with the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR).

Definitely looks north. H36 streams are oriented closer to each other, may show some interaction in the later frames.

0Z HRRR is going to be north and wetter. At least we will get some rain out of this I think.

maybe for you but not for coastal sections, also that bermuda High Pressure has been trending stronger the last few runs, watch it send the Low pressure way north and have it rain up to Toms River and Snow up to Pittsfield MA! Itll also make the Low pressure go through a phenomena called Bombogenesis!

Storm is gone more interested in the 18th beyond

https://www.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=1433143008178881&id=100044495856962&http_ref=eyJ0cyI6MTc3MTAyODYxNzAwMCwiciI6Imh0dHBzOlwvXC93d3cuZmFjZWJvb2suY29tXC9zdG9yeS5waHA%2Fc3RvcnlfZmJpZD0xNDMzMTQzMDA4MTc4ODgxJmlkPTEwMDA0NDQ5NTg1Njk2MiZodHRwX3JlZj1leUowY3lJNk1UYzNNVEF5T0RVNE1qQXdNQ3dpY2lJNklpSjkifQ%3D%3D&hpir=1 See I told you it’s a possibility but not likely or guarantee six more weeks is coming back from vacation well except i didnt really read the text

You guys think my post is over the top. Thats fine. But what I mentioned, isn't even one billionth of what is ACTUALLY gonna transpire. By the time this is over with, the entire Sierran landscape will in effect, be The New Greenland. Three times what the models are saying just with this first storm starting Monday morning over the Sierra, may turn out to be extremely conservative. They will have to shut Mammoth Resort down for 7 days just to do avalanche mitigation work, and those conditions will be possibly the very WORST ever since they started building western ski resorts! The western ski resorts' snowstorms got delayed but not denied. Because of the incredible hyper intensity of these incoming storms, the severe season will begin rather early. The warm side of these storms will mean serious, serious bisnass! Get ready to track! https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/meteorologist-says-get-ready-because-a-winter-storm-train-is-coming/ar-AA1WdzmJ

Calling this winter "relatively short" ...don't know about that, Dec and Jan both with -3.5° temp departures and double normal snowfall for many of us. Feb with a -9° departure so far. Of course we've been so dry this month however.

Tiny https://x.com/weatherprof/status/2022473348706377898?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Imagine going on live TV and saying a storm will rival the Blizzard of '78 with 2001 NWP at your disposal

Seasonal models did pretty good this year. I remember you pointing out the much drier than average forecast. They were also colder than the 10 and 30 year averages. We were lucky to get that 1 STJ storm out of nowhere. It was Boston's 8th biggest snowfall on record, and the low pressure wasn't even that strong.

Oh I know lol