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Positive? I see no positive with this storm. If any of the ice predictions come true, its going to be a complete shit show. Not just a nuisance, but devastating. Loss of trees, then power, then heat and frozen pipes.

Just over 6” here. Just measured

I believe it’s coming . At least for CNE and SNE. As Will said yesterday, gulf systems typically come north since loaded with moisture

12/5: 1.3" 12/14: 1.8" 12/31: 0.2" 1/1: 0.1" 1/18: 0.4" Total: 3.8"

Why is the aifs the only model that's showing the storm so far north.

He better, or he'll have to give his wife and kids back their money.

It was probably way early to start this thread but it is surprising to see RAH on board this early.

Do not get excited Boone, do not get excited Boone. You’ve been hurt too many times. .

The best part of this whole snow siege was there was zero wind. For this hill that is very rare .

Ratio City!

Also verification scores still have AIFS ENS as number one performing 500mb verification last 90 days so we do have to give them some weight. Caveat is I don't know the source of this data..

After every exciting run, people should just mutter this to themselves: “It’s La Niña and I live near DC. It’s La Niña and I live near DC.”

At least the WPC isn't entirely leaning into the AIFS

Nickels and quarters falling here. This is that good growth IVT stuff. Can get some sneaky additional accumulation.

So pretty out. Snow stuck to everything and it's still lightly coming down. Looks to be about 4" or so. Trees all around so it's hard to get a clean reading.

Gonna collect some thoughts when I have time later but this is just absolutely absurd

My thinking is similar to yours. Personally I think we’re in a pretty good spot as of now considering that the AI GFS/Ukmet are almost too far north. Main thing I want to see out of today is the Euro and Euro ai to hold and have the CMC and GFS come closer to that solution. I think the way we get that is have the pv to our northeast be a bit less intense or (better yet though less likely) have a stronger low. That said, I wouldn’t want models to all suddenly jump way north today but just show increasing confidence a total miss to the south is unlikely.

Snowing again moderately

I didn't read back. What you end up at Mattapoisett?

16.6° low imby/Columbia

My bad totally misunderstood. I was actually using cobb11 in that screen shot You're right...its not the max temp you can adjust, its the fixed ratio.

Definitely worried about suppression but it’s not impossible to get something.

You're going to have a long week....If i were you i would be very vague in your FB posts and really vague for your paying customers lol

I think it's a combo of both as I'm noticing the runs that our south the SW shortwave gets left behind. Also we never want to be ground zero at day 5.5, rarely works out.