All Activity

1955, 1998, and 1999 would have been great analogs if we had a 175-185 ACE season and a strong la nina. We obviously do not have that this year, but for fun, I will do this run:

I actually agree with you that this La Niña may end up a hair stronger than last year, after starting my deep dive.

Moderate rain...

Yeah I'm sure the NAM 3km is way overdone with the .75 to 1 inch for our area, but HRRR is probably underdone with the less than a quarter inch. Your prediction looks good -- probably close to a third of an inch. Obviously not enough to help with the drought, but I'll be happy to see the vegetable garden get a watering.

It was so nice today. Where did these clouds come from?

Heavier stuff just to the West with yellow and some oranges,..

Yellow on. radar scope is moderate rain for sure. .01 in this part of Wantage so far.

That was a huge boomer at 8:45 that sounded like a big crash .

The extended products continue to depict a significantly +PNA and slightly -AO/NAO for the second week in Nov, with below normal temps for the east. Love me some chilly Fall weather.

I was hanging out on my porch and was very surprised to see a lightning flash. Could be the last one we see all year as a fall/winter pattern looks like it will set in after this cold front passes.

Last year we had to wait until the 3rd week of November to get below 40 and a week later to get below freezing.

Nailed it. This is the few week of the year I never look at a forecast ha

Just had a thundershower- light ---here in lower macungie

Models have trended wetter for tonight and radar looks good. .25 to .5"

I wasn't following NWS today but MU was calling for showers between 5pm and 1am.

Nice shower moving through here. About a tenth of an inch.

I was unaware there was a chance of rain tonight.

No more Warmth

Good. Give it to New Hampshire.

+PNA and a sweet HL look. SE ridge crushed to oblivion. Non existent. It can happen! Lets hope it does when it really matters.

Saw some lightning to my SW, say toward Savage and Laurel just before 9pm. Overall a seemingly comparatively cool day IMColumbiaBY today with temps 64/43.

adding on to @Terpeast's message above for DCA and BWI... Snowfall @ IAD | DCA | BWI 1995-96: 61.9" | 46.0" | 62.5" 1996-97: 17.8" | 6.7" | 15.3" 2000-01: 12.9" | 7.4" | 8.7" 2008-09: 8.0" | 7.5" | 9.1" 2013-14: 52.8" | 32.0" | 39.0" 2021-22: 15.8" | 13.2" | 14.4" ----- Averages: IAD: 28.2" DCA: 18.8" BWI: 24.8" IAD minus 1995-96, 2013-14: 13.6" DCA minus 1995-96, 2013-14: 8.7" BWI minus 1995-96, 2013-14: 11.9"

another round of thunder and lighting incoming