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One of the many side effects of a wetter climate no one talks about is the rise of mosquitoes carrying infectious diseases never before seen here (as well as other parasitic insects and worms.) Something I've noticed in our hot dry summers is very few mosquitoes, less predatory insects, much less mold and lower pollen levels. We should just cut down the foliage overgrowth if they can't handle the lower rainfall.

The problem with more rainfall is many more infectious mosquitoes plus other predatory insects as well as more mold and more pollen. I think it's better if we just chop down all this excess foliage. We now have a new infectious mosquito here which never lived here before carrying an exotic disease which we have never seen before. It's called Chimchungachunga Disease or something like that. A big positive with less rain I've noticed is much less in the way of mosquitoes and insects in general, fewer allergies and much less mold.

50 inches sounds way too much for this area and much more like the Gulf Coast. I think we're seeing a pattern of drier summers and somewhat wet winters, sort of like how we had in 1966-67. That was a very hot summer followed by a very snowy winter. Other combos like that were 1993-94, 1995-96, 2002-03, and 2010-2011. How do you compare the current pattern vs those three summer to winter couplets of dry summers followed by wet winters? Lots of snow after hot and dry summers too....

The Limited Fine Mesh...

@Brian5671 don't be jealous

Looks boring for awhile

Low of 52 with .46” of rain.

Yea the rain was west, then disappeared when it came to Long Island, except the far east where it came back.

0.83 this morning. I win!

Yea, I'm been trying to get it ...entered 70N/20N an 100E/60W. Must be doing something wrong.

I selected custom for the map view and entered the coordinates.

0.5" in Holyoke, no interesting winds or anything. I'll take the rain tho.

Notable left trend on FNV3 (Google DeepMind ensemble) from 12z run yesterday to today's 6z run - both in terms of the the members that show a sharp NE curve into Hispaniola being further west (Haiti vs. DR) and a lot more members turning west into the NW Caribbean

If I put 2 buckets outside, I think both would equal 40" for the year if it was 57 degrees outside or 54.

We would get occasional months where some part of the area would get with 10” since 2003. The last month for us was August 2024 and at MPO May 2025. Many spots have been well below 40” over the last 12 months. My area has only had around 32” in the last 12 months which is too dry in this much warmer climate. In the old days we could get away with some drier years since a cooler climate didn’t dry out so quickly during the warm season. Long range precipitation forecasting is very uncertain. So we can’t say based off one year that the wet pattern since 2003 has shifted. But the current dry pattern since September 2024 has been defined by storms underperforming model forecasts like we are seeing today. We will know that this drought is over when and if the storms start beating model expectations. It will probably lead to someone getting near or over 10” on the month and repeated very wet months. Since in the warmer climate we need something closer to 50” due to the much warmer summers drying things out very quickly.

Stuck patterns FTW. You really can’t go wrong betting on continuity this decade if you’re a seasonal forecaster.

Yep onto November

If that person prefers covered chins over covered feet it was well worth the cut.

Most systems get closed between now and like Nov 10th. Get it fixed when it is getting closed for winter or in the Spring when opening.

Overdone EC/EPS late last week for this morning in terms of SE BL inflow and associated rainfall... Block continues into November, even in its weakened state in early Nov. sometime between Oct 28-Nov 3 maybe something pretty strong? No promises and not self evident in the ops. Am back from this past weekend near CMH with bumpy flight return last evening in OH/PA. Indian marriage celebration... pretty cool.

0.63" at a station 1 mile from my house. Not bad for 2 hours

Fermi Paradox explanation, incarnate if you ask me. It is a personal hypothesis of mine; in it's simplest preface states, 'the species evolves the ability, and then the ability unwittingly devolves the species'. Which yet even more succinctly equates to, 'species evolution emerges the devolution of the species' Whether there is any veracity to that idea or not, we cannot deny the intuitive suspicion, nor the outright observation of the 'emerging Idiocrasy' phenomenon. Maybe human evolution has reached the point whence the Law of Diminishing Returns has kicked it. The law of diminishing returns, often referred to as the law of lessening returns, states that if you keep increasing one factor of production while keeping others constant, the additional output gained from each new unit of that factor will eventually decrease... I mean ... we can see that with a modest interpretation of that we might be observing how more and more provision of resource, both physical or informed, is resulting in less productivity ( perhaps a perversion of "intelligentsia" for this context ) is coming back from the people being effected by all that provision. Perhaps that's twisting things too much, but I don't believe so. It's anecdotal, but I've been finding vis-à-vis with humanity that the ideas above don't even get comprehended on the first pass like they did decades ago. I'm just now old enough to recall water cooler conversations where among the colloquy were sincere head nodders. Now, you get a more gape jawed under blank stares, followed by a some effacing joke about it being over heads. Maybe in some physics sense it is also entropy growing within the system - I kind of like that actually. Because we learn via formal academia that entropy does in fact gain in every system that exists in nature. So why would the evolutionary process not have to pay the cosmological tax of disorder. Interesting. Anyway, it is not hard to see how species evolution might lead to the devolution. The reason is plainly acceptable, if one understands evolution to begin with, more specifically how it works. Evolution perfects the specie's ability to survive by a transactional relationship between chance mutations during and preceding competition. Those insufficient, don't win. And the trophy? the trophy is not OLED TV's, Buggatti cars, Yaughts and palatial estates, dinners with celebrities ... fortune providing eases of living - in fact, no eases short of that illustrious list of aspiration is part of the trophy - not to nature. The trophy intended by nature is the ability to have sex with the best possible partner, and give birth to the healthiest possible children, that in turn will carry on the lineage of those competition (and chance) refined genetics. The children of that union thus possess greater and greater prospects to achieve the same... Many generations later, the species has improved. See the paradox? Where I am going is, "eases of living" intrinsically lowers the competition ( and necessity for mutation) stresses that perfect the system. Attempting to perpetuate the intrinsic vitality of any species with lowering challenges spanning successive generation smacks like physically impossible, due to the ever growing quotient of disorder known as entropy. This is why species - probably - fail once they get to some ceiling of along their legacy, whence lessening returns kicked in. That science fiction novel is easy to write. The end up in a figurative cul-de-sac of immensely powerful annihilating technological constructs and oops... the Idiocrasy has slipped below that intelligence to responsibly perform as operator, or serve as custodian. But... any such Fermi Paradox explanation needs to apply universally. The above essay intuitively fits humanity, bases upon all available evidence ( LOL ) ... Perhaps some other species has evolved the "genetics" - if their life form even uses genetics as wee know it ... - to always be turned on. At least in our case, that's not likely. Every aspect of biology has a purpose. This seems to fit a biological law that life systems do not continue to process with systems it no longer uses. Everything organism and cell in the make up of the species is necessary. For human kind, intelligence was an emergent property of all that, but was also absolutely necessary for our rise out of obscurity. So, if the 'state of provision' and eases of living get in the way of needed intelligence, where does the intelligence go? Just the last 20 years of recent modernity's surplus in 'how-to' and/or what-you-need-to-know at finger tips with nearly zero challenges, has managed to en masse vote a convicted criminal, harboring a dark triad narcissistic personality disorder ... into a position of self-fulfilling power. This can go on and on...

Make that 34.3.! also put on a new pool cover for my above ground and the wind took it off last night.28.6 gust! Need more string and tie downs! .

With 98L's increased organization in the past 12 hours, the hurricane models finally seem to be getting a better handle on its track and intensification. https://x.com/yconsor/status/1980253973345923256