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Yeah I'm thinking all of central md right up thru NE Maryland Into se Pa

GFS looks very similar to 18z through 27. Looks like a slightly more organized interaction with the TPV, maybe that juices it slightly, more coastal-y?

Gfs continues to slowly tick nw with qpf shield. Had nothing over me this morning now into the light snows.

Yes gfs coming in decent.

Baltimore looking pretty damn good for 3+

I wouldn't say it got "much worse". I'd say it largely held serve. Small fluctuations are really just noise. The setup is that a trough is diving SE and a shortwave is developing a coastal low that's headed NE quickly. It's not a setup for heavy snow anywhere and the diving SE trough is bringing in dry air. So I do believe there'll be a zone where there's a lot of virga because of dry air coming SE and in any given location there won't be snow for more than 6 hours or so. The S coast of CT is in the game for a light event still.

"Much worse"

herp derp also good

CPC now has the 8-14 day period stormy in the Southwest, which is consistent with the storm timing at the 17-21 day lead I posted a while ago. Also, we have the big warm up coming as expected. If you remember, the Canadian showed the US not very cold for December, despite the big cold wave everyone knew was coming early month. So it looks like the model did a pretty good job. Longer term, the look over NE Asia right about now looks like a big high centered over the Plains and a potent low over the SW US or Northern MX in 17-21 days, roughly in the Dec 29/30 to Jan 2/3 window.

Snow covered when it was so cold?

These that start out drizzly and light rain , when they mix and changeover there is usually good energy following Plus when snow ends Sunday and it’s very windy 20-30 gusting to 40; 2” would be enough to blow around well

Idk what's going on but my petunias are still alive and blooming. It's not like it's been anomalously warm or anything. We've had hard freezes obviously. Strange.

My boys?! LOL. I did have a shot to get in on that back in the day, true story, but stepped away. I guess I missed my shot at the big time, oh well.

lol these posts are so biased on “location”. RGEM got much worse for northern fringe areas and south coast of New England. All models seem to be catching onto the idea of a very sharp cutoff to the north. Seems like the southern New England snow drought continues at least into January. Enjoy it down in LI and Jersey .

that would be nice but I looked up my weather on this day and got this

Oh you'd get the lightning, but no snow

What the heck did it just fart out? Lol

Jk, that actually does look pretty nice. Let's roll with that look right through Jan.

My family and I are heading up to Canada the day after Christmas. We're going to be up there for 4 days. Hopefully the ride won't be terrible, but I'm sure they're chock full of snow up in Quebec City

Congrats DC

I remember the 35 inches it gave us 4 years ago

Getting woken up to puking snow by lightning and thunder would be sick

Fake (warmup) 'n Take Freeze Out

Wtf is that? Lol