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But with temps in the mid to upper 30s I don’t exceed much road accumulation here at all

Is it time to believe NAM?

The NAM gives me 18” in my front yard, 2” in my backyard

Pretty aggressive for CTP For Harrisburg

This model war will be won or lost at the 925 level. At 0z Wed, the NAM has 4º C in this area vs -1º C for the Euro.

NAM giving it away like Matt Stafford with 2:30 left.

Hopefully we get an east trend. Just 75-100 Miles as a Crow flies.

Yes... There is a link to a version that shows amounts as you mouse over the map...

1" of QPF in 3 hrs in an isothermal profile .. would could go wrong

I volunteer

Today will really kncok down the monthly average, but it should still up being a top 5 (if not top 3) warmest November on record for DFW. In addition, on the heels of 2024 which was the 3rd warmest Autumn on record for DFW, 2025 id on track for a top 5 or top 3 warmest Autumn as well.

That track would destroy us verbatim.

NAM is leaving SNH powerless

I’ll take the 3k solution. But I’d even take half rain for 2” QPF for the well.

We could do worse

Next year the RRFS is supposed to replace it

986mb over the outer cape.

I think you're good for an inch+

Someday the NAM will be put out to pasture. I’m sure someone will chime in saying it is useful for something or other. As Jeff mentioned, it is decent at finding those pesky warm tongues. But oof.

I feel you!

Sorry but that's laughable. They throw throw the whole kitchen sink in and call it "implicit subsidies". Traffic congestion is a fossil fuel subsidy? Why would traffic congestion from an ICE vehicle be any more a subsidy than than for an EV? Can you somehow magically fit EV's into a smaller space or something? I just bought some groceries at the local supermarket. I'm guessing that somehow fits into their "implied subsidies" bucket. No - renewable energy is far more subsidized than fossil, by about 30x as much. Lots of data here: https://www.cato.org/blog/fossil-fuel-subsidies-are-mostly-fiction-real-energy-subsidies-should-go https://www.eia.gov/analysis/requests/subsidy/pdf/subsidy.pdf https://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/fossil-fuels/renewable-energy-still-dominates-energy-subsidies-in-fy-2022/

Nam is a furnace in a good chunk of SNE.

I think you have been fine. You have as much right to your opinion as anybody else.

NAM back to a no show for SNE