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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
NorthArlington101 replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
My poor 23rd-26th window isn't looking so hot at this range. Disappointing -
Might as well root for the SER. Clearly not having it hasn't improved our snow chances. Maybe it can pump some Gulf moisture and time that with a cold shot to actually give us a storm.
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Yes...but around this time of winter in a nina when you get to the end of Jan and head into Feb, a SE ridge would be a typical occurrence in a nina (and the cold we've had so far on the front end is also typival) Now it doesn't have to mean anything, of course...but it is something to keep an eye on.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
This is just 100% incorrect. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
jbenedet replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
You do realize you could run it through day 10 and see the same pattern? Or you could just run it every cycle and see the same gradient… This is an important signal -
Cape storm wont quite die on the GFS/GEFS
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Kitz Craver replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Stay safe -
congrats DMV!
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
ORH_wxman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
OP euro is trying for 1/19-20. Actually hits CNE/Maine pretty good. Gets MA with light snows. A little late developing. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Euro has some slight interest in the 19-20 timeframe. The 18th is toast I think. Maybe there is a 1-3” upside for the 19-20. -
CheoahBald1 started following January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Checking in on 2026... safe to say, we are picking up right where 2025 left off. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Over performing? I don’t see that. It’s been a mild period and that’s what has occurred. Yesterday was actually slightly cooler than expected. -
January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Euro backing the flow a bit on the weekend shortwave, like the RGEM and CMC -
It's been a blip all season
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Nationwide, too. Local maxima for snowfall: 42" in the Cascades 2" in the Sierra 33" in the Rockies (up in the Bitterroots) 28" in the UP 49" in Tug Hill 28" in the Whites Peak winter climo and it is quite dry basically outside the LES belts.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
ORH_wxman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Going bye-bye with the big WPO shift again. We warmed up due to the AK/Bering vortex…but back to the heavy -WPO after this week. -
Not for the mountains .
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wow--euro loves the SE Ridge in long range. Hopefully a blip
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
zenmsav6810 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
radiational cooling kicked in strong last night. Had a beautiful view of the constellation Orion the Hunter last night at Bear Creek Mountain Resort. -
Euro a no go for Sunday, too.
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Regular Euro has a storm offshore on the 18th, nothing on the 20th, and then two cutters during the 3rd-4th week of january. Euro dumps a trough out west allowing the storms to cut
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Fair point. Moderate, west based El Nino.
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If anyone on this board scores other than my foothills crew, I’d want it to be @GaWx
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You might be able to say the same for 23-24 too.
