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Jerry has now arrived, and is predicted to become a hurricane briefly southeast of Bermuda. This causes me to edit the table of scoring above, the potential for 10 5 3 is still in brackets and now 10 4 3 is scored. If we get further action in October I will post an actual scoring table in correct order, this one is basically upside down with a few exceptions.

I think the correct answers were 4/3/2. Season is now 10/4/3 so it was a boost to a rather anemic count by modern standards, fairly average for all data though. Could see the final count being 13/6/3 or 14/6/3, very close to 1991-2020 average, by no means a blockbuster season, and a lot of tracks staying out to sea. The only people sad about that are probably reading this.

Beautiful night out there. Reminds me of early June before a line of strong storms are set to blow through, gusty winds and all!

Not really "crazy." I'm an old man and I've seen a few Mid-Atlantic whoppers in October. In fact, from memory October is a much better month for nor'easters than November. Like March, October is a "change of seasons" month.

70/60 Just walked the dog with t-shirt shorts and sandals.

It's so far out and so many things have to go right. I'm 50/50 on this thing actually happening.

I appreciate your views and everybody else's. I come here to see viewpoints from all angles. I'd say the same thing to you as well as everybody else, please continue to contribute. I value it.

Yeah 71 / 62

Icon and gfs are still big hits for Sunday Monday

Highs: EWR: 83 TEB: 83 New Brnswck: 82 PHL: 82 TTN: 81 BLM: 80 NYC: 80 ACY: 80 LGA: 79 ISP: 77 JFK: 77

GFS Model – MSLP & Precip (Rain/Frozen) for Southeast U.S. | Tropical Tidbits

This one will be much more sprawling. There may be severe coastal impacts for a large area.

Really has to slow down to vertically align

Steady light rain for a hour or so... With the rain band at the moment lining up west to east along 64..

My expectations are pretty low, but I’m sure to still be frustrated in the AM.

I've been wanting to join but always forgot. I liked looking at the site info. That being said, I'm not 100% familiar with how it worked. Is this something that could be duplicated with a Google Sheet, now that Kevin W's site has been retired?

It's crazy if this actually occurs. It's a cold front that has not happened yet, interacts with a boundary and then turns into a strong coastal low. We have had this before like a month ago.

I don't believe I've seen anyone mention that the Enderlin tornado was upgraded to an EF-5 the other day, breaking the 12 year EF-5 drought. https://www.youtube.com/live/rOC66yh8Oo4?si=p2YYmPFR8iYmSFVI

City sparks debate after passing new law requiring all homeowners to paint roofs same colorThe Grist reports that Atlanta has recently passed legislation that requires all new roofs to be more reflective. The changes won't be immediate; existing roofs don't have to be painted white just yet, but new buildings and replacement roofs are subject to the new law. The new roofs could cool the entire city by an average of 2.4 degrees Fahrenheit and as much as 6.3 degrees in the hottest neighborhoods. Another notable feature of the cool roof ordinance is the estimated $315 million in energy bill savings the city will realize over the next 35 years. The new roofs won't cost any more than traditional ones and may actually be cheaper, and they'll last longer because the roof won't suffer the same wear and tear under the heat. https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/city-sparks-debate-passing-law-023000537.html White roofs would cool Atlanta by 2.4F? Really? Opinions?Also, how long would they stay white?

Its actually warm out. A warm breeze. At night. In October

Nice final night of summer, the air is pretty dry so we’ll see how much QPF there is.

Going to be lots of haves and hav nots with the rain tomorrow. qpf will underperform:

Lots of rain on the 0z NAMs

I don't consider that the "local area", but to each his own. Western MD has been consistently proved to get a significant rainfall from this event, and it has played out. The model QPF for the DC-Baltimore corridor is notably less, but there will be a corridor that jackpots over 0.50". Let's hope that ends up being a wide corridor. edit: and OF COURSE, the NAM Nest comes in way wetter for everyone within seconds after I type my comment......

Let's go Jerry! LET'S GET US TO KAREN!!