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That’s the spirit!

The 18z EPS snow map had a solid uptick as well at 18z over 12z.

Funny, I'm better at doing that on a seasonal level, but struggle more with emotional regulation through the ebbs and flows of discrete threats in the medium range.

the AIFS-EPS being more amped gives me a bit more confidence that it’s legit. but yes, need to see what happens at 00z

But that’s my point . Before these past few winters . Most everyone would buy into this being real. You can tell other than a handful, most do not and are expecting 00z to go back to a light snowfall

I am fully prepared for this to come a lot closer than we all thought but still no cigar.

12z or 18z? .

Yup, it was mainly snow throughout SNE a couple of days ago, now even I'm getting a good bit of sleet.

Well, there has been a pattern have off-hour runs being more amped...I don't think this is that, but can't rule it out yet.

18z EPS had a significant jump west over its 12z run. That’s a few hundred miles in one run. We still need a little more to get into GFS territory, but you rarely see the EPS jump this much so close to game time.

And the bust was a rug pull within 24 hours. Horrendous.

The other thing that's probably being over looked is tomorrow nights sytsem has ticked a bit north the past few runs that lifts out sooner to give monday some room, Subtle but a factor.

Some of the most anticipated 0z runs in recent memory. Huge to see if this is a trend that continues or windshield wiper

18z WEATHERNEXT AI

They are a a north of Philly thing. We are losing if we depend on that shit.

It doesn't happen with every storm. But we've definitely had them plenty of times before.

38 and cloudy felt solid here

Understood. I have been watching storm for so long... you loose sight it is still 4 days away.

It’s a good approach… At this moment, I’m not really excited or disappointed. I’m really the same way I was this morning. Because it helps when you identify what’s going on I mean that protects you from that other shit I’m not sure what else to tellto tell people, but whatever.

Yes, Pretty big gap in data to get a bump like this, Correct.

Not sure if anyone posted this or not but the individual members really dont get any better than this.. the vast majority are west of the mean.. maybe too much?

Interesting Larry. I did see the 18z gfs held serve.

While I love deep winter, today felt good