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Check this out folks: 0Z GFS is much weaker with strongest at 1005 mb/barely a TS followed by it weakening and then dissipating over open water of the SW Atlantic nothing! The prior 13 runs all had hurricanes, usually MH! What the?

It def had some subtropical characteristics near “landfall” but I think it fell short. Either way, the NHC wasn’t going to designate that after hesitating on a couple bona fide TCs already this year.

AAM says solid La Niña like for next month: @snowman19

Very much agree. Be nice to see today’s radar later on.

I can go 65/45 before need heat. I get good winter sunshine with bay window and other well situated big ones. With full sun can get enough radiant to do 60/40

A shower has made it here. First rain in weeks.

The last two showers here have been productive. Screen door is open...sounds like Fall out there.

There's no indication it’s tropical. But it’s a hybrid of sorts though hybrid doesn’t necessarily mean subtropical, which is a type of hybrid, either. Most pro mets I’ve seen are saying not ST. I had been wondering if it could be ST.

It hit tropical status at the last second at impact.

69.4 for high snd 0.56”

What the? @donsutherland1@snowman19@bluewave

Ya going to be close for them i think

Let’s jump ahead to mid dec so we can badger the snow weenies about the pendulum swinging the other way like they love to do to us dew lovers in the middle of June.

Both 1949-50 & 2022-23 were similar here in that they were overall very mild winters but with multiple winter storms. There was certainly some excitement but winter did not sustain itself.

That was my first take before a biologist friend clued me in! I wish I had taken some pics because it was quite remarkable in some areas.

I would gladly take a repeat of that winter minus the trough down to the Baja....would have been a good season with a more pedestrian RNA.

I was at an event thing last week in LA. An accuweather presenter (I think their head met) there said they were sticking to 13 to 18 named storms. But 13 storms aren’t walking through that door, much less 18.

Think I heard it was a cold core storm, but honestly the radar representation screams a subtropical or weak tropical storm for sure. Ocean water temps there NE North Carolina to VA Beach probably low to mid 70's.

Not happening in this area.

I said a "warmer version of that season adjusted for climate change"....which means it can still be a valid analog.

0.79" today at the house. Little more expected overnight. I'll take it

Horribly missed forecast. Predicted 1 to 3 inches and we ended up with .21" total. The 35 to 40 mph winds never materialized either.

What a beautiful day today. Low of 64, high of 70. Dew points in the low 60's and cloud cover made it feel so nice.

1.04" dzl at obs.

Heavy rain now. Keep it coming.