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A sharp cutoff to our west. ROCKEDford. .

Can see the cold front coming. Nice band of dark clouds in the western sky. Temp here is 55, but has already dropped back to 45 at DVN.

1-2 inches of rain and dab still the call

Both the gfs and the nam would have a nice blizzard for most of N IL

They absolutely have @cmillzz

Oh, and anyone trying to nail down the timing should never look at the NAMs. They’re always a couple of hours late with these events.

Hahaha. I don’t want to move on that chart. Maybe it’s because I’m out of town, but while I completely buy the high-end scenarios, there are a still a few things I don’t like about the setup. I would gladly exchange some of the shear to get more instability. Yes, there is still some cape, and maybe it’s enough, but the forecast soundings have tall, very skinny cape which sometimes doesn’t get the job done. That said, it’s tough to ignore that a forced line of convection will roll through in an environment that can certainly bring some big wind to the surface.

He popped in with a couple of snow forecast maps over the winter.

Clipper. This was further north at 0z. Lets see if it comes south in future runs.

NAM doing NAM things. I’d toss.

There’s a report a bit further northeast from there of 5” in 90 min this morning, too.

I think Mark (Ellinwood) is still around just not as much. There are folks on here that used to (may still?) chat with him regularly.

Another nice weenie band with some better flake size kind of camped over the SE metro now as the system pivots. Went out around 10 am and it was getting harder to measure but averaged between 9-10” then.

NWS Green Bay mentioned that Wausau has 19.2” as of 10am. That’s in roughly 12 hours, wow.

I am in downtown Minneapolis. Yes I wish we got crushed but congrats to those further south of us that got under that nasty band. Its still snowing good now and the winds are howling. Many cars stuck on the roads as I walk around. Not sure why people travelling on the roads today ?

Yeah bit of a bust in the metro as the most intense banding ended up ~75 miles south where 20”+ totals are verifying. Still a really high quality storm here at least, we’ll see what the afternoon brings.

beautiful day outside i am going to miss the chill when it is gone..

Maybe for once this Chicago wind could actually be useful and blow over Rockford's snow to us to make us feel better

They have ?

Anyone else here into working out? Me and my fiance hit the gym 6 days a week and take what we eat seriously. Gym couple goals.

I moved to PA in 2006. I cannot recall a more favorable setup here than tomorrow for a QLCS packing 70-90 mph winds, hail and perhaps a tornado closer to the MD border. The fact it will be slower and later than it looked like a few days ago makes it even worse. It’s going to hit right after peak heating and soaring dews.

Yeah I mean it's literally his name

Not really. He’s basically saying still a lot of moving parts and not to trust anyone solution. Which is playing out in real time. Note the model shifts just in the last 12 hours. Which is why I complemented LOT. Issued a conservative call but with some flexibility if short term trends change. Looks like 2-4 still in play here in Dupage. I’ll take it and than gladly close the book.