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GEFS mean is ~50-100 mile improvement. If the ECMWF + EPS look better at 12z, I'll feel more enthusiastic about this event.nt.

definite uptrend on it. lets see if it will continue

The 12z GEM brings that to right at 960 as it runs it up the coast. Look at the sustained winds and gusts. That is hurricane force.

Both have Charlottesville only gaining snow run to run. #Trend #Snowtown

Ya I was thinking just to see a bomb at the BM would be a massive win for us - after all this talk about it not being possible anymore

41.3° and sunny. What a day.

honestly me too but with these setups there's always going to be vitality and windshield wipers are common

I'm surprised that it's more affordable to fly a hurricane hunter than it is to launch a few dozen balloons.

One more time on the fringe? Or like today with breezy blue sky.

Yes it is!!!

not just that jump west but 995 to 971...I'd say that's a tick stronger

Yes it will

I guess back to 0z Monday it was showing the big dog, but I think all yesterday it was fairly consistent. Def more consistent than everything else that's for sure.

is that King Kong ?

No, no one does. That is why we are all here tracking the models run to run. If you know how this works out, you should tell us and save us all the time we are investing into tracking.

The Euro AI does change but it doesn’t tend to make big jumps in this range… it did however tick NW at 06z and had some h5 changes that track with the more amped look we have seen across 12z guidance, so hopefully that continues. Should know in 20 minutes or so!

Before the WB 12Z EURO runs since 12Z yesterday;

I like where WPC project the storm to go on Sunday and Monday Good placement of the low.. IMO

36 and rain. Was hoping for lower 40's to melt more snow. Don't think we're gonna get there.

Still feeling burned from the last one lol Also don't like a rain to snow scenario down here on the coast

no school or work today ?

@Weather Will just can't help himself.

Like this...

Congrats Dendrite

It's probably why the Euro AI looks like a wizard in comparison when it likely would have been on par or even below the GFS/CMC/Euro