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Throw in some Eastman Bubble for good measure....

That Nam run odd. Like someone closed their eyes with a paint brush. Some for you. None for you. You? Well here. Have this. There. You in the middle. Here’s an inch because Brick lives there. Nah. Don’t buy it.

Yep, FINALLY a few hours this early this afternoon where it was decent to be outside without having a -30 WC. A mostly cloudy to partly cloudy day, hit 24.8 for a high, but as I said felt like 70 without the wind. BUT here we are back to fighting WC's. Currently 17.7/4.5 with NNW at 10 gusting to 22 mph and seems to be increasing every few minutes. WC 6 to 1.

Icon slight improvements at f42

I doubt that bouncy ball mess off the southeast coast with low pressures is legit with the NAM

Nam, 3km looked to be on track for a much better run than 12km.

I’m here.

NBM...

If Google could do it, why can't I!

Cyclogenesis going on at the surface under those messy dashes Ah. Thank you!

12z tomorrow. See y'all then. Have to fix the hydraulic lines on all of my machines. Hope the next storm is powder... screw the weight of ice.

Cyclogenesis going on at the surface under those messy dashes

Recon are sampling the upper-level shortwave off PNW that will kick off our storm. IDK if dropsonde data is being ingested by this model run, but definitely 06z.

That's lame

Speaking of which somebody tweeted this yesterday...is this true? Lolol

The WRAL model is the only one to trust

NAM is the first of the 0z suite. I wouldn't just toss it yet.

Ignore that blip. No way it is that accurate with that little nook. Wake would be higher .

Nam 0z is a shut out for the southside! 18z GFS was showing a sharp cut off. We need it to roll up the coast to get that throw back action.

I trust you to make up a scenario before I trust NAM outside of 36 hours

One big issue is that as the NS wave responsible for all this has trended west so has the 50/50 and this is created a more suppressive flow over the top such that the more west track doesn't really matter...the wave is forced well south of us and cuts off then slides east before lifting because of the flow over the top being more suppressive, offsetting the better trajectory of the wave.

1.9 for wake. Not buying it.

The splotchy presentation in Ne GA and the upstate continues to scream downsloping unfortunately.

If the flipped what the 18Z Euro and NAM are showing it might be alarming

Wral will put out their first call totals tomorrow. Expect it to match whatever the EURO ENSEMBLE (their exclusive product) shows. .