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Probably our warmest day of the week today with several spots approaching 60°.

There’s some decent energy rounding the base of the longwave trough after it moves east a bit so we get this brief window for a more coastal system. I think most subsequent threats beyond that are likely to be SWFEs. Previously, the southern stream energy was hanging back in the southwest while northern stream moved over us…then, when the southern stream ejected, it would push a SWFE up into the cold that was established ahead of it by the northern stream…but it’s not evolving like that now…instead, they are almost moving together…southern stream still lags a bit which is a good thing because it allows the baroclinic zone to set up offshore. But it’s still close enough that it can produce a coastal on some of these runs.

Hopefully it’s paste and not powder

Lmao…

3.1” at MSP. Still blowing and snowing

That’s not what I posted if you paid attention. I said we would see several snow chances . But the great promised month was slipping away. Selective reading is not good

0.12" for the date, getting me to 1.27" for the month. A warm night, hanging in upper 40's, currently 50.5/49.3 at 7:45 with VERY dense fog.

Heisey! Don't be a stranger and be sure to let us know HM's thoughts as we get closer.

Looks great. Can’t wait for the NNE one.

Yeah, this is the reason that we don’t always get a perfect MJO composite match for the RMM charts. Multiple areas of forcing often lead to blended looks between the composites. Sometimes we get more consolidated forcing and it closely resembles a specific phase composite.

Yea it matches fairly well with 6z gfs. Long way to go, but a nice step. .

Make a list now and have one of the questions be: please explain if a scud cloud can be a tornado

felt so much colder than it is, def a bit of a slap in the face

Actually, I mentioned that last night. No way I'll let a classic weenie stand-by be forgotten. BUT, there some truth to that on occasion.

Maybe we can sublimate it away.

It’s slipping away bro..no pack for us. Cold all bottled up…

Yeah my wife showed me this yesterday and I had to explain to her how it works. She wasn’t too interested lol. The top of the lenticular went up to the base stratus layer too so it made for some really cool photos.

That pack will last and stay OTG with all that cold behind it

It's La Nina...the odds of the big ones aren't on our side. I'd be happy with several light to moderate events that yield snow-on-snow.

50-55mph wind gusts have arrived. DVN/MLI have gusted to 56/53mph. Cedar Rapids has hit 60mph. A stark contrast to the calm/dense fog environment we had at this time yesterday morning.

But then again, Kevin and Tiger torch said yesterday, that it’s a shame to see it all just slipping away. So I guess there’s that…right? Fast flow..cold all bottled up in Canada. Pacific sucks..that’s the word from DIT and TT. Nah..it’s slipping away..all of it. You hate to see it.,

In 9 pages. I have not seen, “the big ones are sniffed out early” yet, so I’m catching us up here

We can always add to the totals as we get closer.

Yea....I expected a non-reversal warming early in the season, and then another reflection event in mid January, followed up a major SSW complete with reversal in February.