All Activity
- Past hour
-
HM, in the extensive blog he wrote up right after the 11-12 winter titled “GLAAMOUROUS”. Also, Eric Webb actually touched on this association a few times last fall and cited a bunch of studies on it
-
-
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I don't know where you get this from.... -
If we see a cold-ENSO (cold-neutral/weak La Niña), along with the almost certain -QBO, I’m not so sure we see the strong poleward ridging that we did last winter in the PAC. The +QBO/cold-ENSO we had last winter supported the poleward ridging we saw. -QBO/cold-ENSO favors a flatter, equatorial PAC ridge. As far as the arctic and Atlantic, I would agree with you. The solar/geomag states, QBO evolution and the North Atlantic SSTA profile, at this very early stage obviously, would seemingly not be very supportive of big high latitude blocking in those domains
-
It could very well be a feedback process causing these big ridge expansions further north than we used to get back in the old days. These very strong ridges to the east of New England have been the norm. So the 500 mb ridges warm the waters below and the warmer waters could promote stronger 500mb ridges. Plus there could be remote teleconnections involved from marine heatwaves closer to the equator. Our first 90° Heat of the season is following a familiar theme. The mid 90s major heat missed our area to the north. So the record heat for June 5th was up in Maine and New Hampshire. This was the 2nd year in a row with record early June heat in those areas. Even closer to home, Danbury was 3° warmer than Newark in more over the top to the north fashion. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 0409 AM EDT FRI JUN 06 2025 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT AUGUSTA... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 92 DEGREES WAS SET AT AUGUSTA YESTERDAY, JUNE 5TH. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 88 DEGREES SET IN 2024. Data for June 5, 2025 through June 5, 2025 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NH ROCHESTER SKYHAVEN AP WBAN 96 ME FRYEBURG EASTERN SLOPES REGL AP WBAN 95 NH MANCHESTER AIRPORT WBAN 94 NH LEBANON MUNICIPAL AIRPORT WBAN 93 ME AUGUSTA STATE AIRPORT WBAN 92 Data for June 5, 2025 through June 5, 2025 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 93 CT DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 93 NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 91 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 90 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 90 NY MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP WBAN 90
-
What a blessing all these widespread soaking rains have been before the heart of the summer. 0.58” yesterday
-
Low of 71 this morning. Boo
-
Looks like some decent hail within that storm near Tip
-
50 dBZ over 30,000 ft at 7 am. Not too shabby.
-
Yeah models cut back on the warmth. Blah.
-
Yeah today is central MA to NH. Stein S and E of there through tomorrow. Weekend decent. Figured it would be ok as I saw the Stein and it opened up my eyes I saw the Stein.
-
Well Summer was fun. Might not hit 80 again for nearly a week.
-
My high was 88. Lots of cirrus clouds yesterday.
- Today
-
You can see how today’s going to go right? North of rte 2 is porked by morning stuff for later.
-
Howie looking? Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
-
Ji started following June Medium/Long Range
-
Topped out @ 91 here yesterday.
-
Thunder here. Light rain.
-
Big cracks here, looks like it'll take the slip lane though, as always.....
-
Had a few rumbles an hour or two ago. two tenths of rain this morning so far.
-
Nevermind died on approach
-
Got home late from work yesterday, so I forgot to check, but my high was 93.
-
Thought I might have time to cut the grass this morning. Guess not
-
Chester County PA - Analytical Battle of Actual vs. Altered Climate Data
chubbs replied to ChescoWx's topic in Climate Change
We have thousands of weather stations in the US making it very easy to separate station changes from weather. Year-to-year temperature changes are correlated for hundreds of miles. If West Chester is 2F cooler one year, Coatesville will also experience similar cooling. Why? every station in Chester County and the region experiences the same weather. The effect of the Coatesville station move is very clear in the chart below. Other than the move years of 1946 and 1947, both stations have the same year-to-year temperature change. This illustrates the close correlation in the between nearby stations when there are no station changes. However Coatesville cooled significantly relative to West Chester in 1946 and 1947. Proof that a big station change occurred in that period. Station changes are permanent. The rural Coatesville Doe run location (1948 and later) is always cooler than the West Chester town location and the city of Coatesville (1945 and earlier). That's why the city of Coatesville gets an big positive adjustment every single year. Similarly before the 1970 move, West Chester always gets a large positive adjustment because it is warmer than the post move West Chester location. This isn't rocket science. Every NOAA adjustment that we have looked at has been spot on based on the raw data and other evidence. Is there something about the chart below you don't understand?