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  2. snowman19
    My post only dealt with what has happened from when this event started up to now, not what is going to happen in the future. It may very well start warming again in the fall
  3. TheClimateChanger
  4. LakePaste25
    Yeah, there is still a 30C isotherm west of Nino 4. So it could spike again sometime between now and in the Fall before we actually start to see some real replacement upwelling in the W pac. This Nino has ways to go before it peaks. I also think some models that show 3.4 peaking in November are peaking it too early.
  5. WinstonSalemArlington
  6. SouthCoastMA
    That's not just a Merica thing.
  7. Met1985
    Temp of 69 with rain. More widespread rain this afternoon and evening.
  8. roardog
    If region 4 really is done warming then the CFSv2 is way off showing warming continuing there into fall.
  9. TheClimateChanger
    No, July 2012 came in 0.04F cooler than July 1936, per NCEI. Close but no cigar. For the whole summer (JJA), 2021 is tied with 1936 for the record at 73.98F.
  10. cbmclean
    Ended up with 1.57" from today's rain. Looks like a good chance for more tonight.
  11. snowman19
    Region 4 is what makes 2015-16 a poor ENSO analog. This one is developing as a pure canonical, east-based/EP El Niño. Region 4 has been leveled off for a long time now and the most recent 15 day SST anomaly charts on cyclonicwx are actually showing region 4 cooling. All the warming is and has been concentrated in regions 3.4, 3 and 1+2 for months now and it looks to remain that way as far as the eye can see. The best ENSO analog for this event is 1997-98, by far IMO Region 1+2: We are literally neck and neck with 1997
  12. TheClimateChanger
    At least one of those so-called monthly record lows is fraudulent - there's a spurious 18F reading at YNG reported on 5/24 for some reason. Also, strongly disagree with Brian about the upcoming pattern trending away from the record. In fact, this is the hottest stretch of the month starting today. NWS NBM forecast shows several days of 3-5F above normal to close out the month.
  13. TheClimateChanger
    Wow, wouldn't have thought it had been that long since a July high below 75F. The coolest Julys of the past would see the entire month's average not much higher than 75F (e.g., 1976 - 76.7F).
  14. TheClimateChanger
    Is there a way to fix a data error in the official climate records? I noticed from Brian Brettschneider's map, it was showing a monthly record low at Youngstown - which struck me as odd. I took a look and the low for May 24th is showing up as 18F, which is obviously incorrect. Not sure how that ended up there... it doesn't look like NWS CLE generated/published an RER for that date.
  15. Mrs.J
    Absolutely beautiful beach weather!
  16. Mrs.J
    Not too bad. We walked south down the board walk so not as thick as right at the bus drop off. I think we are coming back down tomorrow also. Like you said this weather is amazing for beach weather. We took the bus down to avoid paying high parking.
  17. Psychguy
    And don’t forget explosive diarrhea from produce… good times, indeed!
  18. A-L-E-K
    12z guidance good so far
  19. Typhoon Tip
    Plus ... we've gone and made 'merica so goddamn great again ...Measles cases have soared to a 35-year high. Fuck yeah!
  20. stormy
    I wish today's weather could linger into September before beginning to cool down a little. Cloudy and 72 with a southerly breeze at 4.
  21. Typhoon Tip
    The extended operational GFS and Can are trying to go hot but ... mm, the indices say no.
  22. Today
  23. AlexD1990
    We're going tomorrow...how crowded is it? This is amazing beach weather
  24. GaWx
    Thanks, Don. It will be interesting to see if 2026 beats 1998’s 100 days! As you said, the record of the daily SOs goes back only to 1991. I wonder if there’s any way to find dailies pre-1991. Based on the monthlies, I’d say that 1982-3 would have a 50% or higher chance of having a streak exceeding 100 days if the dailies could be found. Why? These monthlies, especially Nov-Mar: 1982 8 -22.2 1 1982 9 -20.0 1 1982 10 -20.5 1 1982 11 -30.0 1 1982 12 -22.6 1 1983 1 -31.4 1 1983 2 -35.7 1 1983 3 -25.7 1 Another good candidate per the monthlies is 1905, especially Mar-June: 1905 2 -18.5 3 1905 3 -27.7 1 1905 4 -38.2 1 1905 5 -34.3 1 1905 6 -27.7 1 1905 7 -19.8 1 One last good possibility is 1896, especially May-Aug: 1896 5 -38.8 3 1896 6 -27.0 1 1896 7 -19.1 1 1896 8 -21.0 1 1896 9 -18.2 1 1896 10 -19.2 1
  25. Mrs.J
    My Rehoboth Beach observation
  26. eyewall
    Could generate some waterspouts.
  27. Damage In Tolland
    Some All weeded up with no place to go and others high on chainsaw fumes These guys in some high times
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