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Wait until Ineedaweenie posts the Euro snow maps for MDW. Wait for it…..

Steined here..missed it by about 5 miles. Guess I need to water the lawn

Last 24 hrs has only resulted in 0.05” locally but 2.70” so far for entire event.

We had a 30-minute deluge begin a little after 4.

And it's here Pouring.

Only .04 overnight while lots of spots a few miles to my west are around a half inch. Looks like I'm not going to avoid it much longer.

You can get an ointment for that at CVS.

Since this thread turned into a semi Climate thread warmer oceans and atmosphere allow for more water vapor leading to hefty rain events. Feast or famine seems to be the name of the game as of now with weather patterns. Just hope we have not turned on the faucet like we did in summer of 2018.

Those 2-3 days of clear weather were my favorite weather conditions of the entire spring, looks like we'll get another period like that starting Sunday and continuing for a few days after that. I long for years like 2002, very warm to hot and dry with low humidity and clear blue skies. Rainfall is good to get, if it happens for short intervals and only at night, getting that 2 nights a week with showers and thunderstorms would probably be enough.

Only has been two ULLs one at the end of April to the first few days of May then we had about 2-3 days of clear weather, small system around last weekend (Friday/Sat) that zipped through and just this one the last about 3 days. It seems like it has been a lot longer but it really hasn't been extraordinary by any means. Again training and orographic lift played huge roles in this issue in western VA/ Eastern WV and Western MD unfortunate for sure but a reality of living near mountains. Again I hope we continue this rainfall we are still nearly 7-8" below average on the water year around here we should have better soil conditions to help with this next bout of rain come next week. Largely this weekend will not be as threatening as once looked a couple days ago too much west flow down here, maybe a little something from Central Pa into Southern NY early Friday into early Saturday.

We sure have had many of these, it's the 3rd one that I remember in the last 2 weeks and it looks like a rainout for Memorial Day weekend too. Our reservoirs are over 101 percent now.

That is not a very long time in a cutoff low situation. BTW for your snowfall thought you are talking about two completely different seasons with two completely different jet configurations. Rain in winter is usually in and out just as quick as snowfall.

Just my own definition of a stuck pattern is precip that lasts for 3 days or more.

if it's in the morning and then it stays cloudy all day then it's definitely a wash out. No one wants wet ground with cloudy gloomy skies.

Training is the name of the game with this one not sure I would call this a stuck pattern but to each their own. By definition what length of time do you consider a stuck pattern? Yes when you get 2-3" of rain within 24 hours anytime of the year it won't be a great situation let alone coming after such a long dry period the ground can not quickly revert to a sponge.

I was fascinated by the extremes on all the continents so I went about looking for different measurements with temperature and snowfall and for Asia I found a big extreme in temps between Omyakon and Verhoyansk (the dual cold poles in Siberia) vs Ahwaz in Iran.... going from -96 to +130. The really interesting thing is those two towns in Siberia can go from nearly 100 degrees in the summer to nearly -100 degrees in the winter, I don't think you can get that kind of extreme range anywhere on the planet besides there and maybe the major city closest to them-- Yakutsk. Besides northern Japan, the other region in that area with such extreme snowfall is the Kamchatka Peninsula in eastern Siberia (which is geographically close to northern Japan).... I saw a nature documentary of this very beautiful region and the diversity in flora and fauna there is absolutely amazing!

That's not to say you can't get a -nao in the middle of such a pattern or even that you need a -nao for a big snowfall winter. Just don't expect a sustained period like 02-03 through 10-11 occurring anytime soon.

Absolutely pouring here in E CT for the last two hours. Looking at some radar estimates around 1.5”; South Florida like here at the house, low 60F and 1.50 of rain in 3 hours

It's been flooding and I heard a school bus was swept away in the flooding in Maryland. I don't mind 1 inch rainfall events, but 2-3 inch events and more are excessive and indicative of the harm that can be caused by stuck patterns. I've always maintained that floods are more dangerous than droughts. I wish we could get a moderate amount of rain, instead of excessive rainfalls that last many days at a time. I find it interesting how snowfall events are in and out in less than 24 hours (often 12 hours or less) but rainfall lingers for days on end.

Next 10 days have lots of rain chances and then 50s for highs- right through memorial day weekend

We have only had appreciable precip within the last maybe 3 weeks at this point. This will be the first month, at least in the BWI area, that we have seen near to above average precip in nearly 9 months. If it weren't for Debby last August we would have had almost a year and some months of below normal precip and we really didn't get a whole lot from Debby that was into the mountains (WV, VA) and Western PA. It is a bit late for us to be getting these ULL patterns but not unheard of. I would love to see us finally get back to at least average over the next couple months and hope that this is not just a fluke situation.

Yea big reason I feel we see a brief warm neutral state arise by winter time I do not believe the atmospheric state will have enough tipping to allow a Nino like atmosphere throughout but it could very well be a back forth scenario just as we experienced this year. Unless we start to see some pretty drastic reversals occur within the subsurface over the next two or so months. -AAM in full swing which would indicate at least atmospherically there should be a La Nina signal still well about. This will be important in the coming few months for the hurricane season. As others have mentioned, with a -AAM, we should still be seeing a pretty decent PV as we get into winter although it will be interesting to see what happens if we do indeed flip the QBO state by fall/winter. I would not expect record levels like we saw this past year. I do want to see how the pacific typhoon season sets up have yet to see a storm in the WPAC so we may very well see a record again for the latest system to form. The monsoon looks to be rather weak but starting up toward the end of the month across SE Asia. It looks like we continue with the cool tongue/ -PDO look from the Baja to the central Pac with brief bout of warming into Nino 1+2 and 3. Been awhile since I have looked but thoughts a modoki/ west based la Nina pattern trying to setup?

1.20" total for Wednesday

Another fairly impressive marine layer next to the lake again today/tonight. I’d guesstimate about 1/4-1/2mi visibility right now. Go just a few miles inland and it’s clear. Am I weeny enough when fog gets me excited? (And don’t give me shit about my lawn I’m a renter lol) Edit: Way below even 1/4mi now just before midnight. This is really isolated to very close to the lake but pretty impressive. Can’t see the flag at all now in my original pic.

edit your original post to change the title.