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Winter really doesn’t officially begin until the 21st. You have all of January & February, that can produce good snows. February is actually one of the top months for snow in this area. Not sure why so many are already canceling winter when it hasn’t even begun.

Yeah it's been a tough stretch for the region and this hobby. I posted last night... I remember the forum days of all-hands-on-deck war-room analysis for an impending KU, and now I'm micro-dissecting 1-2" vs. 2-3". We're famished for a region-wide larger event. Dec 20 2024 was the last positive bust for MBY (Boston suburbs) in years, and it was ~5.5". But easy to forget (maybe because the unseasonal cold) that it's very early and there's lots of winter to go.

2"-4" from 287 E and Rt. 78 S.

last time I checked, though, most people don't life 5000 feet above the surface, let alone 15000 feet. if it's NN to BN at the surface in the NE at times, nobody will care if it's +20F over some barren cornfield in NE

I have noticed those national guys like to ignore the NE...just like when we have an arctic plunge into the center of the country that only produces pedestrian cold here, as we have so many times over the past decade.....all we hear about is how epic the airmass is. Inverse here.

It’s more about the arm of confluence. As long as that can lift north it will help bring that snow shield north. But it’s only going to shift so much. I’d like it to shift more since I think some dry air will try to work into this area.

My, how we've missed you-

"Puking Snow" is one of my favorites....for 1/2 inch an hour

that's a very good decision

Yeah, I definitely like the trend there. Another nudge or two like that, and like Will alluded to earlier, many in the pike region and south could be happy. The shortwave maintained its strength, which is the path to something decent.

This thread is full of pasta-bilities. .

I don’t

Yo bro

pretend like I was talking about the 3k NAM

3K NAM much improved as well.

I wasn’t taking QPF literally just looking at overall structure. Another nudge would put you in the game. 3K is probably about 3” at your house.

Regular and 3km NAMs are very different north of 202. Quakertown gets just an inch on the regular NAM but close to 4" on the 3km. Pretty similar for I-95 though.

You're slant-sticking my number, here. That's all I'll say; a lady never reveals her age.

Speeds gonna kill with #2. Slower the better. Should have really good SLR's approaching 20-1. Once again CAM's N of Globals. It's looking like 20-30 miles either side of 70 (N of 70 in IL) possible 5+. I'm hoping on more than 3 or 4 because with the kind of powder and the forecast cold wind on the tail of this is all it takes to get 2-3ft drifts out here in the country. Hoping to do my first drift busting of the year, in 3 years actually lol. Still looking like a good swath of 4-6 with pockets of 8 right now

sigh

You might wanna avoid that kind of pbp posting--because if you're not sure you can kinda fall on your face, lol

We sucking out here in the 66 corridor of NOVA

It was a net improvement but not nearly enough for like anyone 5 miles away from The water lol

Yep exactly how I felt.

3K Nam a little beefier. Congrats Chief Wiggum on that.