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10:1. wouldn’t hate it here.

It’s ok, 18z says nah

Icon like taking "advice" from your most consistently "drunken friend" haha

Of course. Gotta go to Houston (on purpose) this weekend. If that happened, I’d be sick. If it’s on the map tomm, I’ll start faking the beginning of an illness.

MJO is but one possible component among many and a new signal gets introduced every year. Plus the effects have changed. Nino and Nina used to be very consistent predictors for 50 years but less so now. AO/NAO still very vital but the rest are largely research in progress

Not shocking icon h5 is no where near what it was at 12z not even close.

Congrats on that. I made All State band my senior year in HS and it’s real tough competition

Same here. I'm beginning to think you are my weather twin!

With the incoming stm, the forecast for stiff E/ENE winds is going to blow a large mass of ice right into the W shore of the Lake. By Thurs into Friday, that will probably open up the waters where the ice currently sits. If that happens, with an ENE/NE wind, a long fetch of marine air over the ice, with lower pressures, could produce some good LES. Models are all over the place for that scenario, tho. Will be interesting to watch.

Currently 32 F (above zero) at the measuring station way up above Berthoud Pass at 12493 ft. Dewpoint 0. Sublimation city! I was up on the ridge at Loveland Ski Area yesterday at roughly the same elevation, with roughly the same temp.

Bozeman today. looks and feels like summer here. sunny and 60. not a flake of snow. Jives with my last few SLC trips. Under an inch for season. Devastating winter out west and a summer water crisis coming

Winds DC 15-20 gusting to 35

There will be some really nice days between now and then.. hang on. I feel your pain.

This guy was under the feeder a couple hours ago

Anything is possible. . South or rain or snow or ice

Yup! I can buy a 3 bedroom house on 100 acres of land for 200k lol

What if the snow was south of you? Models overdoing the confluence?

The Euro was close. GFS kind of led the way for the last storm from a storm signal standpoint (about 6-8 days out).

I got the maps from a met in SouthernWX, but since nothing winter related is going on in the south, he's out of comission for now!

Just get me to May. Get me out of the next 10 weeks of misery.

It’s 34F and feels like t-shirt weather. -7.5 on the month for departure during climo minimum… above freezing now feels like a torch.

Well that storm was way wide right if I recall. Was good for the outerbanks, NC