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Well hey….next weekend would be nearing a 7th anniversary for a storm very near and dear to the hearts of all Foothill brethren.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
canderson replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Oh and WGAL posted on social media about Tuesday’s snowstorm. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
canderson replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Brrrr. 36 with 35 mph winds -
They were trying to show that yesterday but reverted a bit. Not a great sign when the flow is srly at 925 ahead of a low. Would be nice to get the NW-N-NE-E deal as it approaches.
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Well congrats on 12-16 then. Send pics.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WxWatcher007 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
We don't rejoice until seeing the landscape turn wintry white after the awful decade this has been, but I 1000% prefer tracking a tangible storm and imminent BN temp pattern over talking about long range potential. Remember it was just a few days ago some looked at the models and saw a warm first week of Dec. Can't take anything for granted. We gotta produce when the windows for action open. -
Shocker. Models have been pretty inconsistent around 5-7 days, and then the real picture gets painted inside of 5 days. Best advice e for the winter is not to pin any hopes until we are in the 3-4 day range. Not expecting much here in the valley, maybe 1-2” then rain
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Trying to decide while if this is butt hurt over the last several years... or trying some DIR reverse psych
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Be patient, things will be different this year. That was in the past.
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IF you're looking for early trends today on model guidance...if you want colder, the first ingredient is get that initial cold push on Monday stronger....if we can drive that -10C 850 line down toward the south coast 12z-18z Monday, then you are looking at a colder profile. But if it gets hung up in CNE, you're gonna see that marginal airmass issue quickly develop on the coastal plain.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
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Just can’t afford much north ticks. But definitely could be a more widespread paster than we’ve seen recently.
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Phase 8 for December
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I have been right so far about than you have. Who am I listening to ? Your quacks aren't posting nonsense.
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential
A-L-E-K replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
This is your moment -
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
The same eyor’s are back. As we knew they would be. The take away as John(FXWX) said…it’s an active wintry looking pattern for December. And that’s a good thing. Can’t ask for much else on 11/28. We take and appreciate. -
I do think breaks are coming but there are always going to be MBY screw jobs. And the reality is eastern Mass and the I-95 corridor from sw CT north is always chancy even in a good pattern....
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Those soundings have terrible vertical resolution. It’s warm for you. Humpy for Hubby.
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Yeah I think Kevin over to me is like 50/50 right now for pretty good paste job (even if some mix gets in there eventually). Ray’s extra latitude makes him a little better odds. Obviously like ORH (esp northern half of county) up into monads are looking really good if we’re talking SNE zones.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Not for my soundings unless the .2 at 1000 mb counts. Total paste job. Hopefully 6z Euro is correct. Humpy my name is Thumpy. Wash those minor levels out with 3 per hour stuff -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Grow a set. You have been around long enough to get your balls busted without feeling hurt. Jesus -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential
hawkeye_wx replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The CAMs were already holding steady with the high-end snow totals and now the lower models are coming up. This is looking like maybe a 10" floor for my area. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
weatherwiz replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
This will probably really crank under the heaviest banding, but outside of the heaviest banding it may be quite a struggle. I would presume that overall snowgrowth zone will be relatively high and majority of the lift is going to be centered within the 925-800mb layer. So if you're under the heaviest banding...it's going to rock. But not under the banding, it will be a totally different story. -
And 850
