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Just my opinion but this air mass arrival's the shot across the bow. Probably we recover with at least tepid warmth later next week ... normal after these first 'smells like autumn' marginal froster deals.

Gabrielle is still a naked swirl this AM, with all the convection displaced far from the center of circulation. Center is somewhere to the south and west of that blob of convection.

Honestly, the most concerning thing, at least as far as snowfall is the drought. These typically aren’t easy to break, especially when in place for several months. They form a feedback cycle. And parts of the northeast are historically dry As far as the SE ridge, I think we do see much more SE ridging this time around due to the state of the Atlantic. BAMWX actually touched on this yesterday

Front is through. A little chill when the sun is behind the clouds. 66/56 but dews will be droppin.

Today could be the day, Burn it all down.

Im wearing a tank top today

Already 74F, looks to be the last 80F+ for a while... maybe even till next year.

No rain for another 10-20 days and the entire region will be engulfed

Maybe get some brush fires this weekend to liven things up in here?

Drought infighting . .. what a time in our lives

We've had a few foggy mornings here the last 2 weeks.

Through the first 8 complete months of 2025 the average temperature across Chester County has been 55.3 degrees this is the 37th warmest start to a year since records began 133 years ago back in 1893.

Through the first 8 complete months of 2025 the average temperature across Chester County has been 55.3 degrees this is the 37th warmest start to a year since records began 133 years ago back in 1893.

What about 40" winters? Just wondering.

69° / 59° . A taste of Summer. Wish I had worn shorts to work.

i'm pretty sure this is the one that evb uses, https://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/indices.shtml?bookmark=iod

Anyone know why this IOD link isn't updating, and where the updated numbers are? https://psl.noaa.gov/gcos_wgsp/Timeseries/Data/dmi.had.long.data

Not sure it's my most boring year ever (I'm kinda old) but it's certainly a contender. Only one snow event over 4" (average year has 7, so late fall would need to be snowy to get there), no days with 1"+ precip (average year has 12) and only 5 days with thunder. Average days is 15 and only 2010, with 8, had fewer than 10. Average from today thru 12/31 is only 1. I don't think we've had a gust reach 40 mph. The only outstanding event was the August 11-13 heat wave, only the 3rd in 28 summers here. (I don't like big heat, though.)

because it requires high energy consumption, and emissions from energy consumption are currently a driving force in CC some people absolutely can make choices to reduce their CC footprint: some people have the ability to choose to live in smaller houses, drive smaller cars, consume less products, put solar panels on their house, etc. everything around CC can't be blamed entirely on our corporate overlords, we are the end consumers of their products

It’s almost “low topped hailers” season

Today may be one of the last days this year that we see widespread 80-degree readings across Chester and SE Berks Counties. A backdoor cold front will cross the area later today switching our winds to the north and eventually the northeast by tomorrow. Tomorrow’s temperature will be almost 10 degrees cooler than today. Seasonably cool weather looks to continue for the next week with our next slight chance of showers arriving on Tuesday.

Today may be one of the last days this year that we see widespread 80-degree readings across Chester and SE Berks Counties. A backdoor cold front will cross the area later today switching our winds to the north and eventually the northeast by tomorrow. Tomorrow’s temperature will be almost 10 degrees cooler than today. Seasonably cool weather looks to continue for the next week with our next slight chance of showers arriving on Tuesday.

Two, 1972-1973 and 1988-1989.

The lowest 10 year for JFK was 18.0” from 83-84 to 92-93. So this 7 year stretch has been lower that 10 year. The 7 year got down to 15.8” vs the current 14.5”. The key difference is that snow drought ended with 93-94 and 95-96 since the climate was so much colder than our modern 2020s climate. Unlikely we see a 50”+ season and a 70”+ season during the remainder of the 2020s within 2 years apart to break this snow drought without the greatest volcanic eruption in hundreds to thousands of years. Unfortunately, we don’t have a reliable long range volcanic forecast system.