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I noticed it all day and the hrrr smoke graphic this morning showed a patch swirling through midday.
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So glad he got to do his final show! Hits hard at the lost though!
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This is referring to some of the remnants of Invest 93L coming over the Gulf again: Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Jul 22 2025 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: North-Central Gulf: A trough of low pressure on the southern end of a frontal boundary is currently located just offshore of the Southeastern U.S. coast. Over the next few days, this system is forecast to move west-southwestward into the north-central portion of the Gulf, where environmental conditions could allow for some slow development if the system remains far enough offshore. By this weekend, the system is likely to move inland, ending its chances for development. Regardless of formation, heavy rainfall could be possible for portions of the northern Gulf coast through this weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
HoarfrostHubb replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Possibly something @weatherwiz might be interested in. I just had this video show up on my YouTube feed. Not sure why. but a decent documentary on the 1995 Great Barrington MA tornado it just posted 5 days ago Worth watching IMHO -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Last time in July, may have been last year July 4th 2024. -
First concert that I was allowed to go to with just friends. We took the red line to the green line to the old Boston Garden. It was 1982 Bark at the Moon tour. Up and coming band called Mötley Crüe was the opening act.. I was 14 years old.
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Those mostly sunny forecasts from last night and this morning were a bit off today, -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
HIPPYVALLEY replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
See my link in the banter thread. -
He was simply amazing and there’s nobody else quite like him.
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Highs: PHL: 86 ACY: 82 TEB: 81 TTN: 81 NYC: 81 EWR: 80 New Brnswck: 80 JFK: 80 * no intra hours high 1400 - 2000 BLM: 80 ISP: 79 LGA: 79 -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
donsutherland1 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
If so, the last time Central Park was warmer than Bridgeport, Islip, JFK, LaGuardia, and Newark was May 1. - Yesterday
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Makes sense as the instruments are on the east side of the park so the wind was blowing off the densely urban UES. -
(reserved for October to December logs and annual summary) this may appear July 23-24 (your comments or questions welcome, will get to those after completing the work in these reserved posts) (similar logs for record low values will appear later, possibly after a month or two, as interest in those would probably peak in fall and winter anyway)
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yeah - ocean temps along the Jersey shore in the 80s in July is nuts.
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Ever wondered what the records were before the modern set that will be more familiar? I have a log of these older records, taking as a starting assumption that the 32 years 1869 to 1900 would be a long enough interval to create a "starter set" of records. This chart will show all of those old "starter records" and any records set after 1900, including those subsequently broken again (and again in some cases). For the few cases where a starter record has held up to the present time, I show (in brackets) the highest value since then. (Later I will add a section for record lows but a lot more of those will hold up). In fact the chart also shows "warmest since record" for any records set before 1981, if the record is more recent than 1981 that's the end of the date report. So in this table, any value in italics is a tied record (whether tied at the time or not), and any value in bold is the eventual record that stands today. A bold italic group therefore is a set of tied records that still exists. And as mentioned, any value in brackets is not a record but the warmest since the record was set. In the rare instances where the warmest since a record falls before 1981, the "warmest since 1981" is in double brackets (see for example Jan 15). Jan 23 is an even rarer case where three levels of "warmest since" can be found ending with the post-1981 maximum. (Tied "warmest since" values are not shown in italics) I have arranged the table so that the subsequent records line up by decades to the extent possible, so if your interest was let's say records to 1940, that would be fairly easy to see from the alignment of records in the tables. A situation like Jan 6 with five record changes 1913 to 1950 spreads out a little relative to most of the other data so I reduced the type size to make the fit closer to being perfect. At the end of each month is a summary of how many eventual records are held by each decade (the starter era is broken down into 1869-1880, 1881-1890 and 1891-1900). A decimal in this section refers to a tied record (0.5 a two-way tie, 0.33 a three-way tie and in July there are two cases of four-way ties at 0.25). The final entry in this section is for the half-decade 2021-25 (with asterisk indicating this stat needs to be doubled to compare with all previous entries). These line entries for decades are collected again at end of the log, to compare total records set for the year by adding up the monthly components. (1869-1880 is 20% longer than the other time intervals). DATE ___ 1869-1900 record(s) ___ Subsequent records __ Eventual record in bold type __ Warmest since record (if set before 1981) in brackets JAN 01 __ 59 1885 ______ ________ 61 1919 _______________ 62 1966 ________ (60 1973, 79, 2005) JAN 02 __ 68 1876 _(63)_ ___________________________________ (63 1890, 1979) JAN 03 __ 58 1876 _____ ______ 59 1913 _________ 60 1950 ______________________ 62 1997_64 2000 JAN 04 __ 58 1874 _____ __60 1906,07 __________ 66 1950, _____________________________________ 66 2023 JAN 05 __ 59 1874 _____ _________________________ 64 1950, __________________ 64 1993 JAN 06 __ 57 1890 _____ ___ 58 1913,16 _61 1929 __62 1946, 63 1950 ______________________ 72 2007 JAN 07 __ 56 1874 _____ ___64 1907 __________ (62 1946, _____________________________62 2008) JAN 08 __ 54 1869 _____ __ 60 1907 _______ 64 1930 ______________________________ 65 1998 JAN 09 __ 56 1876 _____ __________________ 62 1930 _ 64 1937, _______________________ 64 2008 JAN 10 __ 60 1876 _____ ___________________________________________________________________ (59 2016) JAN 11 ___ 51 1891 _____ _______ 56 1913 _ 57 1924 _ 59 1933 __________ 63 1975 _____________________ 69 2020 JAN 12 __ 64 1890 _____ ________________________________________________________________ 66 2017 _ 68 2020 JAN 13 __ 64 1890 _____ ____________________ 68 1932 __________ (62 1972, ______________ 62 2017) JAN 14 __ 59 1892 _____ ____________________ 70 1932 _________________________________(66 2005) JAN 15 __ 49 1870,98 __ ______________ 53 1928 _ 67 1932 _(66 1937) ______________((59 1995)) JAN 16 __ 55 1890 _____ _____________ 57 1924, ________ 57 1953 ___________________ 58 1995 JAN 17 __ 57 1889 _____ ______ 60 1913, ________________________ 60 1973 _______ 63 1990 JAN 18 __ 56 1876 _____ ______ 58 1913 _________________________ 66 1973, _____ 66 1990 JAN 19 __ 59 1876 _____ _______________ 62 1929 ______ 64 1951 ___(57 1972) _____ ((56 1996)) JAN 20 __ 57 1900 _____ ___ 58 1907 ______________601947 _ 61 1951, ___________________ 61 2006 JAN 21 ___50 1900 _____ ___59 1906 _60 1913 ________________________________________________ 63 2006 JAN 22 __ 53 1891 _____ _53 1904 60 1906 _ 61 1916 _________ 61 1959 __________ (59 1986) JAN 23 __ 63 1874 _(62)_ ____ (62 1887, 1906) ___ ((61 1933, 1967)) _______________________ (((60 2018))) JAN 24 __ 57 1894 _____ ________________________________________ 68 1967 _______ (61 1989) JAN 25 __ 49 1879 _____ ___52 1909 _55 1916,1934 _ 56 1938, 1947 _ 60 1967 ______________________ (59 2024) JAN 26 __ 54 1870 _____ ______ 56 1913 _ 60 1916 __________ 72 1950 _(60 1952) ____ ((59 1990)) JAN 27 __ 53 1880 _____ ________ 69 1916 ___________________________ (66 1974) ______ ((62 2002)) JAN 28 __ 65 1880 _____ ________ 66 1916 _______________(60 1947, ____________________ 60 2002) JAN 29 __ 53 1887 _____ ________________________________ 53 1950 _____ 55 1975 _______ 69 2002 JAN 30 __ 54 1869 _____ _______ 58 1914 ____ 60 1932 _63 1947 ________________________ 64 2006 JAN 31 ___ 51 1880 _____ _______ 61 1913 _ 63 1916, ____ 63 1947 _________________________ (61 2013) January _____ 3.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 3.0, 0.0, 3.5, 2.5, 2.0, 3.0, 0.5, 1.5, 3.5, 5.0, 2.0, 0.5 * __ 31.0 FEB 01 __ 53 1877 _____ _________ 60 1916 ________________________________ 62 1988 _ 67 1989 FEB 02 __ 49 1877 _____ _________ 51 1922 ___ 55 1933 ___________ 58 1967,73 ____ 59 1988 FEB 03 __ 52 1875 _____ ___________________________________________56 1970 _______ 64 1991 FEB 04 __ 54 1883 _____ __________________________________________________________ 68 1991 FEB 05 __ 68 1890 _____ ___________________________________________________________70 1991 FEB 06 __ 57 1896 _____ _____________________ 58 1938, ____________________________ 58 1991 __ 68 2008 FEB 07 __ 51 1884 _____ _53 1904,__1925, 1933 _54 1938 _______________________________________ 56 2020 FEB 08 __ 55 1890 _____ _______________ 60 1933 _____________ 61 1965 _________________________ 62 2017 FEB 09 __ 51 1898 _____ __________________ 51 1937 _____ 60 1949 _________________ 63 1990 FEB 10 __ 58 1898 _____ ___________________________________________________________ 61 1990, 2001, 2023 FEB 11 ___63 1887 _____ _____________________________________ 65 1960 _______________________ 65 2009 FEB 12 __ 54 1877, 80 _ _______________ 56 1932 ________________ 58 1966 ____________ 62 1999, __ 62 2018 FEB 13 __ 61 1869 _____ __________________________________ 64 1951 _____ (58 1976) _______________ ((57 2023)) FEB 14 __ 56 1884 _____ _________________ 58 1938 __63 1946 __________________ (58 1990, 2011) FEB 15 __ 54 1896 _____ ______ 58 1915 ___ 62 1939 ___ 73 1949 _(69 1954) ______________________ ((67 2023)) FEB 16 __ 54 1891 _____ ________ 62 1921 __________________ 71 1954 ______________________________ ((70 2023)) FEB 17 __ 59 1891 _____ _________________________________________________ 67 1976 _________________ 68 2022 FEB 18 __ 64 1890 _____ ___________________________________________________ 68 1981 FEB 19 __ 52 1887, _____ __ 52 1909 ____ 57 1930 __ 59 1948,49,54 _ 63 1961 _____________ 66 1997 FEB 20 __ 53 1872 _____ ___59 1913,18,22 _ 69 1930, 1939 _______________________________________ (67 2018) FEB 21 __ 53 1899 _____ _58 1906 _62 1913 _ 68 1930 ______________________________________________ 78 2018 FEB 22 __ 66 1874 _____ _________________________________________________________ 66 1991 _69 1997 FEB 23 __ 72 1874 _____ ______________________________________________________ (70 1985) FEB 24 __ 57 1872 _____ _________________ 65 1930 ________ 65 1961 ____________ 75 1985 FEB 25 __ 56 1891 _____ ____ 59 1912 _____ 75 1930 __________________ (70 1976) _ ((67 1985)) FEB 26 __ 65 1890 _____ _______________________________ (62 1951, ____ 62 1976) __ ((58 1998, 2002)) FEB 27 __ 68 1880 _____ __________________________________________________________________ 72 1997 FEB 28 __ 56 1878,1880 _ 62 1903 ___________________________________ 67 1976 ____ (62 1997, ___ 62 2024) FEB 29 __ 69 1880 _____ _____________________________________________ (66 1976) _____________ ((61 2016)) February _____ 2.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.5, 0.5, 2.0, 2.5, 0.0, 1.0, 5.33, 6.5, 1.83, 3.5, 1.33 * __ 29.0 cumulative ___ 5.0, 1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 3.0, 1.5, 4.0, 4.5, 4.5, 3.0, 1.5, 6.83, 10.0, 6.83, 5.5, 1.83 * __ 60.0 MAR 01 __ 59 1871 _____ _63 1902 __________________________________ 73 1972 _________________ (70 2017) MAR 02 __ 64 1882 _____ ___________________________________________ 72 1972 _____ (71 1991) MAR 03 __ 63 1871 _____ ________ 63 1923 __________________ 64 1961,67 ___________ 65 1991 ____ 68 2024 MAR 04 __ 69 1880 _____ _______________________ 69 1946 ____________70 1974 ____________ (63 2008) MAR 05 __ 72 1880 _____ ________________________________________ (71 1964) _((70 1976))_(((64 1985))) MAR 06 __ 62 1894 _____ _______ 64 1921 ___ 68 1935 ___________________________________________ 68 2022 MAR 07 __ 69 1878 _____ _______________________ 74 1946 ________________________________________ 74 2022 MAR 08 __ 65 1878 _____ _____________________ 69 1942 ____________________________ 76 1987 MAR 09 __ 60 1871, 78 _ ___ 65 1913 _ 66 1921 ______________________________ 66 1977 ___71 2000 _ 77 2016 MAR 10 ___69 1879 _____ ____________________________ 71 1955 ____________________________74 2006 _79 2016 MAR 11 ___66 1879 _____ _____________________________ 67 1955 __ 72 1967 ____73 1977 _____________ (71 2021) MAR 12 __ 71 1890 _____ ______________________________________________________________________ 71 2012 MAR 13 __ 63 1890 _____ _67 1902 _____ 70 1929 _____________________________________ 85 1990 MAR 14 __ 56 1879 _____ _70 1903 _______________ 75 1946 _________________________________________ (74 2024) MAR 15 __ 55 1883 _____ _56 1903 _60 1912 _63 1913, __ 1945, ____ 63 1971 ____ 68 1983 _ 69 1989 _ 77 1990 MAR 16 __ 60 1886 _____ ____ 63 1913 _64 1921 _66 1927 _77 1935 ____________________________ 82 1990 MAR 17 __ 65 1898 _____ ______________ 67 1927,35 __ 75 1945 ________________________ (72 1990) MAR 18 __ 65 1894 _____ __ 67 1905 _ 69 1927 _ 71 1934 ______________________________ 77 1989 __ 77 2011 MAR 19 __ 69 1898 _____ _______ 76 1918 _________________________________________________________ (74 2012) MAR 20 __ 64 1898 _____ _67 1903 _ 78 1921 ________ 83 1945 _____________________________________ (77 2020) MAR 21 __ 60 1897 _____ _65 1903 66 1913 67 1919 _84 1921 ___(74 1938)__((70 1948)) ________________ (67 2012) MAR 22 __ 63 1894 __ 63 1907 __ 64 1911 69 1918 ___77 1929,38 _____________________________________ 78 2012 MAR 23 __ 60 1878,89,97 _ 63 1902 _72 1907 _ 76 1923 ______________________________________________ 76 2012 MAR 24 __ 61 1889 _____ _66 1903 _ 72 1913, __ 72 1939 __________________________ 76 1988 MAR 25 __ 58 1884 _____ 58 1904 _ 75 1910 _77 1913 __________________ 79 1963 _(75 1964)____________ (72 2016) MAR 26 __ 58 1874 _____58 1903__65 1904_72 1913 _76 1922 ____________________________________ 82 2021 MAR 27 __ 60 1869 _____ 67 1903 _ 72 1908 _73 1914 ____ 73 1939 __74 1945 _75 1949 _________ 83 1998 MAR 28 __ 58 1884 _____ _62 1903 _73 1905 _82 1921 ____ 84 1945 ____________________ (80 1998) MAR 29 __ 62 1872 _____62 1902 _73 1905 74 1907 76 1910 __86 1945 ________________ (82 1985) MAR 30 __ 60 1875, 1897_ 61 1902 _ 67 1907 _78 1910__________________ 79 1962, 1977 _______ 82 1998 MAR 31 __ 62 1886 _____ __70 1905 __ 71 1920 _______________________ 75 1979, 1986 ____ 86 1998 March ________ 1.0, 0.5, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.5, 0.5, 5.5, 0.0, 1.0, 4.0, 5.5, 3.0, 0.0, 4.5, 3.0 * __ 31.0 cumulative ___ 6.0, 1.5, 0.0, 1.0, 4.0, 3.0, 4.5, 10.0, 4.5, 4.0, 5.5, 12.33, 13.0, 6.83, 10.0, 4.83 * __ 91.0 (( to be continued in reserved posts ))
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2025-2026 ENSO
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
lol what? We do enjoy. Right now we out here. Will really miss the long daylight when this ends. Will miss the 7:30-8:30pm dog walks. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
Torch Tiger replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Sun angle creeping up soon...less than 5 months now! -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
ineedsnow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
by that time averages are going down so who cares if its a bit above glad you've come to our side though -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
Damage In Tolland replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Smoke weed and watch Obama head to jail ? That’s what a few here will do . Most will enjoy the weather because it’s the only weather we’ve got -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Drink and pray man…drink and pray. -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
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This particular subject was covered in some depth by Mora et. al in 2013: https://cities-today.com/new-study-predicts-when-climate-change-will-irreversibly-hit-your-city/?utm_source=chatgpt.com Transient climate responses and regional effects will ofc hasten or slow the date. Don't mistake large mid-latitude variability and transient responses for anything other than chance. One day the dice will not land as favorably. Note that this map is RCP 8.5 and running CMIP5. We are below that run in terms of CO2 concentrations, but very near it in terms of total radiative forcing (due to a number of factors) and CMIP6 is running pretty close to reality nowadays.