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Snow squall has ended. Picked up a quick 1/4" all surfaces but street. 30.0F

Seeing heights/ridging whatever out front a bit higher vs 12z

Funny cause on Nam and icon that piece is barely up over the NE tip of MN while gfs touching sw MN

That was too easy. Looks like it might be a good game for the Birds offense to show up.

Missed the flakes here, but it is certainly gusty.

Just got back from a walk in Basking Ridge and we definitely had a passing Graupel shower. Led to an interesting conversation about the difference between graupel and hail with my son.

Ok, some small slight changes early on with the GFS is the s/w that we await to dive is coming down a little further west...just a little

Could perhaps be interesting (maybe?) but it appears the NS and SS waves are too separated from each other and too positively tilted. But again, the RGEM way out in range so whatever.

Almost no chance the Steelers beat the Texans.

Fun snow squall in Morristown!

Got a little squally at the game, too, I guess. lol

The AFC title game is going to be Bills/Steelers and I'm going to want to die.

First the Eagles and then the models crank it up ❄️

Lol as expected

Third squall. Nice wintry day here.

Go Birds!!

It almost appears similar to the Icon with it washing out the vort which the GFS and Euro make our storm from. If that happens as depicted its game over, and with that only being 4 days away we should know sooner than later whos right.

Seems better than the NAM, but I don't think it'll do what we need ultimately

Well guys the GFS, a slightly better model than the ICON, is running. Hopefully it shows 18-39” of snow. Jk, just want a hold or a change in a positive direction

It has a very weird solution (not that ANY of the models show a "normal" storm). It pretty much has the vort lobe which all other models have takeover get killed off by one in southern Canada... which seems odd. However, I think that it did improve H5 wise and was generally further south so if it didn't have that progression it would've been Euro or GFS like.

Rgem trough may be too broad, idk.

Rgem further west and a little deeper than Nam I believe.

It missed the upslope a bit, but it's been rock solid on upper level features the last 5 days with barely any change. I don't know how much you can really dock it for missing convective snow showers bringing minor accumulations- it's a global model. If it is handling the upper levels better, which it did just fine this go around, I don't foresee anything significant unfortunately. The GFS was remarkably off from the Euro until the 84-90 hour mark for this system and the Euro handled the 500mb pattern much, much better overall. We'll see and I certainly hope the GFS has found its nut for the season, but I'm skeptical.

No surprise with the Bills. Allen is so tough. Now it’s time to hate on the Eagles for 3 hours. Sorry not sorry to my Eagles lovers out there. Also—what’s in everyone’s glass this afternoon? This OH is straight deliciousness…

Wind not too bad but just like that there's snow cover again. Moderate/heavy snow