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Precip further north on the nam

They think we only get 1-2”. But the uncertainty is there. I’d issue a CYA watch and downgrade to Advisory if necessary.

Just throwing it out there, Back in the day, The SREFS would be an indicator of what the NAM may do, Don't follow them anymore though.

Letting the run play out but they don't seem too hot about the NAM on the MA Forums

Ridge axis is further west on the NAM but the trough is also a bit broader.

Well I did do a marathon once…

Good chance with this, but anything is possible.

They're rain now, but did have a period of light snow reported.

NAM does have snow here at 54 but not sure if the storm ends up coming together

Maybe a mix but no way all snow. Sometimes those ASOS stations can mistake ptype.

NAM looking better.. pretty clear trend to delay the strengthening of the s/w. Helps tug things west further north

Storms 2 days away.. I wonder how long LWX waits to issue watches. I'm thinking maybe after the 12z model runs runs

Biggest run of your life?

NAM is coming in at a higher angle of attack....that's good for us I think...it won't get cutoff down east of delmarva and miss us like previous runs.

I looked at their 9 AM ob it said light snow

Yuge 12z runs today.

Glad you guys are getting something from this!! My pack is going to be orgasmic after tonight and Monday have their way with me lol

The IVT look got worse tomorrow, but it helps us Monday....we move that whole system east a bit quicker tomorrow so it is one of the factors that helps move Monday further north.

Not blaming you, you didn't start with negative comments. Maybe everyone would be better off following Mappy advice. mappy Posted 4 minutes ago Okay that’s enough yall. The back and forth with GH is stupid. Ignore and move along

IF the snowiest - à la GFS - solutions verify, it would almost be akin to Boxing Day 2010 when all hope was lost a few days beforehand.

No way. They are at least sleet now.

The American Storm @BigJoeBastardi storm 2 days out and the US GFS continues to have an epic storm in places where the euro has next to nothing I have no changes on my idea of 6-12 locally 18 DC to Boston, which almost seems like a mid-ground. This model battle should be something GVT officials are looking at. If GFS misses, what good is it? Why spend the money it took to develop this model if it consistently is least accurate vs the major models, though it beats up on the Navy NoGaps and CFSV2 , which is like beating up on a division 2 school if you are Division 1 The American Storm @BigJoeBastardi · 2h I will show the method I use for numbers later today You might find it interesting. Will do Bos,NYC, DC, State College and ACY

Lots of energy being depicted on this run. Giggity.

I just love the old style feel of it!! Like the old days of model maps!!