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  2. Yeah you can see it saturates right away . Low dew depressions
  3. I see they finally changed their Tune a bit.
  4. Snowing right on edge of radar too in Litchfield County . Thought we’d virga longer
  5. Not feeling too great up here, though the setup did seem good just a few hours ago. Snow growth is very poor.
  6. looks pretty crappy and chopped up but thats what it's supposed to be, should fill in over SNE over the next few hours. You can already see the development happening over litchfield county and Berkshires as well as CNJ
  7. Yeah, that doesn’t even do it justice. It’s puking snow
  8. The morning after a 1-3” storm I looked at the models and was shocked .
  9. Just PUMMELLED https://www.snowshoemtn.com/media-room/skidder-slope-live-cam
  10. Mixture of everything and hard to capture on camera with the wind. It’s been about 50-50 dendrites and smaller flakes on average. Absolutely ripping
  11. Sounds like you found the key to the liquor cabinet...
  12. Looks like snow started into NW CT up into Berks . Radar looks solid
  13. Hey Chuck, I’d say no. It’s hard for NG to bake in an extreme that’s essentially in fantasyland/during when model skill is pretty limited. So, I feel confident that it would rise substantially in advance of the very cold should it actually start to show up in late week two of the EPS and GEFS means or even in week 3 of the EW/ext GEFS in the bulk of the E US. However, even if that were to occur, there’s the possibility that it could fall a good bit more before the extreme cold shows up and prices start to rise. The ensemble mean HDDs continue to drop. The 18Z GEFss lost a whopping 14 HDDs vs the 12Z! But even though HDDs keep dropping, the trajectory continues to show a sharp climb late in week 2 to NN:
  14. The N stream is definitely trying to tug those isobars back and invert a trough. But aside from that scenario, this thing needs to go about 80 yards with 15s remaining and no timeouts. But like Tip said, we need a big chunk play out of bounds and then a hail mary.
  15. Up-slope with diving mid-continent polar air masses are putting in the work. Pick the highest latitude / altitude combo.
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