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Many possibilities during the last half of September. Will the Atlantic Tropics finally become involved??
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Oh, it's on the way. You're going to get your wish. Lots of cloudy synoptic stratiform rains, one after the other for months and months. This super nino has got the DMV's Name all over it, and the moisture Plume is pointed directly at the Southeast and the DMV Regions. You are going to get lots and lots and lots and lots of giant, Brobdingnagian synoptic rain shields this fall, winter and also well into the Spring of 2027.
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If this model run of the ICON works out that 15-17" of rain forecast will go nicely with the 5-7" of rain that fell in the Des Moines area a few days ago.
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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
This is 3 years in a row now that we've had this in what is supposed to be the peak of the hurricane season. The last 2 years we had no storms from about mid-August to mid-September. 2023 was the last time we had activity at the peak of the season. -
November 3rd
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The snowbirds are starting to migrate, my mower blades are ready to be sharpened and fall festivals are upon us. The writing is on the wall temps wise. We just have to squint a bit to see it.
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Had a small pop up with that outflow boundary tonite. Picked up .09' so MTD: .10"
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I don't think it's going to be an appreciably negative PDO.
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August Part 2
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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
Tuesday -
Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
Tuesday -
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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
WxWatcher007 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
While I'm skeptical of anything off the SE coast in the near future, the GDM has a relatively strong signal for something to pop in the subtropics. It does look like parts of the basin will become slightly more conducive in the coming weeks, as more favorable rising motion moves into the basin and shear potentially falls in a narrow region between the Gulf and subtropics. -
We did for Christmas 2015 and the last Super Nino.....
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Two Harbors Agates 2-0 so far. Go Agates!!
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We might get the mega Nino with a negative PDO. What's the most recent winter that combo happened?
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https://x.com/JuliusSubovic/status/2098085471540695257
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
alex replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Yessss. I saw it for a few minutes when they were testing it on Wednesday but yesterday you couldn’t see a thing -
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