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If that pans out on the Euro, I'll donate to the board. Euro long range QPF bias is real.

You can't really compare the two because we are on the coast and get a bunch of systems they miss out on. So I have no idea.

Today here I’m experiencing the first widespread dewpoints below 50 of the season. They’re actually way down near 40. It’s a beautiful sunny day. I’m looking forward to my evening walk.

Yes me also. Had Davis equipment back in the 90's before the vantage pro came out. Also had a heathkit thermometer which I built with my dad probably 45 years ago.

How is it that we always have a ton of mosquitoes and gnats in summers when it rains a lot though and very few in a summer like 2002 or 2010 when it's dry?

It’s fitting that we end the drought and finish the year above average precip-wise.

that's good for average annual temperature but for measuring summer heat we have to go by 90, 95 and 100 degree days. Of course it's rapidly warming in the winter, but this isn't the case in terms of our hot summers. This was the first summer in a long time when it hit 100+ , it's been more than a decade since we've had a summer this hot.

Remember the old days Rob of installing weather equipment...no wireless yet...running wires, drilling holes in the house to get the wires to the inside unit. I've had an anemometer up on the roof for as long as I can remember... luckily it's a ranch home so not too high... don't think I can go up there anymore so hoping it continues to work well.

What is it for JFK, I can already tell the rainfall averages by decade are much lower here. Our summers are usually dry and have been ever since I can remember (starting with the early 80s).

Yeah, but DC is drier, so are we getting more wet or drying as we become DC?

The amount of insects isn’t going to significantly change if we get around 50” year like we have since the 1970s. Mold issues in recent years like the college dorms after the summer were more a function of the very high dew points. There is a large vacant parcel of land by me that they cut every few months. The weeds grew just as fast to a significant height even with one of the driest summers on record here. So weeds are a very hearty and adaptable species of plants. Some people have pollen allergies that can drop after the heavy rains wash some of the extra pollen out of the air. Plus I didn’t see any reduction in pollen on the local cars during tree pollen season even though it was still pretty dry. You can see a steady decadal average around 50.00” in NYC since the 1970s. It’s the 1960s which really stood out for drought. It was rated as a 500 year drought from a long tree rings study from the Catskills down to closer to NYC. Over the last year smaller watershed systems such as up here in CT and NJ saw a drop in their reservoir levels. Some close to the Jersey Shore were near record low levels since they were established. But the Catskills haven’t been as dry as other areas closer to NYC. So NYC hasn’t had any Reservior issues. But some local farmers have been having crop issues with how dry it has been. NYC average decadal rainfall since the 1960s through 2024 1960s…39.74” 1970s….52.32” 1980s…49.46” 1990s….47.19” 2000s…52.14” 2010s….50.76 2020s….51.41”…through 2024

I have numerous Davis weather equipment. I used to have a heathkit, which I built, and a weathermax weather station. Sold both of those.

Central Park's average annual temperatures from the last several years (which is easily cooler than Newark and LGA) is about the same as Washington DC's average annual temp from the 1940s, 1950s, and 1960s. And that's the warmer location, not to be confused with the cooler Dulles Airport.

Lowlands jack or bust

I'm all in. I'll fire up the thread. Flood apocalypse or bust

Coward!

I'm a gambling man and I understand I might be going out on a limb here, but I'll take the under. Just a hunch

This is for NYC https://www.extremeweatherwatch.com/cities/new-york/most-yearly-precipitation Here is DC, which people say our climate now is. They get less rain than here https://www.extremeweatherwatch.com/cities/washington-dc/most-yearly-precipitation

lol this is great, I love weather equipment. I'm absolutely amazed you all get over 50 inches of rain, I think that's only happened here a few times, 50 inches of rain is almost as rare as 50 inches of snow (I'm not complaining, I love my dry hot summers.) We get most of our rain from October through April here and usually the dry sunny weather sets in May through September.

EPS is interesting though.. I've seen two tornadoes in my life so can't say none

Surprised to see no models caving in yet. Gfs clearly shows too much intensification given the amount of shear, even if it's track ends up correct. Euro and Icon seem to have the middle of the road tracks where it stalls near Jamaica thats my current leaning. Cmc and Ukmet have a west bias, so they are the least likely Imo. Edit: The 12z eps has a lot of members with strong lows near the Honduras coast so maybe that solution has a better chance than I originally thought.

Fall-ish day out there. 61F, cloudy (some dark) and breezy. Follow last years pattern of windy/breezy just about every day at some point. Would be a good Halloween night...

What's the kuchera? In before the "what went wrong" thread request

I wish I had been that detailed over the years. I started about that age, and always maintained my interest level, but got sloppy with the records as adult life took hold. I can't say I'm that great about it today either, but it is fun to track weather stats over time if you're organized and dedicated enough. I have a bunch of old weather gadgets dating to the 1980s and 1990s still at my parents house in storage. One of them is a Davis station, dating to around 1991 that lasted a few years, then succumbed to a lightening strike of all things. I remember that one, flash, bang, shook the whole house and toasted a couple of appliances.

euro looking p dreary in the long range