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Ah yeah I'm traveling and forgot what day it was ha Whatever happens I'll miss it
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Obviously you meant to say 2 days starting tomorrow. The weather on Saturday will be dry with lowering humidity.
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Have a good round today. Just keep an eye out to the west, there’s some activity out in central Pa. That could possibly swing thru later this afternoon.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
high risk replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I agree that SVR potential today is limited by lousy shear, although MCVs can be sneaky Lousy shear will also be an issue Friday, although high instability and organization of storms along the front might counteract that. But Thursday might have the best combination of shear and instability and allow for a more widespread event, although the source of triggering is less obvious than on the other two days.- 457 replies
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lets get that fixed
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Sligo Creek, I'm looking at you.- 457 replies
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Someone (or a few people) in the next few days - will get microbursted I think. But probably not a region-wide event.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
wxmeddler replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Am more worried about heavy rain / flash flooding the next few days. Storms will be moving but PWAT's near 2" will dump no matter what. One of our stations (Hancock) got 1/2" in 10 minutes at 4AM this morning in a relatively benign shower.- 457 replies
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LOL! Yeah, I can get quite the range in temps between my house on the top of the hill where the parking lots are. I've driven through the inversion in the middle of the hill many times over the years.
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I havent been over here in years. No wonder why you have such a range of temps, forgot how much the elevation changes in short distances over here. Sorry in advance about your kitchen window, i tend to slice the ball. Lol
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Hey there! Long time no chat, shame! Although I think my wife and your SO still follow each other on instagram . Congrats on the new-ish position! I've been pulling out my hair for the past 2 years getting this network up and running, although I think @Eskimo Joe beats me in sleep lost. We're working on the datafeeds! We're currently in the process of hiring a developer to create / manage some of that stuff. Congrats on the break-up though! I think you all will do well. Happy to work on a piece if Jason is up for it.
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That had been us last year. I am not counting my chickens before they hatch just yet up here though. Last summer July and August was bone dry. So will take what I can get now. We love having ours. Have been up since 2013. We just added an EV to the car line up. Put in a portable charger and utilizing the sun to “fill” it up is a good bit of satisfaction.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Saw that. Looks like some summer showers and storms. Would be very beneficial.- 457 replies
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HRRR actually has something coming through Central Maryland this afternoon.
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A soupy 72.8/69.9 here with rain falling. Decent thunderstorm moving thru, only a 28 mph gust, but will take ALL the rain that wants to fall! About .30" in 25-30 minutes.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nice little swirl over West Virginia. If we can get enough sunshine today, we might get some decent storms south of I-70. Might be a DC to EZF special.- 457 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Got a graphic?- 457 replies
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
100%. 1997-98 peaked the final week of November then steadily weakened right through the end of March. 2015 also peaked the last week of November then steadily weakened throughout the entire winter. Twitter kept wishcasting that the weakening was going to somehow “save” that winter and it was going to turn into an arctic cold tundra with mountains of snow the rest of the way. It also didn’t help that JB was hyping nonstop that it was a super “migrating Modoki” El Niño and said the analogs were 1957-58, 1965-66, 1976-77, 1977-78, 2002-03, 2009-10 and 2014-15 for months on end in the fall and beginning of winter. The weenies bought right into that and the DT “it’s weakening” argument hook, line and sinker -
Tomorrows updated outlook from SPC comes out in a few hours, will see if they get a little more bullish. Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026 ...Mid-Atlantic into central Appalachians... Daytime heating coupled with dewpoints in the 60s to low 70s are expected to yield a weakly capped and moderate to strongly unstable afternoon air mass. Forcing for ascent associated with the disturbances mentioned in the synopsis are expected to foster multiple clusters of thunderstorms capable of damaging winds, especially if organized cold pools can develop. There is some model signal that a corridor of slightly stronger low-level and deep-layer shear will materialize across the lower Hudson Valley Thursday afternoon, which would support some potential for supercells capable of large hail and perhaps a brief tornado. ..Mead.. 06/10/2026
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There are no flood watches out, yet, but the CAMs are all dumping several inches of rain across parts of the se IA, n IL, ne MO area.
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Managed a robust .6 out in the sticks before everything fizzled to my east
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RIP Sycamore IL
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That's probably a reference to the heat index.
