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It should have…

I’d rather it not run at all then shit on our heads.

With all the mayhem over this weekend, y'all just glossed over the Jan 28/29 CMC:

You think the mid-Atlantic is getting a HECS out of this? I might need to make plans yikes.

Classic Euro trick to only not run when we really need it to.

Hasn't even started running yet.

The Justin Tucker Storm: Where the entire forum gets a happy ending?

Don’t have the euro started either

Appears that way on the GFS

Let's not discuss football kicking, please

When we all needed it most, the euro disappears.

this is a strong big storm, suppression works for smaller scale storms! I think this keeps trending north

This could be a real mess and Asheville will not be prepared if this comes.

These always trend North at this range. I’d be worried right now if we were in the bullseye

I’m following things closely hoping to get the chance to walk into the sea caves this year if the ice is thick enough.

What was originally looking like a pretty standard cold wave for mid January has now become a potentially very significant cold wave for the region. Model runs are showing sub zero highs for at least the northern parts of the subforum on Friday and potentially Saturday. And some runs like the most recent GFS have daytime highs on the level of the 94,96, and 19 cold waves at least N of the IL-WI border which is extremely impressive without widespread deep snow cover. We have already had sub -30 wind chills and sub -5 daytime temps here today, and if we don't cross 20 on Wednesday we may have at least 10 days straight of sub 20 highs.

Chuckles nervously in Minnesota Vikings... Looking back at the prior runs, it was the 12z GFS run yesterday that figured out that the storm was not a cutter. Since then it has been consistently south, but we have plenty of time. The other solutions this morning are really fun to see.

great minds...

When it gets very cold, lake effect goes from dendrites to tiny ice crystals and doesn't stack up very fast. Makes for very poor visibility but not great accumulations.

Don’t tell Blair Walsh that. And we do have a Viking fan here…

One last post before i actually go and be productive. This is from MAG from the Central forum Regardless, I’m not anywhere near sweating the too far south/north solutions. But this energy has to all come out and not have a portion of it left behind like what the GFS has been trying to do. I think as long as that happens I like our chances.

AIFS hasn’t started yet which is unusual. They might be trying to ice the kicker.

I just have a hard time believing suppression won’t come in to play. Gut feeling is mid Atlantic see some snow

I made 2 posts about it being a case study, based on the CPC's cold long range forecasts for the 2nd half of January. Looks like it's going to verify as a predictor to the market.