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  2. That is THE storm...NAM is just 12 hours faster getting it going...which I am not sure is a good thing...it opens the door to a minor snowfall v all or nothing...but it has the surface wave running out ahead of the NS upper feature such that the timing for a bigger event is probably off.
  3. I remember when Baltimore had more 20"+ snowstorms than Boston (with the disclaimer that Logan is a lousy spot and it missed many 20"+ events that hit other parts of the city). But the big ones have really accelerated and looks like this will be another one to add. And man is it well-deserved after the last 3-5 awful years. Everyone won this time.
  4. Be mindful of the fact that with the last storm the models completely underdid the western extent of the energy diving out of Canada for several days. How far west that gets when it cuts off will be a major player in how far west the coastal is
  5. okay okay GFS loading, @David-LI do PBP
  6. Love the Jiminy Peak stoke. Growing up, that was our Sunday spot into the evening night skiing.
  7. Its only the 2nd of this winter. And the first produced a widespread half inch to 2 inches! This is the original and probably the one and only Cape storm. I identified the way out of the shit the blinds pattern and it actually worked out. https://www.weather.gov/phi/eventreview20220103 I did/still do like early Feb, so we shall see. RN it looks like places right along the coast might get nailed, subject to change ofc.
  8. Careful or I'll give you the weenie ring.
  9. Central Park 11.5 Boston: 20.2" Hartford: 17.3" Philadelphia 9.3 Albany? Dc?
  10. It brings up an interesting question what is your limit as a snow weenie from one storm? I have a wind limit of about 25. Never been found of high winds, they're conducive to losing power and nothing worse than watching a snow storm in a cold dark house. I'd put my accumulation limit at 50 inches. The February 2010 blizzard which hit the west side of the Hudson particularly hard with a heavy wet snow was when I realized I had a limit. We had 35 inches from that storm in Highland Mills, with several inches on the ground before it began. Towards the end of the storm I started to find myself getting concerned whether my roof and decks would handle the weight. Other than that let it snow.
  11. 540 line to freaking Miami and sub freezing Wind Chill in the Bahamas Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk
  12. ICON EPS still throws a similar amount of precip this way, just slightly less. I agree with everyone else, I think we’re all worried about missing to the south. By far the biggest threat here .
  13. We've been overdue for a while, so it finally caught up with us. I'll believe the weekend storm when I shovel it, hahaha. At least by that time I'll be in shoveling shape! Seriously, this area has to thread the atmoshperic needle perfectly to get one of the gynormous storms. That's why we only get them on average once every 7 to 10 years. Usually it's 34F and 2" of rain. 2009-10 was my personal holy grail, as I had always hoped to have 2 big storms in one season. I got that and more. Dec 2009 was really interesting because I developed shingles just before that big storm hit, and I had to literally hike my way through thigh-deep drifts to get to the local CVS to fill the prescription. Little did I know what awaited us 6 weeks later. Fun times.
  14. When tomorrow will the information from the first set of flights be ingested into the models?
  15. ens look pretty good tho (why am I looking at the ICON-EPS)
  16. the low in DC is supposed to be 3F, but not seeing it. Temp is 19F here and 22F at DCA, and not dropping quickly.
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