Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. The Iceman
    ensembles and OP's are showing a stalled out front situation towards the end of the month. right now it stalls slightly off shore with several waves of LP riding along the front. A lot of times the models are too progressive pushing fronts through this time of the year so could be something to watch. Almost all of the ensembles have prolific rain totals just offshore but would not take much for that parade of lows to come inland. Regardless, it looks much more active again beginning this weekend. It's funny, I went away for 2 weeks and before I left it was hot and dry then we had all that rain while I was gone and nothing since I've been back home. Starting to feel rain cursed lol
  3. MANDA
    Been using it. Better than nothing but not great. Sky is hazy here. Faint smoke smell to the air but nothing horrendous. Air quality is poor but still no smoke visible at the surface in my area. Out my way this still trails 2023 by a big margin. Still nasty though.
  4. weatherwiz
    Maybe it got hit by an asteroid or an alien spaceship
  5. wx_observer
    Looks like GOES 18 is being used as a fallback? https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/operations/goes/status.html https://usradioguy.com/news/goes-19-in-safe-hold/
  6. Winter Wizard
    Something similar actually happened yesterday over Pennsylvania too, the fires sharpen the thermal gradient and can increase both the coverage and area and intensity of storms over a local swath. Yeah, models did not pick up on this at all, and it didn't become apparent until maybe midday Tuesday. I suppose if that was the case, it would've led to subsidence elsewhere, maybe farther north.
  7. Typhoon Tip
    Did the Trump admin finally just shoot down GOES ?
  8. Typhoon Tip
    He should crack the window of his cruiser
  9. GaWx
    That CFS graph is referring to relative 3.4 anomalies, which are currently in the +1.3 to +1.5 region rather than ~+2.0. Actually, the official relative 3.4 for last week was only +1.3: 08JUL2026 2.6 1.7 1.3 0.5 https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/rel_wksst9120.txt
  10. TWCCraig
    Since GOES-EAST is down, you could use GOES-WEST, though it's not ideal since we're near the edge of the disc image, so images appear blurry but its better than nothing. The colored image distinguishes between cloud types. Smoke is green, blue and red are clouds
  11. EC609
    73 this morning. 85 currently.
  12. Torch Tiger
    A little hazy but wish we had some smoke! We dry
  13. GaWx
    Unlike the very mild Feb 1878 in the upper Midwest, the E US’ warmest month of that winter was the fairly typical El Niño warmest Dec. In contrast, Feb was only modestly AN in a good portion of the NE to NN in the SE. Jan was NN to BN. Jan-Feb combined in much of the E US wasn’t mild at all and instead was largely NN (no more than slightly AN in the NE and even BN in good part of SE).
  14. FPizz
    Haha yeah. Can put the band name above it, name of the album below
  15. Picard
    Air Quality Indexes are off the charts in the upper mid west. Higher than 2023, The extreme readings are knocking on the door of Buffalo. Hopefully it doesn't reach here and without that satellight working, we won't know for sure.
  16. mitchnick
    Daily Cfs2 plume charts are updated daily and hyperlinked to this site; past half way down. https://www.stormsurf.com/page2/links/ensocurr.html
  17. BobbyHolikWillFindYou
    Album cover vibes.
  18. FPizz
  19. snowman19
  20. SnowGoose69
    Hard to know with satellite down but looking at obs back to the Great Lakes I'd say using pre 1960s forecasting that the worst smoke will go S and W of here
  21. jm1220
    In my experience down there in 2015-16, when it decides to rain there it goes totally bonkers. May 2015 was the most rain I've seen in my life in Austin. I guess the closest match would be August 2010 up here but I think May 2015 was worse. The heaviest rain I've ever seen was Oct 2015 when the remnants of Patricia came through. It was literally like watching a firehose outside.
  22. Typhoon Tip
    I was just looking at that stuff... According to CPC most recent power point, yet the present NINO 3.4. regional anomalies ( found here: https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/?dm_id=nino3.4 ) are already floating around +2.00 C. So, either their CFSv2 product is less accurate as a predictive use ( by over a whole deg C ), or... Climate Reanalyzer's data is suss. I don't really care to get into that ..per se, I'm really just more interested in general with the comparison between monitoring vs modeling: where are we?
  23. yoda
    URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 955 AM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026 DCZ001-MDZ008-011-013-014-016-504-506-508-VAZ053-054-527-170000- /O.NEW.KLWX.HT.Y.0010.260716T1500Z-260717T0000Z/ District of Columbia-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Central and Southeast Howard-Southeast Harford-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 955 AM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Heat index values around 105. * WHERE...Washington DC, and portions of central, northeast, northern, and southern Maryland, and northern Virginia. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat illnesses.
  24. Chrisrotary12
    A little while at least based on GOES-W imagery.
  25. 512high
    ASH 81F/60 sun.....for how long?
  26. mitchnick
    That's what the Cfs2 was showing over 3 months ago when I posted. I was just the messenger. Obviously, Cfs2 forecast, updated multiple times a day, changed.
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...