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Friday is a ways away in modeling time - with renewed cold worth watching.

Let’s see if we can wish one of these into existence for Friday @wncsnow .

Festive green for me. All good

I asked AI to predict the December weather based on this thread. Not sure how/if it weights posts, but it said everything is going to suck forever and then we'll die. In my own experience, there is close to zero correlation between these threads and actual mid to long term outcomes one way or the other (except for potentially the dying part). But at least it's entertaining. The next two weeks should cool the local sea surface temperatures (high confidence).

K.

getting some flurries here already. that type of event where the slightest pertubation to the atmosphere produces snow

Plan on 6”-8” in town.

I mean this says it all. Y’all will appreciate this.

For anyone curious abt the nbm

duster looks on track

BTV pulling 10 for me? They usually conservative Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Things still on track. Surfaces should be plenty cold and very early morning timing will maximize accumulations. Im still thinking 2-4, with maybe a 5 lollipop if somewhere manages to maxmize ratios and banding, but overall progressive nature is going to limit that potential. Will be fun to kick off the season!

All New York City area locations saw below normal precipitation.

I remember us starting this separate thread prob 10 or so yrs ago. During the winter season its def needed. Tomorrow is a perfect example

Euro is frigid for next week. We're getting the early season cold that we often get with a La Nina. Let's hope we can at least pull off a little December accumulating snow like we did last year.

Giving MBY the finger

That’s a good sign…they’ll be chances. I’d much rather this look, than what we’ve had the last few years.

Retreating high, marginal cold, no blocking--easy call.

Looks like some ice tonight and tomorrow morning.

They weren't around for the 80s & 90s. I moved up here from the Bronx in 95 and couldn't believe the difference in winter weather. UHI & proximity to the Atlantic really kill that area in terms of winter weather.

We hope with fingers crossed.

This pattern is complex and the models are not doing a great job with it at all.

I know Grand Highlands very well. I have family that live on Bearwallow, I used to ride my four wheeler through GH when it was a cow farm. Of course that was years ago! I wasn't far from Montclair back then, I was in PG County, living on Andrews AFB. We were at 80-90" as well. Best winter I've ever lived through!

That seems a little aggressive but might be splitting hairs on 2-5” vs 4-6” in our area.