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It’s lake effect raining now. I hate it. Makes me angrier than Beavis during an El Niño winter.

About 3 inches down and snowing at a good clip, half way to my Wish-cast of 6".

Not the most important part of the region though.

ok... So not horrible ( especially that it's a map from the NWS ).

Just issued- Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 540 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 VAZ019-020-WVZ507-110600- Alleghany VA-Bath-Eastern Greenbrier- Including the cities of Clifton Forge, Covington, Hot Springs, Lewisburg, White Sulphur Springs, and Alderson 540 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 ...BURSTS OF HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT... Bands of heavy snow are possible this evening through the overnight hours. Heavy snow and strong wind gusts could significantly reduce visibility in a short time, and lead to dangerous driving conditions. Temperatures dropping below freezing will allow for snow to quickly accumulate on roadways during the overnight hours, and roads may be slick, especially ones that are untreated. If traveling and encountering adverse driving conditions, reduce speed, ensure headlights are on, and leave plenty of room between you and other vehicles. Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 222 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 MDZ501-502-VAZ504-WVZ502>504-506-110300- Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany- Eastern Highland-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral- Eastern Pendleton- Including the cities of Frostburg, Cumberland, Monterey, Petersburg, Elk Garden, Antioch, Keyser, New Creek, Ridgeville, Russelldale, Headsville, Fort Ashby, Brandywine, Franklin, Oak Flat, Ruddle, and Sugar Grove 222 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 ...BURSTS OF SNOW POSSIBLE BETWEEN 5 AND 10 PM... Bursts of snow are possible between 5 and 10 PM this evening. Affected locations will see rapidly changing weather and road conditions, with brief heavy snow and gusty winds. A quick snow accumulation up to an inch is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Be prepared for areas of blowing snow. This could lead to temporary whiteout conditions and the potential for dangerous driving conditions. If you are traveling and encounter adverse winter driving conditions, reduce speed and make sure headlights are on.

1". Pingers now. 28f Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

^Actually not bad for a good portion of the region.

HH GEFS kinds likes it lol

The HRRR was a few degrees too warm in Orange and Putnam. A coating of snow down to nearly river level with accumulations increasingly quickly with elevation. Turned into a snowy evening with snow mixing in at 500ft in Morris County right now. The less snowy NAM runs appeared to do better than the HRRR or RGEM which showed mostly rain until well NW. Actually the ECMWF and GFS did pretty good with the lower level temp profile too I think.

18z gefs mean is east with it like the op.

Guess that’s a decent sign. I saw the Ukie earlier and thought it could blow it up a little, but it didn’t

Next time you take a screenshot can you make the L and pressure number larger? Thx in advance.

If you want some tiebreakers, the 12z ggem, 12z ukie, and 18z rgem all held it back over the Great Lakes as well.

Balmy 50F

Thanks Eyewall. It's snowing like crazy now. And it's a tad breezy.

Just like normal... it will be in Richmond before we know it

Down to 37.4/34.1 at 5:30, wind WSW at 7 gusting to 16 mph. Still a solid 2" on south facing to 4" in shaded areas OTG.

The question becomes. Is one more right than the other, and by how much.

I've always agreed with all of this. I just don't see it as settling the main question

I'm at the reststop a few miles north of 84 on the Thruway. A little slush in the parking lot, but highway still wet. Nice to see it snowing though. Saw a little white rain mix not too many miles west of the river, then to very wet snow north of Suffern. Snowing nice here and close to freezing. It went from 50 in lower Westchester to 43 at the TZ. This would have been a fun ride without the traffic in the Bronx and lower WC.

Thats true he should change it to Snowfall . Light to moderate possible.

Rain has switched over to snow in Winsted 36°

Defintely

How do you know ? Its still a few days away.

Weatherbell needs to get its act together but @Weather Willis on point!!