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Man all mods are consistent with Knox getting the sharp cutoff with an average of around 5 inches.

HRRR vs NAM soundings for wake county. That low level dry air just makes no sense, where is it coming from? Also look at the massive DGZ (yellow lines on the right) on the NAM. Thats some beautiful heavy snow.

2 pieces of energy are trying to come together by grabbing hold of eachother while spinning into eachother's momentum as they run full speed.. imagining two people doing that seamlessly is hard enough. imagine massive and turbulant weather systems on a global scale.. Would imagine it would be a difficult concept for computer models to grasp fully

I’m riding the NAM till this storm threat dies!

Anyone in the mid-state seeing anything from that band?

Awful timing personally but we take what we get. Hopefully it’s warmer the following week.

Regular nam is much better

These stupid lows keep messing up what could have been a decent warning event at least to BOS. But they might be real since you have tremendous instability and forcing over the gulf stream. Sometimes these have some near term surprises...but guidance is fairly locked in.

And he bumped up here in Wake down. Right as I was getting excited about the Nam. I mean… at least gimme 6.

Ok, I would take that right now for all of SC, But don’t let what is showing in the Triad happen. They deserve in on the action.

Still has me under 6 inches with that annoying leeside area but I think its overstating it.

Buckle up bro! This is insane! lol

Not lurking in ya'lls space to troll, but the SREFs are terrible. What's remarkable about it is that it used to be considered a usable tool. Only look for entertainment. Some members have it dumping snow in D.C.. Barring the coup of the century, it's a toss.

something just feels off with this storm..

I think the hires NAM has stumbled upon a pretty realistic depiction of how this will play out. ULL max zone, coastal crush zone. Screw zone in between. Maybe cut precip totals by 25-50% overall and call it a day. Screw zone location TBD depending on timing, trough tilt etc.

I thought I might have seen a flake, but it could have been a flake of dandruff.

18z NAM 3k. LP organizes to far south to pump the banding in to the area.

Rfs

walk over here.

Finished with 17.5” but all good. Spanky and I within less than an inch so it checks out.

Wow. Still has Ral at 8". They aren't buying the dry slot at all. This storm is a fucking doozy lmao

I'm thinking that's the one hes referring to but it reformed off the delmarva not SC

The lake snow has arrived here. Very light but cool to see it this far west.

3K tickling SE MA .