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It is undeniable that our climate has changed significantly in the last few years. But it is also true that weather is weird and remains super hard to predict especially outside of 5 days. Winter ends in March last I checked. If you are already dooming about Winter this hobby is probably not for you. There will be tough trends and good luck. That's the fun of it!

Hrrr had me at 40 at 12... it's 34 currently.

I think we are going to see plenty of cold but the pattern is going to be overall dry...maybe clippers...etc. I think the 12z CMC has a better handle on the next 10 days over the GFS. It's not a great winter storm pattern by any means.

was alot colder back then-we've warmed 3-4 degrees since the late 70's.

Nice Mood flakes in the air, coating on the vehicle, probably ended up with close to 5 from the storm Tuesday, ground is stiffer than normal, lakes are locking up, another 6 and the groomers will roll. Life above the 45th parallel is good (if you have a good WFH job)

They almost never fail to get it wrong. I swear to god all they need to do is spend 10 min on this forum.

The pressure is on Montgomery County, Maryland. The superintendent sent an apology email earlier this week after the 2-hour delay for rain on Tuesday.

Overperformah! Just measured 3” of fluff. Temp has leveled off. 17.6° now.

Do share

In the meantime, ripping heavy snow. Not really squally, rather steady

It's only the first week of meteorological winter's series of torments, rugpulls, cyclical disappointments-----but our day will come...........maybe! Take break, and take heart!

let's see if King Euro comes back north as well and joins the rest of the 12Z model suite. It might as well finish what it started, right?

Hrrrr looked super tasty at 4am

We pray for winter commute disasters. Angry drivers spilling their Dunkin coffees in their laps. Bagels slathered with cream cheese falling upside down on to a dirt & dog shit covered floor mat. Bwahahahahah.

Probably out by 11am

So almost half of the years since 1955 skewed perspective?

It seems to be getting juicier, EZF may win this one

Millville! Keep us updated as we go! Thank you as always.

Huge move for the UKIE, it looks about like the 14z RAP. It has been very dry/warm.

Short Pump again for the win. Damn those Short Pumpers!

HRDPS looks good but a nasty dry slot for some in central eastern VA and far southern MD

@dendrite Not sure if you follow this at all but I've seen your posts regarding trees and figured it may be of interest: https://www.unh.edu/unhtoday/2025/12/james-hall-ginkgo-tree-sees-latest-leaf-drop-record

Whoa. 12z GFS and UK coming in with 3-6” across the RVA!

This is going to continue to get better as 30.15 baro not suppressive. It’s going to rise some as next 18 hours progresses but I think 30.35 is the peak and that’s closer to perfection than suppression

Is the system out by 7am? Or still on going? .