All Activity
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
Nibor replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
I’m not gonna lie, because of how knowledgeable you are when I read that first line and for a half second I thought you were confirming the NAM was run on a windows 95 computer. -
Definite got colder,CF is already trough Tn per RAOBS
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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
MillvilleWx replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
I still have 10-12” for the northwest crew using the internal snow ratio calculation the RRFS uses if it’s any consolation. The crazy thing was how far the warm nose blasted in PA. That was wild. Freezing rain all the way past the turnpike -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
paweather replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Let’s see what the GFS says -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
ILSNOW replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
This is supposed to replace the NAM (what is it smoking) -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
eduggs replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
But haven't we heard this dozens of times before marginal events?... but it's almost always correct with mix lines being further north than the consensus of other guidance. -
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You know it's interesting, the NAM run was looking colder and slightly better at all levels during the early part of the run when it's in its prime range but then kind of fell apart later in the run in ways that didn't make sense. I'm not buying it and think by 12z tomorrow it mostly looks like the others. We hope. -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
DDweatherman replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
We made great progress at 12z and I liked the nams through 36. Let’s see what the jv models have vs the middle school model set. -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
Ji replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’ve used that model a couple times so my first thought was this is no way ready for the big leagues It needs to go back to AA ball for a year -
Noting a hint of concern among members.
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3k was pretty amped too.
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January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
18z NAM -
FWIW...I think the 3K NAM has this nailed.
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
NJwx85 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
That NAM run wasn’t great but we’re still 36hrs out and things are going to continue to fluctuate. Any further North and there’s going to be some serious ZR issues for Southern parts of the area. Even as is, the NAM has about a 30 mile swath of 0.10 to 0.20 more or less over 95 with closer to a half inch South of Philly and into DC. -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
mattinpa replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
The NAM looked similar for a while and then maybe showed its range. I remember it before some big storms it scared people. Just have to let the runs play out. -
“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
Damage In Tolland replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
It’s usually correct too which is a concern -
“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
I’m more disappointed that it looks worse with the coastal portion Monday. Thats probably the difference between 12” and 18” -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
psuhoffman replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
problem is that's it...the warm layer has blasted all the way into PA by then...so pretty much we all end up with 6-7" which is fine for DC but for places NW of 95 it took away 6" of snow from the last run that had 10-12" in places -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
NorthArlington101 replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Texas 2026 Discussion/Observations
DFWWeather replied to Stx_Thunder's topic in Central/Western States
Very interesting read on afternoon AFD from FWD, discussing thunder sleet. -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
NEG NAO replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
NAM is a warning to stay up later Sunday night and remove the accumulated snow from your driveway and sidewalks before the sleetfest and or freezing rain starts. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
primary once again trying to stick its nose where it doesnt belong -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
Ji replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
As long as I get any color not in blue. I’m good. -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
jm1220 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
I’m not very concerned about it on its own but there’s definitely still time for late north bumps. The confluence needs to hold to force it south. We’re also definitely getting sleet at least up to I-80 and maybe even up to the CT coast eventually, it’s just a matter of how big the initial thump is and how long it can hold back the sleet line.
