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-1F here in the valley in E CT.

All the ops this morning favor a cutter but we haven’t seen a cutter in quite some time. The precip distribution on the GEFS looks favorable for us around 10 days, heaviest just south of us/over us. EPS also doesn’t look very cutter like.

3F for the low, Feb. 5th already!

Additional snow moving into the Winston-Salem area

We have nearly half an inch at my house 27 with light snow currently.

Yeah that band setup just to the south of me here in Rocky Mount Virginia. We managed to get 2 inches out of it which is a win. Just to my south in Henry County heard of reports of stranded motorist and over 4 inches in accumulation.

zzzzzzzz rainer and another miss east, not my bag

This. GFS, EURO, CMC and their ensembles are now all showing a potential storm Feb 14th-16th. That’s the only thing to conclude. Trying to figure out where the rain/snow line, totals, etc will be 9-10 days out is unwise. That convo starts to make more sense like 2-3 days out.

Similar on this end. Major changes regarding work and my company happening... and the stress level is off the charts.

Snowy

wild again at 6z

Ended up with around a coating. Northern part of our county is where the band set up. Gretna got 3-4".

26 degrees with light snow.

A lot of ice out this morning.

Yesterday I drove from Winchester to Greensboro and the entire drive was snow covered it was pretty cool to see. Greensboro got about 10" from the storm but it was melting off pretty fast but still a good amount in some yards. Cold winter

NDJ 25-26 RONI: -1.0 January 2026 PDO: -1.19 (73rd straight negative month)

There's no question that the PNA+ regime is ending. The ECMWF weeklies keep the PNA negative through the duration of their forecast period.

There’s a very sharp trough associated with this clipper that looks like it will pass through early Saturday morning. Might be the arctic front? Guidance has snow associated with it upstream of us, very squally looking. But the mountains mostly kill it. 6z hrrr is the first run I’ve seen that gets some into the metro area. That may be worth watching.

Thing is we have had several below average months in a row. At some point, it's got to regress to the mean. If I were betting on this, seasonal mid-February, warm March, and torch April is the way to go. Just look at 2015. The bottom fell out of the thermometer in February, March was below average (mostly due to the first week), but things turned warmer in April, and May was near record warm.

Still looking like the coldest temps/winds will be west of CRV; still cold here.

The mid week one is the event next week

Snowing in Hickory! Dusting to a quarter inch on the deck right now.

GFS still has it and a solid event at that