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Funny the Florida example should come up. U-Haul just came out with their annual migration index the other day: https://www.uhaul.com/About/Migration/ Florida is the #2 growth state, with 8 of the top 10 and 12 of the top 25 growth metros. Lots of people committing suicide, I guess. (in case anyone's wondering - California is the lowest state.)

Meant after the cutter Ray referenced

All this year events were shredded by the time the reached RI. I looked thru all your historical snows over 12 inches and there isn't many standing wave issues. Also seasonal shows exactly what influence the big pond has. Western CT has buffer.

Had 20" of 9:1 cold sand at single digits from that storm, one of only 4 events (27 winters) to meet blizzard conditions here in the sheltered woods. Unfortunately, I never saw a flake at home - was with family in SNJ, where the forecast 12-16" verified at 1.5", all of which was gone 4 hours from final flakes. 3rd of 4 times that winter that warned storms verified at 1/8 (or less) of the low end of the forecast range. Got to shovel it all, however, getting home about 12 hours after it ended.

Poor ball spacing

We tend to suck a lot nowadays

It's always nice foreseeing a January 2011 redux en route when most of SNE is single digits in mid January with nothing imminent.

Not a bad mean if you ask me

Maybe Marco Sturm can transition practices outside and teach the Bruins how to play defense and punish them by making them stand outside in Arctic air at a clip of 30 minutes for each penalty they commit during a game

It is always a ball reading the doom and gloom posts during the Jan thaw as we enter the best period of the winter for climo snow. You know who you are.

it doesn't even go that far

Now that was a cool 12z suite.

What are you smoking?

Zero snow here

For anyone keeping model-score, the UK is very unsupportive of a Thurs-Fri snowstorm at the end of its run. It looks even worse than the GFS.

Euro Ensembles Tony?

Toboggans on a 2” glacier in Moosup.

At the time it was the model suite that was out, but the other guidance showed that too. At least the 12z euro looked better today. It would just be nice to get multiple model runs showing something more favorable instead of a random set of guidance here or there doing it and then going back to ass. Let’s just stabilize something good for once.

I hear that train way way off in the distance... some good vibes coming in on the 12z.

Jan 94 Gardiner, Maine 26 3 -16 T T 25 27 11 -21 T T 25 28 45 -1 1.61 2.5 24 29 41 18 .01 21 30 18 0 21 31 15 -10 21

Great, pond hockey on my driveway after the next cutter.

Thats the marine layer or coastal front. ERI is very susceptible to sleet and poor snowgrowth. Other than March 18 that is the reason you see drop off

@40/70 Benchmark getting back to the end of last weeks discussion regarding that fast flow stuff...I retract what I had stated and I will also add that anything blaming fast flow is also voodoo...to a degree

100% probably one of the better model suites of the winter thus far. Bottom line: there's potential next week, but no one should be spiking the ball. I fully expect swings with each run, hoping to at least see a trend at 18z where things are still there.

I think what a lot of people here forget that you need everything to come together perfectly to get a big snowstorm for the coastal corridor. Cold air in place, storm diving down to the gulf of mexico, picking up moisture, coming up the coast. Or energy from Canada merging with a coastal system to throw snow back in to the big cities (eg Miller A or Miller B systems) It is not easy to get all the pieces in place for a 12"+ system. More likely we are going to get clipper type systems with light amounts, or that might get energized a bit as they approach the coast to give us systems that give us 2" - 8" of snow. Not to mention that all of the models have greater degree of error the further out they try to predict. You get a model showing a huge coastal system on one run, and on the next it is suppressed way to the south.