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That's +PNA/-NAO...don't mistake the blue shading out west in association with an immense PAC jet as RNA....look at the height lines..see how they have a gentle WNW - ESE slope? That is a subtle +PNA.

I just know how you closely follow all of DT stuff

This first week of September?

Not him...you are obsessed with DT. Joe Karnik

Tell Dick Tolleris he is incorrect

Just waiting to see how much rain we get today. Currently 62 degrees River is still a mess.

Hoping get enough clearing tonight to see the lunar eclipse. Last decent one till 2029.

Had some heavy rains albeit brief in Newark on the turnpike. Had double rainbow entire drive down to red bank.

Guy I trust said after the first week of September.

Looks like Septorcher to start. Where are all the blues and fall weather?

Was never expected there really.

I'm so excited to be in a marginal risk I can hardly contain myself.

Yea, the outlook overall was garbage, though...I misinterpreted the El Nino adjoining the west-warm pool as more of a Modoki influence, rather than MC, which is what it was. I learned so much from that bust, and from Chris.

That is just to my west. I can hear the thunder every few seconds. Good storm for that area

Satellite OISST (through August) has risen to a new peak, 0.08C warmer than the previous peak in September 2023. So far, the nino spike this year is very similar in magnitude to the 2023 spike. Both larger and faster than previous El Nino.

Morning commute at the Hoboken Train Station.

The numbers show that we didn’t get the cooler developing super El Niño summer that was common in the past. We were significantly warmer than 2023. It was also warmer than 2015 which also didn’t have the extreme 100°+ heat that we had from May into mid-July. Most of the years you cited were the summers which followed the El Niño events and not before. The entire CONUS was too warm to allow a cooler summer here like 1972, 1982, and 1997.

Min 56.8° Getting into fog season now with the cooler days, longer nights, and lingering dews.

Let’s see how today can fail around this area .

Raining now with a nice line of storms moving into western nj

The size of this boulder being moved is unreal, never seen anything like this event and it's probably small potatoes compared to what is coming

The trend is improving in the high terrain of Western Mass. Lets see if we can get some real convection going today.

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 306 AM EDT Thu Aug 27 2026 PAZ006-012-018-019-025>028-034>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056-057- 063>065-280715- Potter-Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Blair- Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga- Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union- Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Cumberland- Adams-York- 306 AM EDT Thu Aug 27 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening. Damaging wind gusts 60 mph or greater, hail, and a tornado may accompany these storms. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather. $$ Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 306 AM EDT Thu Aug 27 2026 PAZ058-059-066-280715- Schuylkill-Lebanon-Lancaster- 306 AM EDT Thu Aug 27 2026 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening. Damaging wind gusts 60 mph or greater, hail, and a tornado may accompany these storms. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather. $$ MRS