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  2. https://x.com/nynjpaweather/status/2020265182199501284?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  3. Yeah, the further out in time we go the lower the chance we have with that pattern establishing and flexing.
  4. need a salary check on Greyhat
  5. Always! LOL! The area has a million ways to screw up a good-looking snowstorm pattern or even an event! I am always negative on this stuff. Sadly, the warm air seems to find its way in, even when models say it won't! I play "Debbie Downer" too many times. I also need to not share that too often.. because the region is not always easy to snow... but it can!
  6. I see the 18z EPS AI is coming out now but why does it show on Pivital 18z (Plus)?
  7. I hope we get a -40° Celsius and a -40° Fahrenheit. One of the same.
  8. You’d generally need a N or NNW wind. NYC doesn’t radiate very well.
  9. I really am hoping Wednesday is just plain rain. We need to wash all this salt off roads and parking lots.
  10. The ICON would also work..ends with a norlun swinging down from gulf of maine as the storm departs
  11. I greatly respect your opinion, and appreciate your matter of fact tone and expertise. Thank you. If I understand you correctly, seeing the PNA go to -3 to -4 standard deviation makes it really tough for us to be cold enough for snow. My hope is that some of the members that are less extreme win out over the next week or it takes a little longer to tank that low; or as others pointed out other indices blunt its effect to some degree. We will find out soon enough! Best.
  12. I don’t see why some areas around the city and LI don’t fall below 0 tonight. Temps are plummeting and it’s only 7pm.
  13. 3º currently. Winds have been cranking all day, this morning was nuts. Looking forward to the mid 30's next week.
  14. How low do you think we'll go? If we had zero wind, maybe we'd get to 0.
  15. 18z Euro AI with a big Winter Storm next weekend.
  16. Okay, thank you, I understand the snow weenies. I was always told to be up front with the good, bad, and the ugly. I appreciate what you stated. FYI, I do like snow as much as anyone else. It seems we are in a very volatile weather period.
  17. I hope you’re wrong, you definitely know way more than me. Just a fair warning though, I’m going to troll the shit out of you if either one is snow.
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