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someone way smarter than me should make a board approved weenie model blend

Freehold, NJ is my guess. I worry about the beach towns getting started later with accumulating snows when winds turn from off the water to the north as air temps are much warmer with this storm. I think central NJ does best and starts cutting dramatically NW. I feel my area of the Lehigh Valley is 6-10”.

I think most the accumulation doesn’t come to after 3pm no matter what anyways. If we can get anything during the day that will just help boost totals.

If you're going to go fishing for feedback on your gambling project can you take it to DMs please?

Winds are cranking up here on the plateau. Cold air rushing in.

Im guessing what was it Juno where it was a complete whiff still gives them nightmares. This looks a little bit more of a slam dunk imo.

And I’m not trying to pigpile on the hires stuff. I think they have a purpose and are good in some areas. But too often they seem to start getting synoptically off when you start getting past 12hr.

Rap similar as Hrrr and with mby.

My temp is dropping steadily 37.4 in line with the nam

NAM and HRRR had us at 40-ish degrees at this time tonight. its only 35 here

Yes

Latest NBM v5 that Don referenced...still a bit high IMHO

NYC: 19.4" LGA: 22.0" JFK: 22.7" ISP: 27.4" EWR: 21.3

Sometimes statements like this I can't tell if it's a weenisim or a legit thing, lol

35.8/31.4

Accordion my to the snow contest totals, BWI can't get more than 13" of additional snow this season. Sorry, that's just how it shakes out.

tony u think my bet is a lock? i need 13.9 inches of snow for central park for the remainder of February?

under a weenie band right now .. starting to pick up

I don't know about getting 6" man...these runs have Baltimore barely at warning level and we need to get lucky with that IVT and get rates and that's a proposition we've lost on many times. We are fortunate to be in the game at all this late in a nina February. BUT...to your other point about the epic glacier? YES. That to me is looking to be the pinnacle of the winter unless something crazy happens tomorrow. That was truly remarkable...a 6.5 inch snowfall paralyzed the city for a week as if it were two feet. Bulldozers required. That is already a HUGE bonus for a Nina. I do need to remember that!

Hrrr is toasty. 37 for a high imby tomorrow. Probably white rain for a time.

More like anything past 0hr. I’m not the only one here that feels that way too. I know Will goes on SREFs rants because they pulled the spectral RSMs out for the ARWs.

That’s what I was thinking with its counter clockwise circulation

HRRR has a known warm bias

LOL!! I am way too west for this one!!