All Activity

1 of 2 derechos that day. The 2nd one hit our area

July 22, 2011 had high end heat. A lot of records that day, including EWR's all-time high of 108.

What I can tell you based on what has been happening for the past decade is that the error is likely to be guidance underestimating the scope and magnitude of that Canadian ridge, so it's probably safe to assume that the greater heights will extend further to the south and east than most guidance suggests.....which combined with the poor read on the Pacific makes me very suspicious of that trend to shove the lower heights northward on the CANSIPS. This isn't me saying awful winter....I don't think, or want that to be the case, but that doesn't mean that I'm going to don my Frosty the Snowman boxers every time that I post.

several tornado warnings in NY/PA today

While we’re setting the O/U on audible thunder at 0.5

Labor Day 1998 https://www.cnyhistory.org/2014/09/labor-day-storm-1998/

I think Wx Twitter is going in circles because this will be the last Atlantic TC we see in a while.

I don't know Wall, so I'll take your word for it. I think most on this board would agree that my only agenda is getting the forecast correct, and placing much stock into a model with such a poor initialization of the Pacific basin, both ENSO and extra tropical, gives me significant pause before seriously considering it's output. This isn't about CC, or how well the model did last year....it's about the fact that it has such an obviously poor read on the Pacific.

Don’t look at western NY

It’s funny how bad we are at convection.

BGM didn’t even hit 70 today. So that kills Kevin’s argument.

What a line and reactivity gradient. Holy smokes

That’s not true I just explained why. They had storms in a WAA pattern despite SE winds. Now stein.

Good lightning show to my north.

.76 rain today.

Here too, thought we were headed to dusk.

I cannot believe all those folks around the league were wrong about Albernaz...and that this isn't growing pains. I mean he was quite sought after the previous off-season, and highly spoken of! I'm skeptical of the notion he'll never get better. He could very well be a great manager elsewhere if he gets fired here. But no matter how you slice it--getting fired after your rookie season with no chance to grow is humiliating to say the least. Gonna be interesting to see what happens.

Impressive event in upstate NY and PA for sure.

79/62 today. Very nice day. Increasing rain chances coming up with a Lake breeze. Hopefully will do well in the precip dept.

Binghamton is gonna gust 75+

The N Atlantic kills us 9 times out of 10. Especially east of River

Yep but isn't supposed to be as strong as it is now out there. That said, we'll know for sure overnight.

Some 70+ mph velocities in that bowing line near Ithaca. Oof.

Have you tried this app? Seems pretty accurate to me and it's free. My buddy lives a little north of Canadensis just over the Pike County line. He's at 1836 feet. Amazing difference in weather at that elevation. He's often in the clouds when the deck is low and always a good 4-6 degrees cooler than at the bottom of the hill.

The shear should slide East.