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  2. hrrr has continued to trend north EVERY run without fail. surely this means something lmao
  3. Yes it did . It used to be Dec and Jan . Now if we get a few good weeks we’re lucky
  4. Good trends! Also, I’m signing the petition for Zwyts to be here. And where is @mattie g???
  5. Noise. There is literally no difference. Okay a tenth less here lol. If it wasn't such a minuscule amount of snow it would considered to be no difference.
  6. Yes indeed...I just feel like a combo of temps almost always failing to get as cold as predicted, an ongoing breeze plus cloud cover coming in later will cap it. I was going to say 19...we'll see!
  7. When you have multiple IPA’s…that’s when.
  8. Probably redundant (and if so mods may delete this) but the 22z HRRR is a significant shift north, and it is still snowing at the runs end. Likely would amount to 2-2.5" in DC.
  9. In all seriousness, snow ratios are very difficult to predict with the kind of accuracy we want. Your point about lift being displaced from the DGZ is a good one and probably worth not getting too hopeful of >10:1. But even if we don’t have beautiful dendrites, we should have plates and those are usually 10:1 or so. Needles are the danger zone…those accumulate like sand. Often 5-6:1.
  10. CTP has the forecast low at 14 tonight for MDT. The remaining snow cover could help the temps to bottom out. Current dew point is 13 at MDT.
  11. How and when were January and February ever not the top two? Outside of random years I guess
  12. No. It didn’t. Just look at the normals. But it has at times-Like this year. We take.
  13. Ya them and Alabama and New Orleans too…foot plus with blizzard conditions right on the beaches…and also 40 miles or so off shore into the gulf.
  14. 18z Euro is relatively unchanged DC and points north, but totals are slightly less DC south
  15. Every year it used to happen . December used to be 2nd best winter month . For many , many years
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