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For GA and midland SC folks, yeh, freaking is justified. That’s a monster CAD and we know how those hold on for dear life. For us in NC, I really think there is enough power in that CAD that we’ll get the heavy bulk as Sleetmaggedon 2026, especially 64 north. Charlotte….wtf knows although I’d lean sleet there as well for 75-80% of it. .

This is absolutely false and useless comment. We’ve had many and they’ve been great. At least on the island.

GFS trying to catch up with the Euro temps

Inches of sleet on top of snow would absolutely suck. But CMC ain't a good model

Been here long enough to know. Blend the GFS/Euro and you can probably have your answers for in your backyard. It’s really not rocket science. And thank god! I failed RS101.

That was next level. All of his momentum going the other way from deep in the slot and no screen.

CMC isn't my favorite model but it's still a potential solution. One thing the CMC and rgem were consistently over amplified in past years at this range.

Hopefully puts a dent in the droughts throughout the Midsouth & SE.

It can definitely overamp but the possibility of some sleet is real. Still should be a good front end regardless.

0z GEM might have ticked one county north... pretty much the same look as 0z. Steady. Icy.

Nasty shot. Hope to have 6”+ by Sunday at 6p for the pens cancuks game. Looking good right now. I’ll take a warning level event, though I kinda want more. Just want to see that pink shaded graphic over the region for WSW.

It caught on to the NW trend quickly but so did all the other models, I think just overdid it a hair. I wouldn’t say it won this storm when pretty much all the other models caught on to it, too. Also, I wouldn’t say any model won until we know the final solution .

I’m not counting on it, but I’ve seen models shift collectively this close to an event both favorably and unfavorably. Sometimes those shifts are pretty significant. It’ll be interesting to see if better data makes a noticeable difference in the evolution of this storm.

Long duration events never usually work out for us

Fair enough. Sent from my MNP1095 using Tapatalk

Nothing like a sleet storm with 45 mph winds. LFGGGG

It's more sleet than snow or at least close to 50/50 and the east end does look like it flips to rain at the end.

CMC at 90 has 1003 primary slightly n of 12z and is in southern ohio. warm nose is there

The certainly will add more definition to the banding aspects of the storm, but even those can shift around up to the immediate term. HRRR can be useful inside 8 hrs and check how it is handling the situation. I’m waiting to see the thermals on the NAM Nest for this one. That is the model that should help pin point advancement of the warm layers and everything. CAMs will be helpful, but we are a ways from that. For now, putting a lot of stock in EC, ECENS, AIFS, NBM, and some GFS/CMC mixed in.

00z CMC total qpf near DCA was 2" lol

Anyone with the parallel Canadian, please post. Thank you!

Even though the 00z GFS had some sleet (not much) it still absolutely dumped us. Some sleet is not game over for DC/NOVA/MD.

No way. It’s all frozen. A long duration sleet storm will also be cool. Nothing shows rain which is nice.

This is a tough one to watch go but it sure looks like a trend to end in significant rain up the valley, not sure anyone east tn will have snow to show by the end.

GFS LP drops 22mb in 24 hours. Only a wee bit shy of a bomb, and with that big high over Quebec, there would be some wind.