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I said yesterday I thought the midweek system is likely somewhere between the bombs shown on the GFS and the relatively light Euro/GEM runs. I don’t see anything yet to sway me from that….

It's not great to have the key shortwave missing or in an unfavorable location on the ICON and GDPS... and also the short range NAM and RDPS. Even by 72 hours it's clearly missing... that's approaching short term modeling range.

True,thats a uptick even since the 12z,not much but something is better than nothing..lol

Back at uva for the rest of my tracking so I’ll get to do analysis on the big screen

Wind with the squall is nuts starting to accumulate

Dec 2017 ish

For what

This is the 4th day of 40+… Been a long time…

Ground caved. Took about two minutes. I've never seen it so so hard so quickly.

DEATH SQUALL

40° and windy with steady flurries here NW of Staunton in Augusta County.

It's snowing here right now

Nice snow squall coming through now

Lol yup. It's a massive cutter with rain to Hudson Bay now. Who knows what the next run will show.

Wait, we lost our 384 hr HECS?

It doesn’t hurt Brett..I honestly dont know what you’re trying to accomplish? It’s weather. It doesn’t alway do what we want, or hope for. And if you’re insisting that it’s flying by, we still have much more in front of us, than behind us. But whatever…it guess it doesn’t matter when one has your outlook on things. It’s snowing heavily in N. Maine currently, and they are under a winter storm warning. I’ll be heading up north end of the week, so it’s all good for me in that regard. Enjoy whatever happens with this.

It’s a light event. It’s fine

We are getting another snow shower in between breaks in the clouds. No accumulations and frankly I was a bit surprised that we would see snow today down to the Valley floor. Cataloochee is snowing and the snow guns are blowing! It should be a great week ahead for the ski areas with lots of opportunities to build back the snow pack!

The end of the gfs run looks a little different this run lol. Definitely moved away from the euro.

50/50

so you are a believer ?

This is the 15z NBM. It has definitely bump-ed up over the past 24 hours. The trend is our friend.

Looking a lot better to be in Tenn and Kentucky, which is good. They never see snow. Has to be decades at this point!

Gefs look good