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  2. Swinging for another storm next weekend and it is miss on tonight OZ runs. by 200 miles
  3. 100% OK with that run. We get smoked one run, we whiff well south and east on another…yeah, that works for now.
  4. At this point bring whatever we can get! Keep the Frz rain and power outages outta here we do not need that with the cold coming.
  5. It’s a wall of precip moving north.. with easterly low level flow.
  6. I'm done with every model. I'm just gonna watch the birds and see what they do.
  7. Did they recently update? I saw they gave us a WWA though, down from Ice Storm warning. Hopefully that means less ice than expected. I feel like yesterday the short range models had us almost immediately going over to sleet, now it looks like our area will get at least some light snow tomorrow afternoon. Maybe get on the board for the season on accumulations
  8. Looks like they were added at around 8pm
  9. It was just strange that all the other models were higher and this was the lowest.... But I wasn't aware it was very conservative. Thanks for explaining
  10. Precip starts around 7:00 am in NYC and earlier in Philly and picks up rapidly pretty fast. Yes especially driving toward Philly will be crazy by 10:00 AM.
  11. Seems like multiple studies disagree with each other. One I read/skimmed said that if we have a freezing layer of 3000+ feet below the elevated warm layer it’ll refreeze to sleet regardless. Just such an extreme setup to where it all breaks down.
  12. GFS is the kicker for the Bills next weekend... Wide Right Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk
  13. Hopefully you're right. I highly doubt we jackpot around here in this type of system, I can definitely see it for I-84 corridor to Boston.
  14. Umm cmc backed off though southern sections nodding to Nam
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