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  2. Watch it be a record breaker. 450" season right on snow camp or bust. Barns Corner is going to have a hot hand this season. LFG!
  3. If we can get any cold air, those images would verify imo this winter
  4. We had a storm roll thru between 4:30 and 5 pm, about 1/3" of rain and some small hail, and a 27 mph gust. LOTS of thunder and lightning though.
  5. Certain areas have improved,but not all areas have been as lucky. Hopefully, the Fall and Winter months will be much above normal precip helping to replenish the water tables and eliminating the drought.
  6. How is the niño looking right now? Still east based or becoming more basin wide?
  7. @dailylurker and I rented a cabin close to the apex of the Tug Hill from December - February. Elevation will be critical, even in upstate NY so hedging our bets for the winter - my hope is we will be buried from start to finish.
  8. A look at Greenland. Was checking out the mass changes, and it looks like the rate of loss has slowed a little since 2013. 2002-2012 had a loss that contributed ~8.5mm (0.33") of sea level rise. From 2013-2025 it slowed to ~6mm (0.24"). Also put together a yearly SMB since 2012. Just an interesting tidbit.
  9. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  10. I imagine the last Drought Monitor update of August will have widespread “abnormally dry”
  11. Today
  12. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  13. Congrats Springfield https://x.com/wx1box/status/2086558352494993657?s=46
  14. Got another typical thunderstorm here 0.03 But kind of glad we missed this one... 0.60 for the month However there was a lot of wind here... Seeing reports in the Stuarts Draft area south of Waynesboro where they have had good rains recently - of signifcant wind damage to trees and power lines including trailers at the Hershey plant being blown over...
  15. Looks like an attempt at a seabreeze on radar pushing north around Sunrise Highway.
  16. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  17. Dew point today mostly mid upper 60's... High temp still up to 93°.
  18. Either these models are on to something or we are gonna get the old oakie doak on November runs
  19. Nice storm but nothing noteworthy. Got plenty of needed rain and good boomers.
  20. Forcing myself to sit outside in this shit. I’m now sitting in a pool of my own ass sweat. Who the fuck likes this?
  21. Not to be a downer or anything but is it possible/likely that the models that show the favorable Feb/Mar pattern are just falling back on what a normal El Niño would generally do? This is not a normal El Niño. I think @bluewave has touched on this in seasons past about how seasonal models are susceptible to this? Just worried for something like Feb 2024 to happen.
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