All Activity

Lock it in but I know we cannot be that lucky... 32F

I’ve liked this signal for like a week now. Trends overall continue to be good for many. Let’s bring it home.

Yeah both CMC models are pretty far north with the surface relection. I’d probably toss the gfs for now on a possible part deux unless the euro comes in south of ART.

Canadian way north but did come south.

Gfs showing a cold rain for Christmas Day. Bleh.

IMO it is still too early to say if this is accurate or not - the last storm over performed in many areas - this will end up being a nowcasting event just like the last one.......

Still no power. Almost 24 hours.

Yeah tough run up there. ICON and euro still want that more north. Goofus took that surface low from like BUF to way south of ACK so the trough set up way south. Most of the models have been taking it from ART to off the coast of BVY which would be better for you and me.

We take OP GFS

The big winds were in with the rains . In CT anyway. All those 60-75mph gusts were where it was raining

We toss

Op and AI gfs crank that inverted trough for E NH/M

We take gfs

Gfs

Gfs is nice for NYC north Still snowing in sne

And it was like 70 a day or two after that snow. There's pics of us playing in short sleeves with snow piles in the background

One thing I’ll say about the upcoming torch is that all will be forgotten and forgiven when there’s a band of 6-10” from ATL to Va beach and everywhere in between in mid January followed by single digits and then snow showers the next day

I've not seen us get snow this far south with a clipper that far north that I remember. But its sort of a case of perfect timing here where it comes in after a fairly cold airmass is on its way out so you get overrunning snows. Its somewhat similar to 12/27/84 though that was more just a mid or upper level wave inducing overrunning snows than it was a clipper/warm front feature. It shows you how snow is often more luck than anything else and how in -PNA patterns it is easier for us to get lucky than +PNA ones where its more often boom or bust nowadays.

RRFS congrats NYC lol. Would not trust it at this range though

The goal is to cover the grass.

RRFS is ridiculously south. Probably can toss that. I have not looked at it much past 48 but it seems less wacky and ugly overall than the NAM does beyond that period most of the time so I guess good news there as far as improvement with the new model

Yeah. I definitely showed my age. I'm off to the mall to buy my mom a new house phone for her landline lol

Def not a big storm. Just enough to give a picturesque look for most on here seems likely.

lol Christmas shopping. I do that sitting on my arse in front of the computer with a bourbon.

NAO and AO look good at the end of this month. Thats our next threat.