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There are exceptions to that train of thought, the most extreme one that came to mind was the blizzard of 1888. It was unseasonably mild and raining just before that event.

Likely first MEH of the year for us. Woooooooo storms!

There were a handful of storms that were really brutal and that was one of them. A good friend of mine in Manchester was buried under 20 inches and didn't believe that the roads were wet with some slush on the grass. Pretty sure my old stomping grounds in Bristol had a foot. It wasn't that far east of us amounts sky rocketed. We did have some accumulating snow mostly on grassy surfaces the overnight prior but much of that melted during the day. It was strictly a downsloping issue for us and I don't know what was going on in poor Rhode Island. Lower elevations east and to some extent west were destroyed. It be cool someday to experience a storm like that.

No clouds in southern half of sky ensures the sun’s path will yield unobstructed sunshine today.

SPC opens Day 3 severe bidding with SLGT risk i81 corridor west and MRGL for the rest of us

Fastest pack wipe incoming, since I’ve been here. What a stretch to prep for spring.

Some can’t handle it

I mean just hug the 12k while completely glossing over the 3k

Not saying winter is over. We still have another window. However add another myth debunked to the list: Debunked: We no longer see benchmark storm tracks. Added to the following Debunked myths: Western pacific ocean temps mean constant MJO 456 phases. NAO always connecting to the SE ridge. Ocean temps mean the SE ridge is unstoppable. Fast flow is now unstoppable. Clippers are extinct.

2nd severe threat of the very young season already:

Man now that the warm season is here for 20+ months since next winter will torch, what will everyone do?

Tomorrow will be especially NoP

Tomorrow

That's not what I said so don't "yup" me... haha. I said the NAM may not be right about the magnitude. I also said the NAM could be wrong about the absolute wind direction - if it's more 240 than indirect cooling is likelier confined to SE zones. The NAM is right to cool the air mass that passes over the Bite water region NE of Jersey, in general

First sunny morning since the cold spell ended in Mid February. Reminds me of California. Cloudy everyday until around 11.

I admit that yesterday was exceptionally nice to be outdoors. And it was obvious judging by the throngs of people on local trails that many, many people were feeling the same way. Having said that, I'm sorry but I found nothing brutal about this winter. I enjoyed every single bitterly cold day we had and I won't apologize for it.

Temps leading up to it have no effect - and ground temps adapt fast to any cold air present at the time the precip is falling - we have had accumulations on the ground in October - I think you know this but are just trying to cause confrontations here along with a couple others- but I am going to keep the conversation professional

Yup today will be the warmest day

Oh, hey! The sun! In fallston! first time in a week! Even yesterday which finally got warm, was fully cloudy up here. Welcome, sun!

Ended up with a very satisfying .89" for yesterday. Low of 59. House cooled down nicely. AC still off.

Even though there's still opportunities for snow still to come for the next 40 days or so, Winter is basically on life support now. Spring is trying to takeover. And we should all welcome it after those brutal temps we all experienced for 3 months.

In principle the NAM isn't wrong there. It may not be correct about the degree/offset, but if the wind is well mixing and actively SSW across the area ... that's sourced from the very cold Bite waters. It's a matter of how much. If the vector's more 240 it'll be confined to SE zones.

AC will be humming this afternoon. Got up to 71 in the house yesterday and I'm not down with that nonsense again today.

Well there's at least 2 that I've never once seen "waffle" - doesn't mean they're right but I think you're being a little too dismissive just because they don't fit your narrative.

MAV nailed the 20s ... I was doubting that but nice job there Equally handsome could be the recovery ... if so, one of if not the greatest of the year. possible 40 F +