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Amazing day!!! Really wish I could post videos here it was wild!!! Lots a leaves and branches down.. camera sucks but these flakes were massive.. I might try to post a couple videos on YouTube tomorrow!!

Based on the past after strong -SOI periods, 3.4 SSTs tend to start warming ~10-24 days after the start of these periods. The last 20 days have averaged way down at -18 (and it hasn’t yet shown it is ending soon). Thus I’m expecting 3.4 to resume good warming at almost anytime after the last 2 weeks of little change. Plus the models have strong warming resuming in June. Thus I expect 3.4 to be several 10ths warmer by a week from now.

Absolutely. Now they've gone and ruined the America is Back celebration.

More active pattern as we near mid-June possibly.

Still haven't had a thunderstorm here this year, unless I missed one. 2023 it wasn't until June 24th. Over the last few years/decades, our storm season has moved away from Spring, and more into Summer.

Legit Strong Nino going 30 May 2026 1012.24 1014.15 -26.33 -13.17 -5.29 29 May 2026 1011.31 1014.15 -33.46 -12.63 -4.77 28 May 2026 1012.81 1014.30 -23.11 Again, lowest 2-month SOI likely in 10 years. March's +7 really came back around. It had never been above +2.3 in March in a developing Strong+ Nino before, guess it didn't matter too much, except showing general SOI tendency to not really take off like SSTA, that has been present in the 2020s.

Beautiful day

It will turn warmer tomorrow after a chilly start where New York City will start with lows in the lower 50s adn many outlying areas will start in the 40s. Temperatures will return to the middle 70s. The first week of June will likely see temperatures average somewhat below normal to near normal. However very warm weather could arrive on Friday and then continue into the first weekend of June. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around May 20. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.72°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.83°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -26.33 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.174 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 63% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.3° (0.1° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Just got my power back 60 minutes ago and did check to weather.. Sunday is going south in the afternoon.... On par for the year.

Are we going to lose tomorrow afternoom now?

Clearly liberals caused this

I'm not too impressed with Ravens management. They give off the vibe like they are a special franchise and it's a pleasure to be playing for them. Not even trying to re-sign Keenan Mitchel and Likely, like they are going to develop 6th round picks/undrafted again no problem. Sign Lamar to $60 mill/yr, he's not going to accept less. He's not an idiot. The same as Dak Prescott.

Looks like the same for Mondays system. Went from 90% to 50% now.

It’s hard to read social media. The american education system is scarily bad.

He is far from a hypster. He was a well known TV meteorogloist here in NYC.

That is a really really rough look for the Atlantic and MDR especially. Stability/subsidence is going to be a massive issue in the tropical Atlantic this year.

Boom boom https://www.boston.com/news/local-news/2026/05/30/boom-heard-boston-massachusetts-social-media/?p1=hp_primary

Current SSTA.. Atlantic tripole, which is a few NS less per year, on average. East-based Nino is also for a weaker season than central or west based. The one going for the season is continued -PDO

I mean, Brandon Hyde could/should still be here. It wasn't his fault either. Look upstairs.

Just gotta ride it out now. This team has major flaws, so not sure another manager would make much of a difference.

How was Helsley overused? I mean, they did bring him in to be the closer, right? And I think people are kinda overselling the notion that a seasoned manager would've gotten a different result this season: Because it overlooks the roster the problems and what Hyde/Mansolino left behind. We would be at best .500...I am jot convinced it would've made that much of a difference.

I agree, but the 6am observer report has it in the obs and ground conditions too. So idk…

Gorgeous afternoon out there. 12z Euro still heavy with the Stein