All Activity

It just caved

Forky is saying a lot of sleet for NYC. Is is a likely scenario?

Early 2010's? Edit: Maybe 2013 or 2014?

Hi res was way NE

3K NAM spilts the forcing and NYC does very poor

Don't recall the last storm with heavy snow temps in the teens and wind chills around zero..

Hard to say where influences come from. Some could be inherent within one's self. For example,my affinity for bluegrass could have come from the Beverly Hillbillies or Andy Griffith. Check out the weather maps from the 1964 Rudolph the Red Nosed Reindeer. Isobars, pressure systems, almost subliminal. By 10 years old, I had my own Weather board.

Reggie went SW at 6z, Herpes is what you looked at which is erratic and unusable usually, but every blind squirrel

I don't see it happening, but I'd take 1-2" at this point

We seem to be trending towards a more traditional FRZ event. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

And having Reggie match it and H to the 3rd continue moving NE means it’s likely on the right path

We’re kind of on the edge of guidance getting us with the main event. Need another 50 miles

Yeah, it's pretty much always the case.

I didn’t mean this area. I meant farther SW in terms of sleet . I’ve gotten burned here so many times over the years . I used to always toss the NAM warm tongue.. and it was always right . By extension that pushes the snows much farther north east with this

Still looking good for Jan 5-12 give or take a couple of days. PNA and NAO ridges building out west towards end of all three dynamic model ensembles. They won’t pick up on discrete threats to track at this time. Smaller and moderate events often don’t show up until within 5 days. And Merry Christmas to all!

Still nice to have this even though it’s a mix mess… Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 213 AM EST Thu Dec 25 2025 PAZ004>006-011-012-018-019-026>028-035-036-045-049-050-056-057-059- 063>066-252100- /O.CON.KCTP.WS.A.0012.251226T1200Z-251227T1200Z/ Warren-McKean-Potter-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Northern Centre- Southern Centre-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin- Southern Clinton-Union-Snyder-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland- Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Lock Haven, Mifflintown, Emporium, Warren, Chambersburg, Renovo, Selinsgrove, Bradford, Mount Union, Newport, Lewistown, Lebanon, Carlisle, State College, Lancaster, Harrisburg, Philipsburg, Lewisburg, Gettysburg, Huntingdon, Coudersport, Hershey, York, and McConnellsburg 213 AM EST Thu Dec 25 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to two inches and ice accumulations up to one quarter of an inch possible. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From Friday morning through Saturday morning. * IMPACTS...Hazardous travel conditions are likely. Plan on slippery road conditions. Power outages and tree damage are possible due to the ice. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday morning and evening commutes.

This probably won't be figured out until tomorrow at this point. Merry Christmas everyone!

White Christmas here. It's been a few years. Merry Christmas all !

Merry Christmas everyone!

Consider me intrigued lol

You're so far from any level being even remotely close to freezing

Records: Highs: EWR: 69 (1964) NYC: 66 (2015) LGA: 64 (2015) JFK: 64 (2015) Lows: EWR: 0 (1980) NYC: -1 (1980) LGA: -1 (1980) JFK: 2 (1983) Historical: 1776: Thomas Jefferson noted that the first winter snow fell on December 20th, but did not last on the ground one day. Temperatures dropped to 30 degrees or colder on Christmas Day. That night, 22 inches of snow fell. From the 25th of December until March 6, 10 snow covered the ground, and some of them were deep. The first rain came on the 9th of March. In Frederick County, two feet of snow was recorded. 1872: Since records began back in 1887, Columbia, South Carolina, only a trace of snow has been reported on Christmas Day. Before records, 13-hour sleet, and snowstorm occurred in Columbia and surrounding areas. Credit goes to Cary Mock, a USC geography professor who specializes in historical weather research. 1909: A Christmas storm on December 24th through December 25th 12.3 inches of snow fell over the Boston, Massachusetts area.(Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1947: The Great NY Snow Storm that started on Christmas Day in 1947. The Great NY December 25-26 snowstorm of 26.4 inchesof Snow 1961: On December 24th through December 25th 10.0 plus inches of snow fell over the Boston, Massachusetts area. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1966 - A white Christmas was enjoyed by residents from North Carolina to New England in the wake of a major snowstorm. Even coastal Virginia was white. (David Ludlum) 1969: A major snowstorm struck the Mid-Atlantic into the northeast. Montpelier, VT recorded 39 inches of snow. 29.8 inches of snow fell in Burlington, VT, which was a single storm record for the state. Across the mid-Atlantic, Roanoke, VA reported 14.6 inches, Dulles Airport northwest of Washington, DC had 6 inches and National Airport reported 4.3 inches. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History ) 1980 - It was the coldest Christmas Day of modern record in the northeastern U.S. Temperatures as cold as 36 degrees below zero were reported in New York State, and as the sharp cold front swept southeastward the temperature at Boston MA plunged from 34 degrees to seven degrees below zero during the day. (David Ludlum) 1983 - It was the coldest Christmas Day of modern record for the central and eastern U.S. More than 125 cities reported record low temperatures for the date, and thirty-four of those cities reported all-time records for the month of December. The temperature plunged to one degree below zero at Huntsville AL, and dipped to 14 degrees at Galveston TX. Snow covered the ground from the Pacific Northwest through much of the Great Plains Region to the Northern Appalachains. (The National Weather Summary) 1987 - Residents of Tucson, AZ, awoke to a white Christmas for the first time in forty-seven years of records, as a winter storm blanketed the area with up to four inches of snow. While heavy rain inundated Arkansas, freezing rain was reported from northwest Texas to southwestern Missouri, with an inch of ice reported at Harrison AR. Unseasonably mild weather prevailed in the southeastern U.S. Seven cities reported record high temperatures for the date. For the second day in a row McAllen TX was the hot spot in the nation with an afternoon high of 91 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - A massive winter storm made for a very white Christmas in the western U.S. Las Vegas, NV, reported snow on the ground for the first time of record. Periods of snow over a five day period left several feet of new snow on the ground of ski areas in Colorado, with 68 inches reported at Wolf Creek Pass. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - It was a record cold Christmas Day for parts of the southeastern U.S. Morning lows of zero degrees at Wilmington, NC, and five degrees below zero at Jacksonville NC established all-time records for those two locations. Miami Beach FL equalled a December record established the previous morning with a low of 33 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1995: A Christmas storm on December 25th 11.0 inches of snow fell over the Boston, Massachusetts area the greatest on record for Christmas Day. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1996: Record Christmas cold. Missoula, MT got 14.6 inches of snow for the 24-hour period ending 3 p.m. on Christmas Day, the second highest one-day snowfall in the area since 1936. The snowfall was memorable as it broke the record for the most snow ever in any December with a week to go. Minneapolis set a record low for the date of -9, breaking the 1933 record of -6 and making it the coldest Christmas since records began over 100 years before. In Bismarck, ND, the mercury dipped to -10, breaking the 1892 record of -8. The temperature fell to -37 Wednesday in International Falls, MN. St. Cloud MN tied their record with -25 degrees and Glasgow MT set a record with -36 degrees. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 2001: Buffalo, NY was buried under 25.2 inches of snow in 24 the city's third greatest 24 hour snowfall on record. This record was exceeded only two days later. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History ) 2002: A major snowstorm moved up the east coast on Christmas Day, 2002. Widespread snowfalls of a foot or more occurred across much of central New York and northeast Pennsylvania, with amounts as high as 30 inches reported over the northwest slopes of the Catskills. 2003 - Heavy rains affected areas of southern California that were just recently ravaged by wildfires in October. The downpour produced flash flooding that resulted in mudslides, taking the lives of 15 people at area campgrounds in San Bernardino (AFP). 2004 - Snow fell on Christmas Day in Deep South Texas. Snow totaled 4.4 inches in Corpus Christi, making it the second White Christmas ever. Farther north, Victoria had their first white Christmas on record when 12.5 inches of snow fell. 2006 - Severe thunderstorms produced four tornadoes in Florida. Columbia, Pasco, Lake and Volusia counties were hardest-hit, including the Daytona Beach area. A tornado generated considerable damage on the campus of Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, delaying the start of the spring semester (Orlando Business Journal). 2010 - Up to 32 inches of snow and blizzard conditions affected parts of the eastern U.S. on December 25th�27th. A state of emergency was declared in North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey, Massachusetts, and Maine. In New York City, up to 24.5 inches of snow fell, effectively shutting down rail lines, major airports, and bus services. Thousands of flights were cancelled and stranded subway riders were forced to spend a night in unheated train cars. One person was reported killed in Maine due to the weather conditions. (NCDC)