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I knew playing let it snow 50 times yesterday would do the trick.

I agree with you. They are messy and can give us hellacious ice storms, but they usually roll in good and juiced.

You going to quote the follow up to that when I said NYC is likely to get more

That 3.5" marker over central MoCo is just about on top of where I live (Gaithersburg, near Laytonsville), I'll take that.

Rob = The Snow Natzi bahaha

Gonna be leaving Philly around 8 pm. We'lll se how that goes.

Maybe the models are showing this due to a new -NAO signal for CAD events, but I'm not sure.

I think we are good for a minimum of 2.5” honestly. Even the warmer solutions at the start come in super heavy and drop 2”+ in 3 hours. Getting excited.

Watching for an expansion of wwa west to cover Loudoun and Frederick counties

Should see advisories up to MA/CT border with afternoon package . Maybe even southern tiers of 4 MA counties

Great post from @wxmvpete

Sold

It’s a narrow band of frontogenesis. Sinking/subsidence just to the north. Another way to put it is the stronger the band, the worse the subsidence in areas just north of it. Have and have nots right across the sound. Not an exact forecast here but from a conceptual standpoint it’s a case where commack LI could see 6” and north haven CT, 1.5”. The modeling likely underdone on the gradient (delta).

Some signs it lingers near the coast too. @SouthCoastMAnight be a good spot for this. East of him may initially have boundary layer issues, but winds go light NW which is good trajectory for him.

No snow for you! I kid, I kid. Here's to a great game!

Slowing it down is prob actually good because it gives it time to buckle a bit…we don’t want it blowing up completely after our longitude. If it can be allowed to buckle a bit and blow up further west, then the warning-level goods could scrape the south coast and Cape

Hopefully we maximize the potential. With the earlier arrival of precip are we expected to get the heavier rates earlier?

Yes, from what we had the last few years…an inch more is “Much” now.

Hrrr really hammers the Cape and maybe parts of adjacent SE MA with legit fronto banding.

I would NOT be using this rationale to go lower. They will lose on that. Looks good for 99% snow.

NAM just kinda looked delayed, I thought it lost it at first lol

does he make these with Microsoft Paint .

I mean it should based on all the models coming in and even the 6z euro

12z 3km NAM kuchera snow .