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artificially heating up the oceans beginning in May is necessary.

This is why I can't wait for SST to heat up to 70+

wow, thats crazy. Glad though for you. A girl i coached in softball, her and her husband had a tree split their shed completely in half

Today Normal's EWR: 77 / 59 ; NYC: 76 / 60. Lows EWR 50 / NYC 53 with highs in the 74 - 77 range today puts daily departures in the -3 to -6 range. Looks like 80s through Sunday then the Ridge in the west and EC on the fringes of the ridge trough setting up into the GL/MW. It would be brief day or so of any heat getting into the area during the 6/9 - 6/15 period only but does appear to be overall above normal.

to be fair, I think it's more likely to get such a departure from average in the summer if you have a renegade closed off low and onshore flow with rain. Average temperatures mute the extremes, so they don't really show us extreme highs or extreme lows. As an example July 1993 which had our most extensive and extreme heatwave of my adult lifetime (July 1977 had an even more extreme one but I was only 3 years old lol), had a day with a high of 66 and a low of 62 on the 2nd, because of a big rainstorm with onshore flow and high winds. A week later the historic heatwave started.

Up to 68 clear skies - some smoke moving through CPA

66 and mostly sunny. Wouldn't mind running off a few more copies of today .

Hold on a sec Chris. You know I'm 100% with you regarding climate change and how it has affected global weather patterns. But on the local scale it's not as clear cut as that. Specifically with regards to using old analogs do you remember when all the mild predictions came out for 2010-11 as late as the middle of December? Just because it was a strong la nina? And then when we had unrelenting cold and snow we started looking at old analogs from the 1910s to find strong la ninas that were as cold and snowy as 2010-11 was?

I found something really interesting about JFK's heat record. JFK has hit 100+ 19 times (between 100-104) including two streaks of 3 days of 100+ JFK has also hit 99 19 times lol..... so 38 times of 99+

I thought it was because volcanoes like Pinatubo have more of an influence over the summer than the winter? It had a big impact in summer 1992.

Yes, the early 2010s streak was extreme but shortlived. It was 2010-2013 while the era from the 1930s through the 1950s started in 1932 (and what a warm winter 1931-32 was!) and lasted until 1966. We had a big drought in the 60s that actually extended it through that decade too.

Unfortunately the storm peaked at the worst possible time during the day.

Hello summer thread. I finished May with 9.7" of rainfall, good for the 4th wettest month I've ever recorded. Also tied my record for most days in a month with measurable precip, at 21. Looks like MDT actually ended up two-tenths of a degree below average for May. Bradford hit 28 last night, only three off the national low of 25. Smoke should make for some pretty skies but shouldn't affect our surface air quality, as it looks to stay mostly aloft.

Today was the 21st day on record with a low temperature at or below 40F in the official Pittsburgh area threaded record. There have only been 15 colder June nights (about once a decade).

Ten day has a lowest high of 71. You know, for June, I'll take it. I just need the nights to be a bit warmer so the pools/lakes warm up but to not see 50s for daytime highs is nice.

Heh... despite my conservative tone this morning - which I still suspect is warranted - the NAM arrives with a 90 F at least implicated in the FOUS grid 54000492730 -2403 212012 71261912 I don't expect anyone to know what these numerics are supposed mean - mainly because I've written, with pain staking detail, what those definitions are at least 20 times ( ). Anyway, that profile for 18z on Wednesday would 89 to 91 over down town streets and parking lots...ranging to 82 or 84 where the hill people down play heat. sarcasm aside ...I'm not sure the NAM physics has smoke contamination built in ? maybe Brian or someone knows.

Another chilly one this morning. Some notable lows: 32F, at Zelienople: National Weather Service 35F, at Cambridge, Ohio: National Weather Service 36F, at New Castle: National Weather Service 36F, at Butler: National Weather Service 36F, at DuBois: National Weather Service 36F, at Indiana: National Weather Service 37F, at Washington: National Weather Service 37F, at Franklin: National Weather Service 37F, at Connellsville: National Weather Service 38F, at Zanesville, Ohio: National Weather Service 39F, at New Philadelphia, Ohio: National Weather Service 39F, at Latrobe: National Weather Service 40F, at Morgantown, W. Va.: National Weather Service 40F, at Wheeling, W. Va.: National Weather Service 40F, at Pittsburgh: National Weather Service 41F, at Allegheny County Airport: National Weather Service

Yeah... we were around 9.25-9.5" in my hood for May. Dewy

minus the late may period, spring was great.

Part of a tree is on the roof of friend's garage out near Linglestown. It was wild - the city itself didn't see much issue this time with the wind somehow.

He isn’t saying NYC will never have a good winter again unless we have another Pinatubo or Yellowstone blows up (in which case we have more serious problems lol). We had a pretty good one in 2020-21. But we’re definitely in a steep downturn overall and it’s fairly easy to see why-it’s being ruined largely by the W Pacific on steroids. To me there’s not much if/but or deep analysis needed and it makes a lot of sense as much as I hate it. Reality doesn’t care. We see time after time decent setups literally blown/sheared apart by the fast Pacific jet or the ridge/trough orientation pushed too far east, or the SE ridge takes over and we get lousy cutters/SWFE that can be great for I-90 and the Lakes but horrendous here. You can just see how it keeps evolving. Until that base state changes where we’re in either a defined Nina or quasi-Nina with the warm W Pacific which cancels out even strong El Niño, I don’t see how our outcomes change. There can be a winter like 2020-21 every once in a blue moon in this state where other factors can overcome it but it will be the exception.

3 closet Davis stations to my house had 9.66, 9.89 and 10.21 inches for the month. No wonder I have mushrooms growing all over the yard.

All my vegetables are going to bolt with this heat

Our last major volcanic eruption was Mt. Pinatubo (in 1991), but we didn't really get the full effects of the cooling due to a strong el nino. Just the fact that it was able to cause any type of cooling, despite the strong el nino, should tell you how strong that volcanic eruption was. If Pinatubo happens ahead of strong la nina, like in the summer of 2007, there's no doubt in my mind we would have had a longer lasting temporary cooling period.

Maybe I am blind, but I am not seeing a true heat signal yet. We have a few well above average days this week, but then it is right back to normal/below normal. Highs in the mid 70s this time of year are normal. Today will be another well below normal day. Thursday should be +10 to +12 then right back down to the mid 70s. Anyone who is proclaiming high heat can you point me as to where you are seeing this? Maybe in the southern part of our forum?