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Don't know if anyone bothers to look at it much, but the Cfs2 has been advertising a non-hot summer for weeks insisting on a trough in the east. I know the Cfs2's track record has been sketchy, but it's been showing this since late May, so it deserves some credence. Add to that June temps to date, and I'd give it the benefit of the doubt at this point. This is a link to July temps and beyond. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2025061218&fh=1 P.s. it's showing a wet July and August too.

Doesn’t look like much rain at all this weekend. Maybe the Jack gets .20. Certainly better than it looked a few days ago even if cloudy and cool

I did not

Yeah, this is why I like living near the shoreline. I used to get a great sea breeze back on the South Shore of LI. Now I get the local sea breezes off the Long Island Sound.

He’s the president of ACATT

Of course he posts long range gfs ops.

I wouldn't mind as much if highs got that high on a regular basis if: A: the dewpoints stayed below 60 B: temps would drop at sundown to the low 80s at least if not lower C: we have a nice breeze

https://x.com/surfskiweather/status/1933493008810348748?s=46&t=096JqkIpgJTvSWddnDYqdA

If the EPS is correct about that 594DM heat dome in around 10 days, then it would give us our first mid to upper 90s of the season.

Oh baby it’s coming https://x.com/jimcantore/status/1933436787159917015?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Most Ambient Weather stations topped off in the low 90s in large parts of NYC, even the parts to the east where it's closer to the water and more suburban. Even the ones in the totally rural northern Nassau topped off in the low 90s.

I was surprised to see a flood watch for DC, PG and Southern MD. I had to water the garden for the first time yesterday. I wouldn't mind a little flood later.

If NYC increased the 90° count at the same rate as LGA and EWR last 30 years, then they would have around 28 days instead of only 18 days. So moving the sensor into the shade shaved off about 10 days. Yesterday was a prime example of this as some spots in NYC made it to 94° and the park was only 87°. June 12th high temperatures Corona, Queens…94° Brownsville, Queens….94° Newark….92° Astoria, Queens…91° LGA….90° JFK….90° BDR…90° FRG….89° HVN…89° ISP…..88° NYC….87° HPN….87°

I'll second that

Probably 85-90+ end of week

While we missed out on rain this week, the next two weeks are looking fairly warm and stormy.

Yup, end of the week looks like some mid-80s possibly higher in hotspots but nothing sustained. So long as it doesn't rain I'm happy.

3k NAM says enjoy the dry weekend. Let’s go team hrrrrr!

Too many people in my neighborhood have poured chemicals in their lawn. We're the only property that has them anymore in our street.

For the first time in 14 months, Virginia is drought free.

we are right on the edge of heat at times. So maybe it’s a day or two of warmth followed by fropa and N to nE winds while NJ south roasts.

New paper analyzing the flowering date of Kyoto Cherries. Warming began to impact cherry flowering around 1890. Per the paper, urbanization and changes in cultivation are unlikely to have had much impact at that time. https://nph.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/nph.70268

You could be very well right on that.

Of course I'm not a college trained meteorologist, but I have a feeling this pattern is going to keep going for most, if not, the entire summer.