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Having CanSIPS and JMA on our side at this point is actually encouraging no matter what ECMWF and Chuck say

I’ll reiterate that I thought Chris Martz looked really bad due to saying “it’s called summer” and for saying “heat dome” wasn’t the correct term. However, I also said Jeff B. was wrong for calling the current/upcoming US heatwave one of the most expansive in history. Here again is Chris’ post responding to Jeff: But I forgot to earlier mention this: The mean temp in July (and also in summer as a whole) comes out close to normal rather than hot in the E US when averaging RONI based super strong El Niños. See image below. Hardly any were hot. 1957, 65, 72, and 97 were slightly cool. 1982 and 2015 were NN. Only 1991 was hot. That’s just 1 of the 7! That’s enough for me to say that the upcoming super-El Nino in combo with GW is not the direct cause for the current E US heatwave as Jeff said. GW, by itself, obviously favors hotter heatwaves than when the Earth was cooler. But the supposed super-El Nino piece of this, itself, correlating to E US heat does not compute to me at all. Thus whereas I thought Chris’ post was terrible, I also think Jeff’s was pretty bad, itself. @donsutherland1

Few rumbles here and a couple quick downpours but at least it’s something to keep things interesting. It’s been downright tropical out there this evening too. Haven’t felt this in a long time. Those outdoor patio chairs are starting to get a little sticky!

The Ring of Fire around the ridge. My turn here in Chicago is on Saturday-I'm flying out on Sun so hopefully we're done then and maybe it'll be severe I get to see. Suffolk got hit this morning and much needed. We're in convective season where synoptic systems don't happen other than anything tropical. The south shore LI pretty much goes into a 3-4 month drought because of all the storms that die before making it there.

WNW winds will determine. Probably Ambrose Jet tomorrow so that's shot.

Over 100 at the house now. missed any rainfall to the ne of me

I bet Newark will hit 105.

I don't know much about soccer but that looked like some serious "you're not meant to win it this year" bad luck to lose what I understand is our best scorer for the next game from purely incidental contact that led to a red card. That is so dumb, smh

nothing really compares to that since, tbh. 26 years it was no different than a plains event

Meh

Said CoastalWx...that was an isolated supercell, so of course better.

8/9-10 2000 blows this meager crap convection out of the water

And CoastalWx is downplaying it as MEH b/c he has 6/1/11. Never underestimate the power of EML nocturnal convection Storm chasing in the Plains a lot. it never ceases to amazed me. WzWiz upset it fired just to the E of HFD?

Looks like Kevin missed that stuff:

A Montgomery county ABC store closed this week and my brother stopped in and got me these for $20 apiece. They're all decent, but I'm liking the Funky a lot!

The storm that popped over WXW1 in central CT went from nothing to a 54k top in under 20 minutes. That’s nuts.

You guys have no idea what six 6/1/11 dropped.

Why does upstate ny and new england get whacked constantly with storms but we cant get shit here.

He is young and has been handled terribly, so still some hope if the ownership has the balls to clean house at the top. New GM. New manager, and coaches. Hard to say which of those is worse right now, but its all bad and major change is needed.

Weakening now. Lightning dropping quickly

No. The main culprit was a 21 year old birthday boy that was mad that his girlfriend had a vertical ID that my manager wouldn't accept. And birthday boy told me about it. A lot. I had to pretend that I was teaching again to avoid trouble. It was all good though. Whiskey cures all.

97F high

Jackson holiday is a big disappointment as well. Let's see what happens though in the next year or two. You never know but I suspect he's going to be a journeyman

Imo, not until Elias is gone. I wish that could be now, but ofc it won't be. So he will likely make some moves at the deadline that will further set this team back in an attempt save his skin, then get canned after the season.

100% AGREE with everything you said. They will not trade Alonso. At least not this year. Maybe next year if they can dump part of his salary but they're going to have to pay some of it too. The problem is the core players that came out of Norfolk probably overachieved for a while and gave a false sense of hope for the future. Gunner needs a change of venue. Cowser is just average at best. Westberg probably is going to struggle to get on the field. Adley will probably just be a mediocre ball player. They have no pitching. And fundamentals are terrible. Manager Choice was very suspect. Elias is probably gone in the offseason.