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Perhaps I'm reading this wrong but the chart with T composites for the different MJO phases seems to suggest there is zero significance to phase 6 regarding temperature for the eastern US. Am I interpreting it correctly to mean it has no prognostic significance for DJF temperatures in the east?
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Aleet aleet…digital blue on 18z euro for this weekend
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January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I remember when it had our cutter and FROPA yesterday as some meandering cutoff across the souther US. -
im tired of cold. I want it -1 below normal and way more precip
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Imperfect patterns can produce snowstorms here. H5 a few days before the Jan 2022(CAPE) storm- The day before as the storm is approaching-
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Euro gone wild on the ME coast -
Look who's not being grumpy and actually being positive! Character growth!
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
rimetree replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Just shy of normal for December at 13.75", which is close to 2020 at 14". That following January was terrible...hoping for a better outcome next month. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You were out in that wind most of the day!? A true warrior you are, Nut. -
I love the SE brand of cold. I’ve had more than enough mild after 7 days straight of torchy and sweaty 73-80. Thank goodness a return to a long torch isn’t in the forecast. I’m hoping for mainly BN to NN with low dewpoints (sub-45 is best) til further notice! Highs of 65 or lower other than a few low 70s scattered in and lows mainly in the 30s-40s. This is best for walking.
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FWIW, the 18z GFS SE Ridge wasn't as dominate.
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GFSAI also really cold at the end. Not a great run snow wise but less horrific to look at.
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Here we go with the trend….. -
ive seen many times where is a snow threat 10 days out...then its gone for a few days and then one random 00z run---it comes back. Not everytime but i would give it 24-48 hours before tossing the idea
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Baroclinic Zone replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I’ll take it. -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I love those painkiller drinks Scott…had them on a cruise back in 2016 for the first time… they’re fabulous. Enjoy the getaway. -
you may not have to wait for the weeklies
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
canderson replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Noticed that and CTP had snow my grid forecast. But they seem very light if they make it at all -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yeah that’s like 1-2/1-3 for many and 3-5 cape. -
I’m retiring from this hobby, there’s too much pain. Between this winter and the Clemson football season it’s been pretty tough on the soul
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How’s our January to remember shaping up? I’ve heard good things…
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I meant the drinks lol. But those are close behind. -
This is perfect
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Baroclinic Zone replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
18z Euro kicked things up a notch.
