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WB 12Z EPS, cool and wet 5 days leading up to Memorial Day.

Gonna feel like west Texas here Thursday. Impressive dryline to plummet dews in the afternoon, with mid-upper 90s looking likely for the QCA. Unfortunately that means little or no rain with the big system. Looking beyond, rain chances don't look all that impressive for the next 10 days.

LOL indeed...though to be fair (and trying not to tread the politics line too much!) using "Gulf of America" is almost certainly a requirement now, no matter what one may think of that terminology. I suppose one can get around it by simply saying "the Gulf region" or something like that. Getting back on the topic of weather, this upcoming soaker is much needed (obviously!). Will be interesting to see how some of the heavier amounts work out.

This thing is gonna hold off until tomorrow morning isn't it?

Look at 1944, 1949 and 1959 putting in such strong performances on all standings! 1953 putting in a strong performance on number of 100 degree days. I knew we had some real roasters back then but this is very extreme.

Just as important ear Rank Days >= 80 °F 2015 1 118 2024 2 117 2021 3 116 1994 4 114 2016 5 113 1993 5 113 1991 5 113 2011 8 111 2010 8 111 2023 10 110 2022 11 109 1959 12 108 2007 13 106 2005 14 105 2002 15 104 1990 16 103 1957 16 103 1983 18 102 1906 18 102 1989 20 101 1986 20 101 1949 20 101 1908 20 101 2019 24 100 2017 24 100 2018 26 99 2013 26 99 2001 26 99 2008 29 98 1998 29 98 1944 29 98 2020 32 97 2012 32 97

wow this is so much closer than I thought..... 1944 and 1949 putting in a great performance on all standings..... 8 100 degree days in 1949 is absolutely WILD, 1993 just barely edged it out with 9 !!

ar Rank Days >= 100 °F 1993 1 9 1949 2 8 2022 3 6 1953 3 6 1988 5 5 1966 5 5 2011 7 4 2010 7 4 1955 7 4 1944 7 4 2012 11 3 2006 11 3 2005 11 3 2001 11 3 1999 11 3 1911 11 3 2024 17 2 2021 17 2 2013 17 2 2002 17

wow thanks Tony, so 1993 still has a sizeable lead in 95 and 100 degree days. So basically you could rank them as such: 1993, 2010 and 2022 as the top three summers at Newark.

Most of those stations are giving you zero climate information because they don't have long records. Only Phoenixville has data before 2007.

Thanks, so 2010 still has a decent lead in 90 degree days but 2022 has tied 1993 in 90 degree days. 1993 still has a sizeable lead in 100 degree days (9), but I'm not sure what their 95 degree tally was. There's a big separation after the top 3.

ear Rank Days >= 95 °F 1993 1 25 2010 2 21 2022 3 20 1988 3 20 1944 3 20 2021 6 18 2012 7 17 2011 7 17 2002 7 17 1955 7 17 1949 11 16 2005 12 14 1953 12 14 2016 14 13 1999 14 13 1991 14 13 1987 14 13 1994 18 12 1983 18 12 1966 18 12

The main point is that the stations have changed. Taking a simple average skews the data. The 1900 station network (City Of Coatesville, Kennett Square borough, West Chester Borough, and Phoenixville) is completely different than the current. Mainly towns in the early days. No towns now.

90 degree days EWR ear Rank Days >= 90 °F 2010 1 54 2022 2 49 1993 2 49 1988 4 43 2021 5 41 2002 5 41 1991 5 41 2016 8 40 1983 8 40 1959 8 40 1994 11 39 1944 11 39 2005 13 37 1987 13 37 2018 15 36 1949 15 36 2015 17 35 1961 18 34 2024 19 33 2012 19 33 1999 19 33 1995 19 33 1966 19 33

11 of the 17 current stations in the data set are in the warmer southern Chester County area below 40 degrees

It’s that time of year too. Spring patterns can be rough sometimes.

And how many stations are in the NW part of the county today vs. the South????

There were no stations in the northwest part of the county back in the day.

Here's another way of comparing NOAA to the raw data. Easy to normalize the data using a common year, 1950 in this case. This removes differences between stations to better isolate the long-term trend. Again NOAA and the raw data are in complete agreement on the long-term trend, roughly 4F of warming in Chesco.

Fake and false Charlie there are actually only 6 stations currently north of 40.0 N and 14 stations in the warmer south and eastern sections!!

That's disappointing

74/27 About perfection.

Synoptics here are pretty favorable for a significant event including almost all of the sub-forum. Big EML with steep lapse rates, plenty of moisture, a trough that looks to swing negative tilt at a pretty ideal time of the day, and the LLJ responding to that. Will need to watch out how much areas further south mix out especially since convection should probably hold off until later in the day. Could definitely see the Madison/MKE and Chicago areas get in on this, and perhaps N IN/S MI later on. The pre-frontal wind shift is very obvious on most guidance.

that's interesting, 2022 never got the publicity that 2010 did for being very hot, probably because 2010 was hotter over a much larger area. It's like February 2006, a HECS for a small area, vs January 2016, a HECS over a much larger area. What were 1993 numbers for Newark, just for reference, for 95 and 100 degree days?