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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
6z GFS is the Best run yet with more room for upside with a more tucked track. Here’s the 6z GFS snow by the 16th. -
Exactly! First things first… We need to determine the 15th/16th before we worry about what’s next. Best run yet with more room for upside with a more tucked track. Here’s the 6z GFS snow by the 16th.
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Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social Follow The average water level measured at Virginia Key (near #Miami) set a new monthly record high in October, which is also the new *all-time* record high month. I also feel confident that it was the highest monthly water level there since the last interglacial period... ~120,000 years ago. ALT ALT 8:12 AM · Nov 2, 2025 Everybody can
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*sigh* feels like we’re gonna get blanked but someone to our east is gonna get snow again
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
ORH_wxman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Next week would def be a nice bonus if we can get that wave to blow up on the frontal boundary draped just east of us. There may be another threat behind that on MLK weekend too it seems…but we’re gonna need to figure out the first one -
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It consistently has better verification scores than the rest of the global suite. Good signal.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Not mild next week -
Nice trend the rain isn't going to amount to much.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Probably not because I'm going to Vermont 1/25-1/27. So, if there's one when you're away, there has to be one when I'm not away, which has close to 0% chance of happening. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Kitz Craver replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Pretty much all camps have something brewing, hold the line! -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Today and tomorrow mild and then again next week. Not like 60 every day but a wipe it clean. -
21°. Not much of a warm up in the overnights that's for sure.
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Gfs getting closer
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
WolfStock1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Request - whenever providing data like this, please provide a link to the source. -
You saw the stats on modeling that were posted. It's the worst. The problem is that when it shows something good, we make the mistake of wanting to believe this will be the time when it's right. Of course, it isn't. So now weenies in NE are us from last night for 6 hours until it pulls the rug on them like us.
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Didn't lose anything. Noise-level changes
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Good discussion with DT and others. -
Gfs lost all good vibes from 00z. Worthless model
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GFS doesn’t have the second storm bc it drops off the energy in the SW and it becomes completely cutoff. I have questions for the model…
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
US National Weather Service State College Unseasonably mild with occasional rain today Rain ends late tonight; returns to start the weekend Windy and colder with snow showers on Sunday Slight warmup with no precipitation early next week -
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At least you don't have much to lose.
